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No real fix to the sharp rise in public debt loads, economists say

A research paper presented at the Kansas City Federal Reserve's annual central banking symposium concludes that the steep increase in public debt over the past 15 years due to the Global Financial Crisis and the COVID-19 pandemic is likely irreversible, with governments now needing to live with high debt burdens and implement measures such as spending limits and tax hikes.

reuters.com
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Britain's public debt load has risen by more than 40% to nearly ÂŁ2.6 trillion ($3.3 trillion) since the pandemic began, causing concerns about the country's ability to service its liabilities and reigniting questions about its credit rating. The heavy reliance on index-linked bonds and the threat of inflation could further worsen the situation, potentially leading to a negative economic spiral that could last for years. The UK's debt burden is already higher than its entire annual economic output, and without action, it could balloon to three times the GDP over the next half century.
Despite concerns over rising deficits and debt, central banks globally have been buying government debt to combat deflationary forces, which has kept interest rates low and prevented a rise in rates as deficits increase; therefore, the assumption that interest rates must go higher may be incorrect.
Despite reaching record levels of total credit card debt and household debt, Americans are actually managing their debt better than in the past due to inflation masking the impact on balances and lower debt-to-deposit levels, according to an analysis by WalletHub. However, the rising trajectory of credit card debt and the increasing number of households carrying balances raise concerns, especially considering the high interest rates, which can take more than 17 years to pay off and cost thousands of dollars in interest. Meanwhile, savers have the opportunity to earn higher returns on cash due to higher inflation and interest rates.
Consumer debt, including auto-loans and credit card balances, is increasing in the United States, but strong government intervention and temporary relief measures have created a cushion of extra cash savings, leading to a positive outcome for Bitcoin (BTC) according to Cointelegraph analyst Marcel Pechman.
US consumer spending is showing resilience and robust growth, although signs of a slowdown are emerging, potentially related to the public's perception of a deteriorating financial situation due to high inflation and rising interest rates, despite the fact that households still have higher deposits compared to pre-pandemic levels.
The US government's debt has reached a record high of almost $33 trillion, causing concerns about its impact on the nation's finances and the risk of a debt crisis, according to experts like Larry McDonald, Ray Dalio, and Nouriel Roubini.
The steep increase in public debt worldwide due to the Global Financial Crisis and the COVID-19 pandemic is likely irreversible, as countries struggle to reduce debt-to-GDP ratios due to factors such as population aging and increased public financing needs, according to economists at the International Monetary Fund and the University of California, Berkeley.
A post-pandemic global economy characterized by record levels of government debt, geopolitical tensions, and weak productivity gains may lead to a slow-growth future that hinders development in some countries even before it begins, as discussed at a symposium organized by the Kansas City Federal Reserve.
The US economy may face disruption as debts are refinanced at higher interest rates, which could put pressure on both financial institutions and the government, according to Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta President Raphael Bostic.
The federal budget deficit is expected to surge to more than $2 trillion this year, nearly doubling last year's deficit, due to increased government spending, high interest payments on the national debt, and rising inflation, leading to concerns about the sustainability of such spending and its impact on future generations.
The U.S.'s national debt has reached nearly $33 trillion and while debt has its uses, concerns are rising about its impact on the economy, particularly as the debt-to-GDP ratio nears 100%.
U.S. consumers have accumulated $43 billion in additional credit card debt during Q2 2022, three times the average amount since the Great Recession, and credit card interest rates have soared to over 20%, raising concerns about the impact of inflation and rising interest rates on consumers' ability to pay off their balances. However, some economists argue that higher wages are helping consumers keep pace with their debt, and the overall rate of charge-offs remains low. Nonetheless, the combination of spent-down pandemic savings and the resumption of federal student loan payments could pose challenges for lower-income borrowers and hinder consumer spending.
The US's $32 trillion debt may not be as dire as it seems, as experts point out misconceptions about the national deficit and its impact on the economy. However, future debt problems could arise due to current spending rates.
US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen believes that despite the national debt nearing $33 trillion, the federal government's debt burden remains under control due to the net interest as a share of GDP remaining at a reasonable level. However, critics warn of the potential risks of a growing debt and credit bubble. Additionally, Yellen hopes for a quick resolution to the United Auto Workers' strike, stating that the economy remains strong overall.