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Dollar Rises Against Yen and Euro in Q3 on Rate Hike Bets; BOJ Mulls Policy Exit

  • The dollar rose against major currencies like the yen and euro in the last quarter due to prospects of higher U.S. interest rates.

  • The yen slid to an 11-month low near 150 to the dollar, sparking concerns Japan may intervene to prop up its currency.

  • BOJ policymakers discussed factors to consider when exiting ultra-loose monetary policy at September meeting.

  • The euro and sterling dropped nearly 4% against the dollar last quarter amid a strong greenback.

  • The U.S. Congress passed a funding bill, reducing shutdown risks and putting upcoming economic data releases back on track.

reuters.com
Relevant topic timeline:
- The Bank of England raised its benchmark interest rate to 5.25% despite a slowdown in consumer-price rises, leading to speculation about when the central bank will end its monetary tightening. - House prices in Britain fell by 3.8% in July compared to the same month last year, the sharpest decline since July 2009, but the average house price was still higher than earlier this year. - The Bank of Japan raised its cap on the yield of Japanese ten-year government bonds from 0.5% to 1%, causing the yield to soar to nine-year highs. - Turkey's annual inflation rate increased to 47.8% in July, the first rise since October, due in part to a new tax on fuel. - The euro area's economy grew by 0.3% in the second quarter, with much of the growth attributed to changes in intellectual property shifting by multinationals based in Ireland for tax purposes. Germany's GDP growth rate was zero, and Italy's fell by 0.3%.
Asian currencies against the dollar had minor fluctuations, with the Japanese yen, Singapore dollar, and Taiwanese dollar showing slight gains, while the Chinese yuan experienced a slight decline; overall, there were small changes compared to the end of 2022.
The US dollar weakened slightly against major peers as traders awaited a speech from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, while the yen pulled away from a nine-month low and China's yuan briefly rose following attempts to bolster the currency.
The US Dollar performed well against major currencies, with the British Pound, Euro, and Canadian Dollar underperforming, while the Chinese Yuan and Australian Dollar fared better; the Federal Reserve's indication of a higher terminal rate and potential further borrowing cost increases contributed to the market sentiment, leading to lower US equity markets; upcoming economic data includes consumer confidence, inflation gauges from key European countries, and manufacturing PMI gauges from China.
The USD/JPY spiked to a cycle high but reversed course, while weak labor market figures were reported in both the US and Japan, supporting the dovish stance of the Bank of Japan.
The U.S. dollar rebounded from previous losses as investors awaited labor market data for clues on the Federal Reserve's policy path.
The US Dollar experienced a significant decline due to weak economic data and increased risk appetite, while the Euro and British Pound strengthened. The Australian Dollar and New Zealand Dollar also performed well, and gold and cryptocurrencies rallied.
The US dollar experienced a major technical reversal due to a weaker JOLTs report, leading to a drop in US interest rates, while market positioning played a role in the price action; the focus now shifts to personal consumption figures and US jobs data, with the euro and sterling firm but most other G10 currencies softer, and emerging market currencies mixed. In Asia, most large bourses advanced, but Europe's Stoxx 600 fell after rallying in previous sessions, while US index futures traded softer; European bonds are selling up, gold is consolidating, and oil prices are firm. Australia's CPI slowed more than expected, China is expected to release the August PMI, and Japan reports July retail sales. The US dollar has seen no follow-through selling against the yen, yuan, or Australian dollar, while the euro and sterling staged impressive price action. The JOLTS report saw the dollar and US rates reverse lower, and today the US reports advanced merchandise trade figures for July, with the Canadian dollar as the worst performing G10 currency yesterday.
The euro reached a 15-year high against the yen due to signs of inflation in Europe, while the dollar weakened ahead of economic data that could indicate a softening economy.
The US dollar experienced weakness due to disappointing economic data, leading to speculation that the Federal Reserve may not need to be as aggressive in its monetary policy settings, while equities showed modest gains; Chinese PMI numbers beat estimates but concerns about the property sector lingered; USD/JPY dipped before recovering; and the DXY index stabilized after recent losses, with potential support levels identified.
The US dollar dropped to a two-week low against the euro and other currencies after data revealed lower than expected private payroll growth in August, leading to speculation that the Federal Reserve will halt interest rate increases.
The U.S. is currently experiencing a prolonged high inflation cycle that is causing significant damage to the purchasing power of the currency, and the recent lower inflation rate is misleading as it ignores the accumulated harm; in order to combat this cycle, the Federal Reserve needs to raise interest rates higher than the inflation rate and reverse its bond purchases.
The U.S. dollar declined due to weaknesses in economic growth, leading to a boost in the performance of gold and U.S. equities, while other global assets experienced mixed price movements throughout the week.
The dollar has reached a five-month high as investors anticipate the need for elevated interest rates due to the strong US economy, with factors such as weak growth in China and Europe, rising US yields, and falling equity prices further supporting the case for dollar strength.
The dollar rose as investors sought the safe-haven currency amidst concerns over global growth, particularly in China, while the Australian dollar slumped after the Reserve Bank of Australia maintained interest rates.
Investors are concerned about the possibility of intervention in Tokyo after the yen reached its weakest level against the dollar in 10 months, while Asian markets fell due to worries of another US Federal Reserve interest rate hike and a jump in oil prices.
