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New Home Sales Plummet in August as Mortgage Rates Surge, Forcing Builders to Slash Prices

  • Sales of new homes decreased 8.7% in August to 675,000 units, much worse than expected and reversing this year's gains.

  • Mortgage rates hit a 22-year high in August, remaining above 7% and hurting resale and new home markets.

  • 32% of builders reduced prices in September, the largest share since December 2021, with average discounts of 6%.

  • 59% of builders offered sales incentives in September, more than any month since April 2023, to offset higher rates.

  • Homebuilder confidence declined for the second straight month in September as high rates dampen demand, per the NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Index.

yahoo.com
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New home sales in the US increased by 4.4% in July, outperforming expectations and highlighting the continued demand for new construction due to a shortage of existing affordable homes. Despite rising mortgage rates, buyers are turning to new homes, causing a decline in sales in the resale market. However, as mortgage rates continue to rise, builder sentiment may be negatively impacted and prices may need to be adjusted to attract buyers.
Mortgage rates topping 7% have led to a significant drop in mortgage applications for home purchases, with last week seeing the smallest volume in 28 years. The increase in rates, driven by concerns of high inflation, has priced out many potential buyers and contributed to low housing supply and high home prices. As a result, sales of previously owned homes have declined, and homeowners are reluctant to sell their properties due to the higher rates. Some buyers are turning to adjustable-rate mortgages to manage the increased costs.
Homebuyers' purchasing power has been negatively impacted by rising mortgage rates, which averaged 7.2% in August, the highest level since 2001, resulting in a decline in existing home sales and a shift towards new-construction homes.
Buyers of newly built homes are enjoying lower mortgage rates, as home builders are allocating a portion of the sale proceeds to permanently buy down the rates, leading to higher new home sales.
In August, the number of homes actively for sale decreased by 7.9% compared to the previous year, while the total number of unsold homes, including those under contract, decreased by 9.2%.
The housing market is entering its slow season and home sales may be impacted by high mortgage rates, but home builder stocks could remain strong.
The US housing market is experiencing high mortgage rates and low supply, causing home prices to remain high despite rising interest rates.
Mortgage rates have risen significantly, but while higher-end homes have experienced price declines, lower-end homes have remained relatively unaffected, leading to a divergence in the housing market.
US mortgage rates have decreased slightly for the second consecutive week, but they remain above 7%, causing home affordability to reach its lowest level in nearly four decades.
The housing market activity remains subdued due to fluctuating mortgage rates and low housing supply, leading to decreased demand and affordability challenges for potential homebuyers.
Mortgage rates remain elevated, slowing housing market activity, and while home prices are not likely to fall significantly, rates are projected to decrease in 2023 and 2024.
Rates on 30-year mortgages have decreased, reaching their lowest point since September 1st, after dropping nearly a quarter percentage point from their 22-year high recorded last week.
The housing market faces challenges from 7 percent mortgage rates, but the downside risk to home sales is limited due to sales being driven by life events and high cash purchases, according to Fannie Mae's Economic and Strategic Research Group.
The United States housing market has seen a 21 percent decline in previously occupied home sales over the past year, continuing the slowdown caused by rising interest rates, while prices continue to rise despite the decrease in sales, leading to a shortage of affordable homes and worsening home affordability for the foreseeable future.
Sales of previously owned homes fell 0.7% in August from July, with high mortgage rates and tight supply impacting potential buyers.
Home sales in the American Midwest defied the national trend by increasing in August, while sales across the country declined, due to high mortgage rates and low supply, according to data from the National Association of Realtors. Overall, home sales decreased by 0.7% in August and over 15% from the previous year, but analysts noted a stabilization in the market. The Midwest saw a 1% increase in home sales compared to July, but a more than 16% decline compared to the previous year.
The rise in housing prices over the past three years can be attributed to a shortage of supply, low volume in the market, and the introduction of mortgage rate buydowns; however, there is now a risk of too much inventory being introduced into the market, and a potential decline in mortgage rates could lead to a large amount of existing homes being sold and a subsequent oversupply.
