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Markets Cautious Ahead of Key Central Bank Meetings; Inflation Expectations Fall in U.S.

  • European markets set for negative open following Asia's lead, as investors eye central bank decisions this week including Fed on Wednesday.

  • ECB raised rates by 25 basis points last week, 10th consecutive hike taking main rate to record high 4%.

  • Bank of America names 2 European chip stocks top picks into year-end, expecting over 60% upside.

  • University of Michigan survey shows 1-year inflation outlook plunged to lowest since early 2021 at 3.1%.

  • Nomura says early movers in China's AI market have started monetization, regulatory approval cleared roadblocks.

cnbc.com
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### Summary - European stocks rebound after a drop last week, while bond yields rise ahead of the Fed's Jackson Hole event. - China's smaller-than-expected rate cuts and weak economic data disappointed investors. ### Facts - 📈 European stocks edge higher after last week's rout. - 📉 China stocks hit a 9-month low as rate easing underwhelms. - China's central bank trims its one-year lending rate by 10 basis points, while leaving its five-year rate unchanged. - Expectation remains for further stimulus from China. - Asian shares decline due to disappointment, with Chinese blue chips falling to a nine-month low. - Energy companies outperform as oil prices rise. - Oil prices edge higher after a seven-week winning streak. - Bond market sell-off leads to higher government borrowing costs. - U.S. Treasury yields continue to rise, with the 30-year yield touching a fresh 12-year high. - The U.S. Federal Reserve's Jackson Hole conference is the key event for the week. - Markets anticipate that Fed Chair Jerome Powell will address rising yields and strong economic data. - Polls indicate that a majority of analysts believe the Fed is done hiking rates. - Traders bet on a just under 40% chance of a final Fed hike by November. - U.S. dollar trades flat after five weeks of gains. - Gold prices affected negatively by the rise of the dollar and yields. - Prices for liquefied natural gas (LNG) supported by a potential strike at Australian offshore facilities. - Dutch payments processor Adyen's shares drop amid concerns over weak earnings. - Earnings from Nvidia will be closely watched. Note: The given content contains parts that do not match the provided date range.
Investors are focusing on the state of the U.S. consumer and the upcoming Jackson Hole symposium, with retailers warning about consumer health and theft becoming increasingly problematic, while the stock market is benefitting from stabilizing interest rates; meanwhile, disappointing business activity in the EU is supporting the dollar and Treasury yields are declining.
Bank of America believes that the stock market will continue to rise as investors' bullish sentiment contradicts their conservative portfolio positioning, suggesting there is still upside potential until hedge funds increase their exposure to cyclical and high-beta stocks and economic conditions deteriorate considerably.
Investors will have a lot to consider this week as they analyze economic indicators such as US nonfarm payrolls, wage growth, and inflation, as well as Eurozone inflation numbers and central bank commentary, all of which could impact policy decisions and market sentiment.
Stocks around the world are starting the week on a positive note, despite the possibility of higher U.S. interest rates, with U.S. futures pointing to a modest boost for indexes at the opening bell.
U.S. stocks begin the final week of August with a positive start, Goldman Sachs sells its personal financial management unit, Microsoft emphasizes the need for human control over artificial intelligence, Google plans to license solar and environment data, Nvidia is hailed as the world's most valuable chipmaker, and analysts offer mixed views on the strength of the U.S. consumer and the future of the retail sector.
European stock markets are expected to open higher following positive moves on Wall Street, as investors anticipate fresh economic data and a potential pause in interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve.
European stock markets are expected to open higher as investors await the U.S. jobs report, while China's Caixin/S&P global manufacturing purchasing managers' index boosted global sentiment; however, September is historically a difficult month for stocks.
Asia-Pacific markets are expected to have a mixed start to the week as investors await key data from Australia and China, while in the US, the unemployment rate rose to 3.8% in August and traders are betting that the Federal Reserve may not raise rates further this year. Additionally, the highly anticipated IPO of Softbank-backed Arm is expected to arrive later in the month.
Summary: European markets are poised for a positive start to the week, influenced by the positive trade in the Asia-Pacific region, while investors keep an eye on German trade balance data and a speech by Christine Lagarde, the President of the European Central Bank. Additionally, Fidelity's China fund is on track to outperform its peers for the second year in a row, Arm aims for a listing price between $47 and $51 per share in its IPO, and the US Department of Labor reports a rise in unemployment and lower-than-expected wage growth in August.
