US bond-market selloff continues as resilient economy prompts investors to anticipate elevated interest rates even after the Federal Reserve finishes its hikes, leading to a 16-year high in 10-year yields and increased inflation expectations.
Bond selling has driven 10-year Treasury yields to 16-year highs, possibly due to the timing of the Bank of Japan's signal to allow higher yields and speculation on the upcoming Federal Reserve symposium, with implications for risk appetite and a focus on Fed Chair Jerome Powell's Jackson Hole speech.
The Chinese bond market is experiencing a significant shift due to concerns over China's economic growth prospects, including a bursting property bubble and lack of government stimulus, leading to potential capital flight and pressure on the yuan, which could result in increased selling of US Treasuries by Chinese banks and a rethink of global growth expectations.
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's speech at Jackson Hole could trigger a move higher in bond yields, leading investors to consider switching to value stocks, which are currently underperforming growth stocks, according to Vanguard.
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome H. Powell stated in a speech at the Jackson Hole symposium that the central bank is prepared to raise interest rates further if needed, signaling that they do not believe inflation is fully under control. The Fed will proceed cautiously and assess economic data as they determine whether to make further policy adjustments.
The Federal Reserve's plan to raise interest rates could lead to increased sell pressure on Bitcoin, potentially pushing its price down to the $25,000 range, although the impact may be limited due to consolidation and caution among traders.
The Federal Reserve's primary inflation rate showed a decrease in core price pressures in July, but Fed Chair Jerome Powell is now focusing on price changes for services excluding housing and energy, which surged last month, potentially contributing to the gains in the stock market.
A surge in bond issuance by U.S. investment-grade-rated companies is putting pressure on long-end U.S. Treasuries as investors opt for higher-yielding corporate debt over government bonds.
The gold market is experiencing selling pressure due to better-than-expected jobless claims data, easing fears of an economic slowdown and potentially leading to a longer maintenance of elevated interest rates by the Federal Reserve.
Bond traders are anticipating that the Federal Reserve will continue with interest-rate hikes, and next week's consumer-price index report will provide further insight on how much more tightening may be required to control inflation.
The Federal Reserve is expected to keep interest rates steady and signal that it is done raising rates for this economic cycle, as the bond market indicates that inflation trends are moving in the right direction.
Equity markets in Asia are expected to face selling pressure due to worsening risk sentiment and concerns about higher interest rates signaled by the Federal Reserve, leading to declines in U.S. stocks and a fall in futures for benchmarks in Australia and Japan.
The Federal Reserve's plans for prolonged elevated interest rates may continue to put pressure on stocks and bonds, although some investors doubt that the central bank will follow through with its projections.