Higher mortgage rates are causing existing-home sales in August to decline and may also impact new home sales in the near future.
UK house prices are dropping at the fastest rate since 2009, driven by higher mortgage rates and affordability constraints, but buyer demand and consumer confidence are showing signs of improvement. Lowering mortgage rates could be key to revitalizing the housing market, which is expected to end the year with prices 2-3% lower than at the beginning of the year.
As the US housing market starts to cool down, homebuyers are being presented with a good opportunity as more homes see price reductions, according to Zillow, with 9.2% of listings having a price cut in the week ending September 16, a higher rate than in 2019.
Rising mortgage rates are impacting home affordability, which has been declining since early 2021, causing some sellers to reduce their asking prices, but the lack of available properties remains a challenge for most buyers.
Mortgage rates have continued to rise, causing a 6% decrease in mortgage demand and the lowest level of activity in the housing market since 1995.
Home buying demand drops as U.S. mortgage rates reach highest level since 2000, leading to a decline in mortgage application volume.
Mortgage rates in the U.S. housing market are approaching 8%, causing concern and potentially discouraging home-buying demand due to higher monthly mortgage payments relative to incomes.
The housing market is slowing down due to soaring mortgage rates, which could lead to an economic downturn as home construction is curbed and growth prospects falter, according to billionaire investor Bill Gross.
Sentiment in the US housing market declined due to rising mortgage rates, with buyers anticipating higher home prices in the future, according to Fannie Mae data.
The metro Atlanta housing market saw a decline in September due to the highest mortgage rates since 2000, resulting in a decrease in home sales and total value; the market has also experienced a shortage of inventory, leading to a seller's advantage despite rising mortgage rates.
Mortgage rates are expected to fall in the coming months, offering homebuyers more affordability and potentially boosting the housing market.
Mortgage rates are expected to decrease significantly by the end of 2024, but a shortage of available homes will lead to higher sales prices for the next few years. Despite the drop in rates, the low inventory of new homes will drive up purchase costs. Additionally, a sluggish economy, rising unemployment, and declining inflation may lead to a recession in early 2024. However, the combination of these factors will eventually help bring down mortgage rates further in the following years.
The rise in mortgage rates due to the Fed's battle against inflation has led to a historic increase in the cost of buying a home, resulting in a significant decline in home-buying demand and a doubling of the typical monthly mortgage payment.
Home prices rising alongside high mortgage rates have made the housing market the least affordable it has been since the early 2000s, with sellers reluctant to sell and buyers struggling with high spending on housing, leading to low existing-home sales volumes and a "lock-in" effect.
U.S. existing home sales dropped 2% in September due to high mortgage rates and a shortage in housing supply, with prices falling slightly and the supply crunch being driven by the surge in mortgage rates over the past year.
Mortgage rates reaching 8% are causing a tighter supply of homes for sale, leading to increased demand and further deteriorating affordability, according to Morgan Stanley analysts who warn that if rates stay at this level, affordability would reach its most severe level in decades. Despite the unaffordability, the analysts predict that home prices will likely increase due to low supply and a lack of negative shocks to the broader economy.
The US housing market is experiencing a significant decline in existing-home sales, with September seeing a 15% drop compared to the previous year, due to factors such as high mortgage rates, low inventory levels, and rising home prices.
If mortgage rates stay at their current level, home prices could drop by as much as 5% next year, according to Morgan Stanley, and if rates remain close to 8%, it could have an even more negative impact on home prices in the long term.
The housing market is facing significant challenges, with a 15% drop in home sales leading to a 13-year low, and economists predicting a "deep freeze" reminiscent of the Great Recession of 2010 or the housing recession of the 1980s, while Zillow has revised its forecast for home price growth downward due to higher mortgage rates.
Goldman Sachs predicts that sustained higher mortgage rates and tight supply will lead to a decline in homebuying activity and a fall in home prices by 0.8% this year, although home prices are expected to rise by 3.4% year-over-year; existing home sales are also projected to decrease to their lowest level since the early 1990s.