Fears of a stock market crash among investors are the highest since the start of the pandemic, Yale gauge shows

Investors' fears of a stock market crash, similar to the one in 1987, are the highest since the pandemic, with 44% of institutional investors believing that such a crash has at least a 10% chance of occurring in the next six months.

businessinsider.com

Relevant topic timeline:

8/24/2023

Here are the odds that the stock market will crash

Contrary to widespread concern of a stock market crash, the probability of a crash as severe as 1987 in the coming months is actually very small, with a mere 0.33% chance, according to a study conducted by Harvard and Boston University researchers, revealing the increasing pessimism bias among investors following recent losses stemming from two bear markets in a short period, while also suggesting that Shiller's crash-confidence index serves as a useful contrarian indicator.

8/31/2023

“September Effect”: Are Stock Markets Doomed to Fall? - TipRanks.com

Stocks have historically performed poorly in September, with an average loss of 1.12%, but investors should not base their decisions solely on this statistical trend and should focus on buying fundamentally strong companies at reasonable prices.

9/5/2023

Sentiment Speaks: It Makes No Sense That The Market Will Continue To Rally

The author argues against the common belief that rising interest rates and a rising dollar will negatively impact the stock market, citing historical evidence that contradicts this perspective and emphasizes the importance of analyzing market reality rather than personal beliefs. The author presents a bullish outlook for the market, with a potential rally towards the 4800SPX region, but also acknowledges the possibility of a corrective pullback.

9/9/2023

Retail Investors Play 'Greater Fool' Game With VinFast, The Latest 'Lottery Ticket' Stock To Surge and Crash

The US stock market is experiencing a gambling fever, with investors bidding up obscure stocks only to see them crash, indicating that the greater fool theory has become a prominent feature in the investing landscape.

9/11/2023

Analyst Warns S&P 500 Could Plunge 50% as Recession Risks Mount

Stocks could crash nearly 50% as a severe recession sets in, according to veteran technical analyst Milton Berg, who cited investor complacency and banking woes as risk factors.

9/13/2023

PIMCO Sees 50% Recession Risk; Raises Rate Bets Despite Market Doubts

The risk of a global recession in the next 12 to 18 months is high, with financial markets underestimating the chances of a recession in the United States, according to PIMCO executives.

9/17/2023

Wall Street Banks Brace for Choppy End to 2022 as Concerns Grow Over Rates, Economy

Investors are becoming increasingly cautious about the US stock market and the economy as 2023 draws to a close, leading to a more defensive investment approach by Wall Street banks and experts warning of potential pain ahead.

9/22/2023

Government Shutdown Looms - History Suggests Brief, Minor Stock Market Impact

Investors should not be overly worried about the potential government shutdown's impact on the market, as historical trends indicate that any weakness will likely be a buying opportunity from a short-term trading perspective.

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Posted 8/25/2023, 4:50:00 PM