Major U.S. indexes have fallen due to losses in financial stocks and concerns about China's economy, as Fitch Ratings warns of a potential downgrade for the U.S. banking industry's credit rating and JPMorgan highlights a higher risk of corporate defaults in emerging markets.
Former Goldman Sachs executive Raoul Pal predicts that the stock market will soon hit a bottom, with the S&P 500 entering oversold territory, and expects institutional buyers to step in and establish a market bottom; he also suggests that Bitcoin and Ethereum are showing bullish signs on certain indicators.
Stock markets worldwide experience declines amid concerns over the Chinese property market, rising US bond yields, and poor economic data in China and the UK.
The recent downturn in the cryptocurrency market, marked by a 10% decline in total market capitalization and significant liquidations on futures contracts, can be attributed to various economic factors such as rising interest rates and inflation, as well as regulatory concerns and financial difficulties within the industry, with the future trajectory of the market being influenced by these factors.
The stock market experienced a sharp decline as early gains turned into a selloff, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500, and Nasdaq Composite all falling; concerns over rising bond yields and inflation contributed to the sell-off.
Market optimism around the US economy may decline as recent shifts in the Treasury yield curve indicate a potential trigger for a correction or rapid unwind in positions, with investors closely watching Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's upcoming speech.
Stocks are overvalued and a recession is expected in the first half of next year, according to economist Steve Hanke. He predicts that inflation will cool, Treasury yields will fall, and house prices will remain stable.
Despite concerns over the financial health of the US consumer, projections for a stock market decline may be unfounded as consumers have the capacity to spend, with low debt levels, significant assets, untapped home equity, low mortgage rates, and solid retail spending.
China's leading e-commerce company, JD.com, has experienced a significant decline in its stock price due to investor concerns about the Chinese economic recovery and the property market debt crisis, despite positive second-quarter earnings and growth prospects.
Wharton professor Jeremy Siegel predicts that the stock market will continue to rise into the end of the year, with the S&P 500 potentially surging 25% and gaining an additional 9% if the Federal Reserve acknowledges falling inflation and refrains from further interest rate hikes.
Investors are unsure if the correction in the US stock market is over, as the possibility of a head-and-shoulders top on the S&P 500 is being discussed, although it is still uncertain if the consolidation will continue higher or lead to a downward trend.
Stocks are expected to decline as mortgage rates soar, causing many Americans to be unable to move and resulting in a bubble in home prices, according to economist David Rosenberg.
The fundamentals and technicals support a demographically driven bull market in stocks until 2034, but potential risks include inflation, interest rate-induced debt crisis, and refinancing problems, which could lead to a drop in the stock market. Comparing the S&P 500's score in August 2023 to historical patterns, the market seems confident and not indicating an imminent debt crisis or severe recession. Credit spreads also appear tame compared to previous crisis periods. However, the article notes the possibility of abrupt changes in the market and encourages openness to a wide range of outcomes.
The Pakistani stock market experienced significant losses in response to rumors of an interest rate hike, economic uncertainty, and the depreciation of the rupee.
Economist David Rosenberg warns that the US is likely to enter a recession within six months due to the deterioration of credit quality, reminiscent of the 2008 mortgage crisis.
The U.S. economy is defying expectations with continued growth, falling inflation, and a strong stock market; however, there is uncertainty about the near-term outlook and it depends on the economy's future course and the actions of the Federal Reserve.
Stock investors have been reacting positively to "bad economic news" as it may imply a slowdown in the economy and a potential halt to interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve, however, for this trend to change, economic data would have to be much worse than it is currently.
Goldman Sachs predicts that the chances of the US falling into a recession within the next year have decreased to 15%, and its chief economist believes that the slowdown in the economy will be shallow and short-lived.
The stock market has been stagnant for over a month and it is expected to decline in its next move.
Stocks on Wall Street are expected to decline as concerns about inflation raise doubts about the Federal Reserve's decision to cut interest rates, while worries about crumbling demand and falling German industrial orders add to the uncertainty.