European markets are set to open lower as investors await data releases and focus on economic data and interest rates, while global market sentiment has worsened; Asian markets were mostly lower and US stock futures were unchanged amid concerns over the Federal Reserve's interest rate policy; the British pound is lower after Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey's comments on nearing peak rates; Goldman Sachs reveals its preferred sector in China and names two conviction list stocks; Boston Federal Reserve President Susan Collins says the central bank can proceed cautiously on future rate hikes; Morgan Stanley names a European bank as a top pick with 35% upside.
The US Dollar performed strongly against major currencies, with the Euro experiencing its 8th consecutive weekly loss and the Chinese Yuan performing poorly, while global market sentiment was negative and stock markets weakened. In the coming week, market focus will be on the US inflation report, UK employment and GDP data, Australian employment data, and the ECB rate decision.
European stock markets are expected to open higher on Tuesday as investors await economic data, including U.S. inflation figures and the European Central Bank's rate decision, while Arm IPO's price could potentially surpass $51 per share. Meanwhile, tech investor Paul Meeks plans to buy tech stocks once the market correction subsides, and Federal Reserve officials are reportedly feeling less urgency for another rate hike. HSBC has also named its "must see stocks" in the UK.
European markets are poised for a negative open as investors await U.S. inflation data for August, which is expected to show a year-over-year rise of 3.6%.
The European Central Bank is expected to raise interest rates, but traders believe that any immediate risk to the euro is likely to be on the downside, and if there is a hike, it will likely be the last.
European markets opened positively as the European Central Bank suggested that its latest interest rate hike may be its last.
European markets are pessimistic ahead of central bank meetings, energy prices raise the risk of secondary inflation, and the US dollar is gaining strength, which may negatively impact precious metals and cryptocurrencies.
European markets were mixed as investors awaited the U.S. Federal Reserve's monetary policy meeting and assessed the central banks' stance on inflation, with retail stocks making the biggest losses while autos and oil and gas were up.
European markets rise as global investors await the U.S. Federal Reserve's monetary policy decision; retail stocks lead gains while oil and gas dip slightly, and U.K. inflation falls below expectations in August.
U.S. stock markets closed lower amid risk-off sentiment as the Federal Reserve began its two-day monetary policy meeting, while Asian markets, including Japan's Nikkei 225 and Australia's S&P/ASX 200, experienced declines; however, European markets, including Germany's DAX and the U.K.'s FTSE 100, traded higher.
European markets are poised to open lower due to upcoming interest rate decisions from several central banks, while global markets react to the U.S. Federal Reserve's announcement to hold interest rates steady and raise economic growth expectations.
U.S. stocks are expected to open lower and the dollar is soaring after the Federal Reserve indicated that interest rates will remain higher for a longer period, while the Bank of England faces a tough rate decision and the Swiss National Bank has paused its rate-hiking cycle.
European markets are set to open lower as negative momentum continues, with investors concerned about higher interest rates, inflation, and economic uncertainty.
The Federal Reserve's recent hawkish stance and the sharp tightening of financial conditions have triggered jolts in bonds and stocks, raising questions about investor positioning going into the final quarter of 2023.
European markets are set to open higher on Monday following a slowdown in euro zone inflation, while Asia-Pacific stocks traded mixed and U.S. stock futures jumped after a temporary agreement was reached to avoid a government shutdown. Veteran EM investor Mark Mobius recommends two tech giants for portfolios investing in developing economies, and Goldman Sachs names six global stocks to play the energy transition.
Stocks slip as U.S. crude futures drop and mortgage rates climb, while investors await payroll data for signs of a slowing job market; electric vehicle stocks like Rivian and Lucid are making moves, and the U.S. Dollar Index rises for its 12th consecutive week. European stocks close mixed, and utilities stocks see their worst year in over a decade due to higher bond yields.
US bank stocks are currently the market's Achilles' heel, as they need to participate in any recovery rally in order to validate the notion that higher interest rates won't lead to a recession next year.
Asia-Pacific markets are expected to have a positive start to the week, with Chinese markets returning from a week-long holiday and investors watching inflation readings and trade data from China and India, as well as a monetary policy decision from Singapore's central bank. In Australia, the S&P/ASX 200 is up after a five-day losing streak, while futures for Hong Kong's Hang Seng index point to a stronger open. However, the outbreak of war between Israel and Palestine has affected stock futures and led to higher oil prices. There is also an increased likelihood of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates by the end of the year, causing utilities stocks to sink as investors find short-term Treasuries more attractive.