New hires are experiencing declining wages in various sectors such as technology and transportation, which could impact job hopping and take time to reflect in federal data, posing challenges for the Federal Reserve in managing inflation.
The US Labor Department has revised downward its estimate of total payroll employment in March 2023, revealing a slightly cooler labor market than previously thought, which may influence the Federal Reserve's decision on interest rates at their upcoming policy meeting in September.
Despite attempts by the Federal Reserve to cool the economy and combat inflation, applications for unemployment benefits in the US declined last week, indicating a resilient labor market.
The Bank of Canada may shift its focus from the output gap to labor market indicators, such as unemployment and wages, in order to make inflation forecasts and guide its interest rate decisions, according to a report by CIBC economists. The report suggests that the labor market has become a more reliable indicator of excess demand or supply, and forecasts that if the job market outlook suggests it's not necessary, there may be no more rate hikes this year and rate cuts in early 2024.
The Biden administration's Inflation Reduction Act is creating jobs, but the United States is experiencing a shortage of skilled workers, leading business leaders to call for an expansion of work permits for immigrants to fill the workforce gap.
Employment growth in the US likely cooled and wage increases moderated in August, reducing the urgency for another interest-rate hike by the Federal Reserve and tempering inflation risks.
The number of job openings in the US fell to 8.8 million at the end of July, indicating a slowing economy, with declines seen in professional and business services, healthcare, and state and local government sectors, while the information industry and transportation saw increases in job openings. Additionally, consumer confidence dipped in August as Americans grew more concerned about rising prices of gas and groceries, and home prices continued to increase in June.
The US labor market shows signs of easing as job openings decline for the third consecutive month, worker quits decrease, and layoffs increase, indicating a more balanced state, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
U.S. job openings reach lowest level in nearly 2.5 years in July, signaling a slowdown in the labor market and potential impact on interest rates.
The number of job vacancies in the US dropped in July, indicating a cooling labor market that could alleviate inflation, while fewer Americans quit their jobs and consumer confidence in the economy decreased, potentially impacting consumer spending; these trends may lead the Federal Reserve to delay a rate hike in September.
The U.S. jobs market shows signs of cooling as Labor Day approaches, giving investors relief from concerns about a potential Federal Reserve interest rate hike. However, global market rally and uncertainty around China's market rebound indicate that risks still persist.
Job creation in the US slowed in August, indicating that the strong economy could be starting to weaken under pressure from higher interest rates. Private employers added 177,000 jobs, well below the previous month's total of 371,000. Pay growth also slowed, suggesting more sustainable growth as the effects of the pandemic recede. Investors and economists remain uncertain about the future of US inflation and whether the economy can continue to grow without a significant slowdown.
Job openings and layoffs decreased in July, indicating a return to pre-pandemic labor market patterns, with economists attributing the drop to a decline in turnover rather than contraction.
The August jobs report is highly anticipated as investors assess the health of the labor market amidst rising interest rates and inflation, with projections indicating an increase in hiring and a steady unemployment rate, but potential disruptions from ongoing strikes and bankruptcies could affect the data. The report is closely watched by the Federal Reserve for signs of labor market softening as they grapple with inflation, and while the labor market has remained tight, there are indications of a gradual slowdown. Job openings have decreased, along with resignations, pointing to a labor market that is cooling.
U.S. job growth likely slowed in August due to factors such as striking actors and a major trucking company bankruptcy, but the unemployment rate is expected to remain low; economists caution against overreacting and advise focusing on long-term trends.
Job creation in the American labor market is expected to slow down in August, with the addition of approximately 170,000 jobs, reflecting a mild cooling of employment growth and wage growth, as well as the impact of higher interest rates on hiring; the recent strikes in the film industry, although not a significant direct employer, are likely to have some impact on the jobs numbers, particularly those related to on-set production and support roles.
The US added 187,000 jobs in August, but the unemployment rate rose to 3.8 percent, indicating a plateau in the labor market as the Federal Reserve considers another interest rate hike.
The US added more jobs than expected in August, but the unemployment rate rose, causing little change in the price of bitcoin while traditional markets reacted positively.
The latest inflation data suggests that price increases are cooling down, increasing the likelihood that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in their upcoming meeting.
The US job market is cooling down, with signs of weakening and a slowdown in momentum, which may allow the Federal Reserve to ease inflation pressure through weaker job creation and reduced demand.
The August jobs report indicates that the labor market is cooling despite a larger-than-expected gain in payrolls.
The US job market added 187,000 jobs in July, returning to pre-pandemic levels and indicating a gradual cooling off of the labor market, with positive economic news and a steady unemployment rate of 3.5%.
The US dollar edged lower as US markets were closed for a holiday, and investors considered US jobs data indicating signs of cooling, leading to speculation that the Federal Reserve may be at the end of its monetary tightening cycle.
Despite weakening economic growth, the unemployment rate remains low, which is puzzling economists and could lead to a "full-employment stagnation" scenario with a potential recession and low unemployment rates, posing challenges for the Federal Reserve and the overall economy.
U.S. economic growth was modest in July and August, with slowing inflation and a cooling labor market, indicating that the Federal Reserve may be close to finishing its interest rate increases.
The US job market remains resilient despite lower-than-expected job growth in July, with the unemployment rate dipping to 3.5% and more Americans entering the job market, easing pressure on employers to raise wages.
Walmart is lowering starting wages for some entry-level jobs, indicating a cooling labor market.
Inflation has decreased significantly in recent months, but the role of the Federal Reserve in this decline is questionable as there is little evidence to suggest that higher interest rates led to lower prices and curtailed demand or employment. Other factors such as falling energy prices and the healing of disrupted supply chains appear to have had a larger impact on slowing inflation.
Economists predict that inflation will cool without a recession, as the effects of rate hikes have already taken shape, putting the US economy on track for a soft landing.
The jobs market is currently in a relatively benign position, with unemployment rates and wage growth neither extremely high nor low, but leading indicators suggest a potential rise in unemployment and a continued deceleration of wage growth in the coming quarters.
Central banks' efforts to combat inflation by raising interest rates have not led to mass job losses, as labor markets in various countries have cooperated by reducing open vacancies and trimming wage growth, suggesting a possible "soft landing" for the economy without significant casualties.
The retail, leisure and hospitality, and accommodation and food services industries experienced wage growth that outpaced inflation due to the high demand and staffing shortages after the pandemic, but there are no guaranteed inflation-proof industries, and it is important for individuals to focus on securing jobs that offer upward mobility and higher income to keep up with inflation.
/cloudfront-us-east-2.images.arcpublishing.com/reuters/4JT7YGWOTVLSDOBTB7TOHVAGWE.jpg)