Stock indexes decline as concerns about future rate hikes and sluggish market performance in September weigh on investor sentiment, with the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite falling for the third consecutive day and the Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&P 500 on a two-day losing streak.
Stock futures decline as investors express concerns about the Federal Reserve's potential to maintain a restrictive monetary policy due to rising inflation.
US stocks are experiencing their worst performance in September since 1928, but there are signs that the market could avoid a steep downturn this year, with indicators suggesting more stability and positive gains for the rest of the year, according to Mark Hackett, chief of research at US investment firm Nationwide. However, challenges such as elevated oil prices and inflation could put strain on the stock market and the US economy.
John Hussman warns that stocks are overvalued and investors buying into the S&P 500 now are likely to experience abysmal returns for the next decade. He cites high valuations and poor investor sentiment as indications of a forthcoming steep sell-off, and predicts an annualized return of -4% over the next 12 years.
The US consumer is predicted to experience a decline in personal consumption in early 2024, which could lead to a potential recession and downside for stocks, as high borrowing costs and dwindling Covid-era savings impact household budgets.
Chinese stocks have passed the worst of the selling pressure and are still attractive to investors due to their cheap valuation and potential for growth, according to CLSA. However, Beijing needs to address concerns and risks in the economy. The MSCI China Index has fallen this year, but a pause in the Federal Reserve's tightening policy is expected to reverse market pessimism.
The US economy is facing a looming recession, with weakness in certain sectors, but investors should not expect a significant number of interest-rate cuts next year, according to Liz Ann Sonders, the chief investment strategist at Charles Schwab. She points out that leading indicators have severely deteriorated, indicating trouble ahead, and predicts a full-blown recession as the most likely outcome. Despite this, the stock market has been defying rate increases and performing well.
The recent decline in the price of Bitcoin has raised concerns of a larger market downtrend, with Ethereum and Ripple also at risk of falling if Bitcoin weakens further.
The odds of the U.S. entering a recession by mid-2024 have decreased, but certain regions, such as the West and South, are still more vulnerable due to rapid economic growth, high home prices, and inflation, according to Moody's Analytics. However, a severe downturn is unlikely, and the Midwest and Northeast are less susceptible to a pullback. Overall, the chance of a recession has declined nationwide, but there is still a risk for some metro areas, such as Austin, Boise, Ogden, and Tampa.
Despite economists giving the all-clear on a recession, there are still several red flags suggesting a downturn may be imminent, including an uncertain economic outlook, declining consumer confidence, maxed out credit cards, tightening credit conditions, maturing corporate debt, a manufacturing slump, global economic challenges, an inverted yield curve, and sticky inflation.
The stock market is disregarding signs of an economic slowdown, despite historical evidence suggesting it could be a cause for concern.
The Philippine stock market continues to decline, with concerns about a hawkish central bank deterring foreign investors and wiping out billions of dollars in market value.
Economist Gary Shilling predicts that the S&P 500 will decline by around 40% during this market cycle, citing recession indicators such as the yield curve and The Conference Board's Leading Economic Index. He believes that a US recession may already be underway due to the Federal Reserve's focus on reducing inflation, and high valuations in the stock market increase the likelihood of a significant drop.
Investors are becoming increasingly cautious about the US stock market and the economy as 2023 draws to a close, leading to a more defensive investment approach by Wall Street banks and experts warning of potential pain ahead.
Stock-market strategists are raising their year-end targets for the S&P 500 Index after being largely wrong about this year's rally, but they still expect a market downturn in 2024 despite signs of a strong economy and improving profit outlook.
The Bank of International Settlements warns that financial markets should be cautious of persistent inflation and a more severe economic downturn next year, which could lead to insolvencies and a steep decline in property prices.
Asia-Pacific markets are expected to continue declining as investors wait for China's loan prime rates and the U.S. Federal Reserve's rate decision, while oil prices rise due to supply concerns and all 11 sectors in the S&P 500 trade down.