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Pakistan's Economic Crisis Pushes Lower Middle Class Towards Poverty

  • Pakistan's lower middle class at risk of sliding into poverty as economic situation worsens
  • Cost of basic goods has doubled, forcing people to ration petrol, buy less/cheaper food
  • Political instability and threat of military intervention exacerbate economic uncertainty
  • Situation becoming increasingly dire as each month brings new low point
  • Poor, honest and innocent likely to suffer most as surviving becomes difficult
timesofindia.com
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The depreciating exchange rate of the Pakistani rupee against the US dollar is leading to a potential economic disaster, with increased inflation, higher prices for petroleum and fuel, and a rise in poverty and unemployment.
The economic and political instability in Pakistan has led to a sharp rise in highly skilled workers leaving the country, exacerbating the already dire economic situation and creating a significant skills gap that may hinder the country's development in the long term.
The article highlights the economic crisis in India in 1991 and draws parallels to the current state of Pakistan's economy, emphasizing the importance of focusing on economic growth and addressing the needs of the deprived sections of society.
Pakistan's external vulnerabilities are set to worsen due to shrinking dollar inflows and increasing debt servicing, putting pressure on foreign exchange reserves and potentially leading to their depletion.
Pakistan's recent financial aid and investment partnerships, including with the IMF, Saudi Arabia, UAE, and China, provide temporary relief from economic challenges, but the country must address issues such as low growth, high inflation, unemployment, and limited foreign exchange reserves through deregulation, investment in education and technology, tax reform, privatization, and political stability to achieve lasting prosperity.
Pakistan's interim finance minister, Shamsad Akhtar, has stated that the country's economic situation is worse than expected, and ruled out subsidies for the people due to non-negotiable commitments with the IMF and strict conditions of the $3 billion loan received in June.
Pakistan is governed by a complex web of influential entities, including the military establishment, IMF and bilateral donors, powerful business elites, the religious right, and the people, making it difficult for meaningful relief and democratic transition to occur.
Pakistan's economic crisis is worsening under the caretaker government, as LPG prices increase by 20% and the rupee continues to fall.
The current economic crisis in Pakistan is driven by high inflation, mismanaged policies, and failure to ensure price stability, leading to a weakened currency and a struggling middle class, but implementing radical reforms such as demonetization and swapping out foreign currency debt can potentially alleviate the situation and revive the economy.
Despite claims of massive foreign investment pouring into Pakistan, the country's economic woes and obstacles, such as deteriorating law and order, make it unlikely that these investments will materialize and bring about significant change.
Pakistan's ongoing economic woes, including budget deficits, trade deficits, and foreign exchange shortages, are not solely caused by corruption but rather a lack of will from leaders to implement necessary solutions and prioritize economic growth, such as increased productivity, better-managed state finances, and global competitiveness, while shedding unproductive state-owned enterprises. The country must also embrace economic pragmatism by opening trade with all countries, investing in human capital, and avoiding ideological distractions to achieve economic modernization.
Millions of Pakistanis are facing the devastating consequences of an unprecedented economic crisis, with rising inflation, soaring fuel and electricity prices, and a weakening currency, leaving low-income households struggling to make ends meet.
Despite Pakistan's immense potential in various sectors such as energy and agriculture, the country continues to face economic injustice and elite capture, which undermines social justice and human development, according to economist Dr Hafiz Pasha; in recent months, however, the government has taken action against electricity theft, currency smuggling, and commodity hoarding to combat these issues.
Former Pakistani Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif criticized his country's poor economic condition, comparing it to India's success in reaching the moon and stating that Pakistan has been reduced to begging for dollars while India's economy has prospered. Sharif also claimed that the Indian government had copied his economic reform order from 1990 during their own reforms in 1991. He blamed Pakistani generals for the country's plight and labeled them as the worst enemies of Pakistan.
Pakistan's poverty rate has risen to 39.4% with 12.5 million more people falling below the poverty line, prompting the World Bank to urge the country to take urgent steps to achieve financial stability by taxing agriculture and real estate and cutting wasteful expenditures.
Pakistan is facing a major economic crisis with high inflation, insufficient public resources, and policy decisions influenced by vested interests, according to the World Bank. The country needs to make hard choices and prioritize coordinated, efficient, and adequately financed service delivery to improve human development outcomes. Additionally, the Pakistani Rupee has reached a record low against the US dollar.
Pakistan is facing a deep economic crisis that has negatively impacted living standards, the private sector, and the environment, and the World Bank argues that urgent policy shifts are needed to address low quality basic services, improve fiscal management, create a more dynamic and open economy, and address failures and distortions in the agri-food and energy sectors.
The World Bank warns that Pakistan is facing mounting woes and economic hardships, including inflation, rising electricity prices, severe climate shocks, and a 'silent' human capital crisis, while urging the incoming government to make crucial decisions themselves.
The author argues that there are underlying pressures responsible for an ongoing spiral of devaluation in Pakistan's economy, and these pressures make it difficult to sustain recent gains in the value of the rupee.
The inflationary environment in Pakistan is causing significant challenges for small businesses, particularly those run by women entrepreneurs, forcing them to raise prices or take out loans to manage expenses and protect profit margins, resulting in declining sales and financial hardship.
Illegal activities such as black market currency trade, gold smuggling, and oil smuggling are costing Pakistan's economy USD 23 billion per year, leading to currency devaluation, inflation, and a loss of government revenue.
Pakistan is facing a social and economic crisis, with challenges such as low foreign direct investment, decreasing exports, high debt, inflation, and lagging development, and policymakers need to take decisive action to address these issues and prioritize national interests and security, including political stability, diplomatic initiatives with neighboring countries, and investment promotion measures.
Pakistan's economy is in dire straits, heavily reliant on external assistance and loans, with rising inflation, high poverty rates, and a plummeting Human Development Index, yet the country's military-owned enterprises continue to thrive, maintaining extraordinary financial control and leveraging their autonomy for corruption and lack of accountability.
Pakistan is facing a poverty crisis, with 40% of its population living below the poverty line, according to the World Bank.