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Government Shutdown Could Delay Economic Data, Causing Uncertainty for Markets and Fed Policy

  • A government shutdown could delay release of key economic data like jobs reports, causing market volatility as investors lack info to assess economy.

  • Without timely government data, investors may rely more on alternative sources, impacting Fed rate decisions over next 3-6 months.

  • Lack of employment and inflation data could lead Fed to take more cautious stance on rate hikes.

  • Delays in data flow central bank depends on could weaken case for November rate hike.

  • IPOs and other transactions could be disrupted as regulators struggle to process filings, hurting investor confidence.

timesofindia.com
Relevant topic timeline:
Goldman Sachs analysts predict that the U.S. government is "more likely than not" to shut down later this year due to spending disagreements, which could temporarily impact economic growth by reducing it by 0.15-0.2 percentage points per week, with past shutdowns having minimal impact on equity markets.
### Summary The impending government shutdown due to a funding dispute between hard-right lawmakers in the House and Democrats could affect various government functions and services, causing delays and closures in areas such as air travel, national parks, and food safety inspections.
The White House warns that a government shutdown at the end of the month could have damaging consequences for the economy, national security, and the American public.
Summary: Investors shouldn't worry about a government shutdown as it is unlikely to significantly impact the stock market.
Millions of federal employees and military personnel face the prospect of a government shutdown, which would result in financial hardships for American families, disruptions in services, and potential harm to the economy.
The federal government is likely to face a shutdown that will affect various services, disrupt workers' pay, and create political turmoil as Republicans demand deep spending cuts.
The impending federal shutdown, combined with other economic challenges such as rising gas prices, student loan payments, and reduced pandemic savings, is expected to strain American households and potentially weaken economic growth in the last quarter of the year.
A potential government shutdown in Washington could have far-reaching consequences, causing financial losses for millions of people, disrupting medical research and food access, delaying regulatory efforts, and hampering the Biden administration's agenda on energy, climate, and infrastructure.
If lawmakers fail to pass a budget by October 1, the government will shut down and it could have several negative impacts on the economy, such as furloughed workers, difficulty in obtaining mortgages, and the Federal Reserve lacking important data for monetary policy decisions.
A government shutdown on October 1 is likely, but it is not expected to have a significant impact on financial markets or cause an economic recession.
The publication of major U.S. economic data, including employment and inflation reports, will be suspended indefinitely if the federal government shuts down due to lack of funding, leaving policymakers, investors, and businesses in the dark for key decision-making.
Google searches about the potential government shutdown in the US are increasing, with a particular interest in how it would affect Social Security, veterans' benefits, and the US dollar.
A U.S. government shutdown would negatively impact its credit assessment and highlight the weakness of its institutional and governance strength compared to other top-rated governments, according to Moody's, although the economic impact would likely be short-lived.
The possibility of a government shutdown in the U.S. could have negative implications for the crypto industry's regulatory progress and projects, similar to the effects seen in the previous shutdown in 2018 and 2019, with delays in approvals and a withdrawal of a bitcoin ETF application.
The U.S. is on the verge of a government shutdown as Congress debates spending levels and aid to Ukraine, which could potentially affect government operations and federal workers' paychecks.
The impending government shutdown may have an impact on the financial markets, according to Kristina Hooper, Chief Global Market Strategist at Invesco.
A brief government shutdown is unlikely to significantly slow down the economy, but a prolonged shutdown could hurt growth and potentially impact President Biden's re-election prospects.
A government shutdown in the U.S. could cause significant disruptions in the stock and bond markets, with the Securities and Exchange Commission being forced to furlough most of its staff and leaving the market oversight at a "skeletal" crew level.
A government shutdown would severely impact the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission's ability to approve IPOs and respond to market turmoil, according to its chair, Gary Gensler.
Summarizing the text given, the US is preparing for a government shutdown as the funding deadline approaches, with potential consequences including delays in work authorizations for migrants, impacts on the Federal Aviation Administration, uncertainty in the House regarding a procedural vote, and concerns about the effects on small businesses and border security.
U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen warns that a potential government shutdown would harm economic progress, impacting key programs for small businesses and children and delaying infrastructure improvements.
A potential government shutdown in the US may lead to a delay or absence of the September consumer-price index report, which would complicate decisions for financial markets and the Federal Reserve.
Investors will be closely watching market reactions to a late deal to avert a government shutdown, as well as key data on the labor market this week, while concerns about higher interest rates and the impact on the economy weigh on stock futures.