Traders are expecting a volatile start to the week as policymakers from the US and Europe indicate that interest rates will likely remain higher for a longer period of time, leading to increased yields on bonds and a weakening of the yen.
Asian markets will be influenced this week by key economic indicators, growth-supportive policies, and diplomatic signals from China, as well as reacting to the Jackson Hole speeches by global policymakers, with a focus on China's manufacturing and services PMIs and efforts to reverse the country's economic slump, while facing headwinds from tightening financial conditions and rising US Treasury yields.
Investors are preparing for a busy week on Wall Street with reports on the job market and earnings, as well as the government's report for August, while all three major market averages finished higher on Friday.
This week's highlights include new data on the U.S. labor market, earnings reports from several retailers, and the latest inflation data.
Investors will be focusing on new data on the U.S. labor market, including job openings and the nonfarm payrolls report, as well as earnings reports from retailers and the latest inflation data.
Investors are eagerly awaiting news about the health of the US labor market, with reports on job openings, labor turnover, employment, and job cuts expected this week, as the Federal Reserve aims to cool the economy to fight inflation caused by higher labor costs.
The week has been driven by macroeconomic data, but the threat of economic contraction is not currently imminent, with the US Ten-Year Note yielding around 4.11% overnight and the US Dollar Index trading around 103.5; the Bureau of Labor Statistics will release its employment-related surveys for August today, with economists expecting non-farm job creation of around 170,000 and wage growth at 4.4% year over year.
Stock markets showed signs of improvement last week, fueled by hopes of a Goldilocks economic scenario, despite downward revisions in Q2 GDP growth and a slowdown in housing prices, while robust hiring and a decline in wage growth raised concerns about a cooling job market. The strength of U.S. consumers and the moderation of the Consumer Confidence index are factors that could influence the Federal Reserve's decisions on inflation, with investors advised to rely on trustworthy data and analysis. Noteworthy upcoming earnings and dividend announcements include Zscaler, Gitlab, GameStop, C3ai, American Eagle, DocuSign, and Kroger. Key economic reports this week will focus on Factory Orders, ISM Services PMI, and Q2 Non-Farm Productivity and Unit Labor Costs.
Stock investors have been reacting positively to "bad economic news" as it may imply a slowdown in the economy and a potential halt to interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve, however, for this trend to change, economic data would have to be much worse than it is currently.
Equity markets had a successful week as softer labor market data increased optimism for the Federal Reserve to maintain its current monetary stance, leading to gains in the tech and energy sectors, while the Euro may face challenges in foreign exchange markets.
The coming week is expected to be lighter for investors, with the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision being the highlight, as US markets observe Labor Day and updates on the services sector and corporate earnings are anticipated.
The US Dollar is expected to trade sideways at the start of the week, with no major drivers or data points to monitor until markets open on Tuesday. The focus for the week will be on Wednesday's release of the Services PMI survey and several central bank speeches leading up to the next Federal Reserve meeting on September 20. Additionally, the article provides information on central banks and their role in monetary policy and interest rates.
Investors should prepare for increased market volatility next week as the stock market faces multiple risk events, including U.S. CPI inflation, retail sales figures, and wholesale prices, which will impact the Federal Reserve's policy outlook.
U.S. stock investors are closely watching next week's inflation data, as it could determine the future of the current equity rally, which has been fluctuating recently due to concerns over the Federal Reserve's interest rate hikes and inflationary pressures.
The UK economy faces critical weeks ahead as data releases will determine whether the country is putting the past three years of crises behind, with expectations for continued economic turbulence, potential unemployment increase, and rising fuel prices impacting inflation and interest rates, while the Office for Budget Responsibility's forecasts are likely to show increased borrowing, potentially leading to pressure for tax rises or spending cuts.
This week's economic reports, including the Consumer Price Index, Retail Sales, and Consumer Sentiment Index, will provide crucial information for investors and may influence the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision.
The US Dollar performed strongly against major currencies, with the Euro experiencing its 8th consecutive weekly loss and the Chinese Yuan performing poorly, while global market sentiment was negative and stock markets weakened. In the coming week, market focus will be on the US inflation report, UK employment and GDP data, Australian employment data, and the ECB rate decision.
Investors should focus on the Federal Reserve's decision on interest rate hikes and the market's biggest themes during the coming week, according to CNBC's Jim Cramer.
Mixed economic reports and market volatility have raised concerns ahead of the Federal Reserve's policy rate meeting, with retail sales exceeding expectations but a decline in consumer sentiment and rising fuel prices signaling a potential weakening in consumer spending; the successful IPO of chip designer Arm Holdings has boosted investor sentiment, while the initiation of the autoworkers' strike has negatively impacted markets; all eyes will be on the Federal Reserve's meeting this week, with investors closely monitoring data for insights into future decisions.
Investors are focused on Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve's upcoming policy decision, as well as earnings reports from FedEx and the impact of the United Auto Workers strike on companies like Stellantis, GM, and Ford.
European markets are poised for a negative start to the week as investors await central bank decisions, including the U.S. Federal Reserve's announcement on interest rates and the Bank of Japan's monetary policy meeting, while Australia's central bank and China's People's Bank are also expected to make important releases. Additionally, Bank of America has named two European chip stocks as its "top picks" going into the end of the year.
The article discusses how the historically volatile week will test the bull market in stocks.
Investors will closely scrutinize the Federal Reserve's updated economic forecasts, particularly its interest rate outlook, to determine the market's next big story.
The Federal Reserve's upcoming meeting will focus on the central bank's expectations for key indicators such as interest rates, GDP, inflation, and unemployment, while many economists believe that the Fed may signal a pause in its rate-hiking cycle but maintain the possibility of future rate increases.
Investors are more focused on the release of new forecasts from the Federal Reserve, which will reveal their views on the prospect of an economic "soft landing" and the rate environment that will accompany it.
Summary: The markets have experienced various shocks this week, with the most significant one coming from the Federal Reserve, making labor data more crucial than Fed discussions.
The panel discusses the upcoming Fed comments, the market's expectation of no further rate hikes in September, and the impact of high interest rates on jobs, wages, and consumer spending.
