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Markets Brace for Volatility Amid Crude Prices, FII Outflows, Hawkish Fed

  • Global trends, foreign investors' trading activity, and movement of Brent crude to impact markets this week according to analysts.

  • Equity markets may see volatile trends amid F&O expiry on Thursday after falling 3% last week.

  • Concerns like rising crude prices, strong dollar, treasury yields and FII selling hurting market sentiment.

  • Macroeconomic data, global markets, crude prices, rupee movement, and FII/DII investments to remain in focus.

  • Markets reacted negatively to US Fed's hawkish stance on interest rates even as key rates were unchanged.

timesofindia.com
Relevant topic timeline:
Crude oil prices are trying to recover and show signs of support, with a "buy on the dips" attitude prevailing due to Saudi Arabia holding 1 million barrels per day out of the market, although supply concerns may arise despite a global slowdown.
Oil prices continue to trade sideways this week, with supply shocks being counteracted by continued macroeconomic pessimism and the issuance of product export quotas by China.
The outlook for oil prices and Chinese demand, OPEC+ supply curbs, rising flows of Iranian crude, and the transition away from fossil fuels are among the key topics discussed at Asia's largest gathering of industry traders and executives.
Crude oil prices, inflation expectations, and labor strikes in the auto industry are among the key factors affecting global markets this week, as central banks grapple with mixed signals and low visibility.
World markets are cautious ahead of central bank decisions and concerned about inflation signals amidst rising oil prices, as crude oil reaches its highest levels of the year due to supply cuts from Saudi Arabia and Russia, while US production also falls.
Rising oil prices continue to soar due to supply cuts by Saudi Arabia and Russia, with Brent and WTI crude prices reaching their highest level since November and targeting their biggest quarterly jumps since 2014, causing concerns about potential inflation and impacting industries reliant on fuel such as airlines and trucking companies.
Oil traders have been heavily buying crude and fuel futures over the past four weeks, leading to a ratio of bullish to bearish bets on oil and fuels of almost 8:1, indicating that oil prices may be due for a correction.
Oil industry analysts have raised their price forecasts for 2023, with most expecting Brent Crude to average $84.09 per barrel, but few foresee sustained $100 oil due to an artificially tightened market and uncertain global economic outlook.
Global markets steadied as investors awaited data on the labor market, with US equity futures and bonds trading slightly weaker, the dollar steadying, and West Texas Intermediate crude holding around $84 a barrel.
Stocks slip as U.S. crude futures drop and mortgage rates climb, while investors await payroll data for signs of a slowing job market; electric vehicle stocks like Rivian and Lucid are making moves, and the U.S. Dollar Index rises for its 12th consecutive week. European stocks close mixed, and utilities stocks see their worst year in over a decade due to higher bond yields.
Oil prices are falling, providing some relief to the bond blowup caused by rising interest rates, but the direction of markets will be determined by the upcoming U.S. employment report.
Global financial markets are bracing for potential volatility and uncertainty following Hamas's surprise attack on Israel, with investors closely monitoring the reaction of oil prices and the potential for conflict to spread throughout the Middle East region.
The recent eruption of war in Israel has oil traders closely monitoring the possibility of the conflict spreading throughout the region, with concerns focused on Iran and its impact on oil supply and prices.
Geopolitical turmoil in the Middle East, particularly the conflict between Hamas and Israel, is causing uncertainty in European markets, as investors consider the impact on already fragile markets dealing with inflation and rising interest rates. Oil prices have surged and U.S. stock futures are lower, adding geopolitical risk to the equation. European markets are expected to open mixed on Monday.
Geopolitical tensions, earnings reports, U.S. retail sales data, and speeches by Federal Reserve officials will shape the week ahead in markets, along with oil volatility and economic data from China and the U.K.
Tensions in the Middle East are causing global markets to brace for impact as investors fear that a wider conflict could increase oil prices and disrupt supply chains.
Oil futures are being watched closely as Western leaders and diplomats warn Iran against getting involved in the Israel-Hamas conflict, which has the potential to lead to a ground invasion of Gaza, causing volatility in the energy markets and prompting investors to trade options and seek classic hedges such as gold and Treasuries.
Global markets are anxiously monitoring rising tensions in the Middle East and the potential for the Israel-Hamas war to drive up oil prices and fuel inflation, leading to a sell-off in multiple markets, including Asia, Europe, and the US.