The yen rebounded from a 10-month low against the dollar after Japan issued a strong warning about sharp currency moves, increasing the likelihood of government intervention if the slump continues.
Tokyo stocks rise as a cheaper yen supports the market, despite falls on Wall Street and concerns about another US Federal Reserve interest rate hike.
The Japanese yen has reached a 10-month low against the US dollar, while the euro and sterling remain near three-month lows, as investors show confidence in the US economy despite global growth concerns.
The U.S. dollar's share in global reserves has fallen below 60% for the first time in decades, as other currencies like the Euro, Pound, and Yen are on the rise due to a growing number of countries settling trade in their national currencies, driven by the de-dollarization process initiated by BRICS to end reliance on the U.S. dollar.
The dollar strengthens against the yen and keeps the euro and sterling near three-month lows as investors rely on the resilience of the U.S. economy, while China's onshore yuan hits a 16-year low due to a property slump and weak consumer spending.
The yen strengthened and government bonds slumped as traders reacted to potentially hawkish comments from Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda on the negative interest rate policy, causing Japanese bank shares to jump and the benchmark bond yield to rise.
The Japanese yen strengthens against the US dollar as Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda hints at a potential shift away from negative interest rates.
The Bank of Japan's potential shift away from negative interest rate policy has ignited the Japanese Government Bond and currency markets, with the yen seeing its biggest rise in two months and the 10-year JGB yield reaching its highest point in almost a decade.
The dollar remains steady ahead of a key U.S. inflation report, but rises against the yen as traders digest comments from Japan's central banker on a possible early exit from negative interest rates.
The US dollar remains stable in Asian trades as the yen and sterling experience slight fluctuations due to upcoming central bank meetings, including the Bank of Japan's policy meeting, the US Federal Reserve's hawkish pause, and the Bank of England's possible interest rate increase.
Gold prices rose as the dollar weakened and investors awaited central bank policy meetings, with the Fed expected to pause on interest rate hikes.
The US dollar has made an unexpected comeback, with its rebound causing ripples in global markets and impacting investors, officials, and companies.
The Japanese yen remains weak against the U.S. dollar due to high U.S. Treasury yields and anticipation of the Bank of Japan maintaining its current monetary policies, while the dollar is boosted by the prospect of higher U.S. interest rates.
The yen's purchasing power has reached a historic low as it continues to depreciate against the dollar and other currencies, leading to higher travel and import costs for Japanese.
The Japanese yen weakened and stocks and bonds remained under pressure as investors prepared for U.S. interest rates to remain high, despite the Bank of Japan sticking to ultra-easy monetary policy and making no changes to its outlook.
The yen weakened against the dollar as the Bank of Japan announced it would maintain its accommodative monetary policy, with little indication of rolling it back.
Summary: The US Dollar had mixed performance against major currencies, with the British Pound weakening and the New Zealand Dollar rallying; Wall Street took a hit after the Federal Reserve announcement, and the 10-year Treasury yield surged to its highest level since late 2007.
The Japanese yen is approaching the key level of 150 per dollar, increasing the likelihood of forex intervention by Japanese authorities, while the US dollar continues its gains after the Federal Reserve signaled a longer period of higher interest rates.
The US dollar pulls back from a 10-month high against a basket of currencies as the quarter ends, giving the yen some relief amid concerns of intervention.
MSCI's global equities index rose, U.S. Treasury yields dipped, and the dollar weakened after positive inflation data from Europe and the United States reduced concerns about further interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve.
Gold and silver prices are falling due to a strong U.S. dollar, rising U.S. Treasury yields, and upbeat risk attitudes, while Asian and European stocks are mixed, and the Bank of Japan is monitoring the depreciation of the yen against the U.S. dollar.
The U.S. dollar reached an 11-month high due to strong U.S. economic data, putting pressure on the yen and other currencies.
The yen briefly fell below 150 against the dollar despite efforts by the Japanese government to prevent the decline, as investors anticipate the U.S. Federal Reserve to maintain high interest rates.
The surge in long-term U.S. government borrowing costs is causing financial distress in global markets, with concerns about a government shutdown, the fading prospect of fiscal peace, and the Bank of Japan's battle to hold up the yen intensifying the situation.
The yen and euro received relief as the dollar and U.S. Treasury yields stalled after U.S. private payrolls growth slowed, leading investors to reduce bets the Federal Reserve will hike rates again this year.
The dollar weakened and global equities dipped as investors grappled with U.S. unemployment data suggesting a tight labor market and the Federal Reserve's commitment to higher interest rates, while European stocks rebounded from losses.
The U.S. dollar reached a one-week high against other currencies following the release of U.S. consumer prices data, which increased expectations for higher interest rates; safe-haven buying also contributed to the dollar's strength due to escalating Middle East conflict.
The Japanese Yen is struggling against the US Dollar as the Bank of Japan considers changes to its yield curve control program, while Treasury yields remain strong and a clean break above 150 for USD/JPY could lead to volatility.
The U.S. dollar strengthened to a near 1-week high against a basket of currencies as investors turned away from riskier currencies due to lackluster corporate results and rising Treasury yields.