Canada's housing market is seeing a surge in new listings, with a 5.6% increase in July, indicating a possible shift in sentiment among homeowners, while home sales have declined due to higher mortgage costs and interest rates. However, prices continue to rise, although at a slower pace.
High mortgage rates, reaching their highest level in 21 years, are driving up costs for home buyers and creating a sluggish housing market, with little relief expected in the near term.
The current housing market is facing challenges due to rising interest rates and higher prices, leading to a slowdown in home sales, but the market is more resilient and better equipped to handle these fluctuations compared to the Global Financial Crisis, thanks to cautious lending practices and stricter regulations.
Mortgage rates have risen for the fourth consecutive week, reaching their highest levels since 2000, leading to decreased demand for home-purchase mortgages and a stagnant housing market.
New home sales in the US increased by 4.4% in July, outperforming expectations and highlighting the continued demand for new construction due to a shortage of existing affordable homes. Despite rising mortgage rates, buyers are turning to new homes, causing a decline in sales in the resale market. However, as mortgage rates continue to rise, builder sentiment may be negatively impacted and prices may need to be adjusted to attract buyers.
The surge in mortgage rates has caused housing affordability to reach the lowest level since 2000, leading to a slow fall in the housing market and a potential dip in home prices, although the current market differs from the conditions that preceded the 2008 crash, with low housing inventory and a lack of risky mortgage products, making mortgage rates the key lever to improve affordability.
The average U.S. home price has increased by 2.6% to $382,000 due to a lack of inventory, which has dropped more than demand, and significant declines in home prices have been seen in areas such as Austin, Detroit, and Phoenix, according to an analysis by Redfin.
The average long-term mortgage rate in the US climbed above 7%, reaching its highest level since 2001, making it more difficult for homebuyers to afford rising home prices and exacerbating the low supply of properties on the market.
Despite high interest rates, house prices in the US have not declined, leading to frustration and confusion in the housing market as buyers face fierce competition and limited inventory.
Zillow predicts that US home prices will continue to rise, with a 6.5% increase over the next 12 months, driven by tight inventory levels and high demand, while other firms like Moody's Analytics and Morgan Stanley believe there may be a decline in home prices by the end of 2024.
Home prices in the US climbed for the fifth consecutive month in June due to high demand, low supply, and increased mortgage rates, with the S&P Case-Shiller US National Composite home price index rising by 0.7% compared to May.
Home prices in the US have continued to rise for the fifth consecutive month, reaching near all-time highs, although high mortgage rates could impact further price gains for the rest of the year. Cities in the Midwest and New England saw the most notable price acceleration, while cities in the West experienced year-over-year price drops. Low inventory remains a challenge, with few homeowners wanting to sell, leading to higher prices and increased competition for available homes. In contrast, the rental market is offering more affordability as rental inventory increases.
Pending home sales in the US rose by 0.9% in July, marking the second consecutive month of growth, despite high prices and increasing mortgage rates, with the rise attributed to an expanding job market and the potential for further increases given the number of failed offers; however, year-over-year pending transactions fell by 14%.
The recent downturn in global property prices is ending as average home prices are expected to fall less than anticipated and rise into 2024, according to a Reuters poll, due to factors such as high savings, limited supply, and rising immigration. However, this poses challenges for first-time homebuyers and rental affordability is expected to worsen.
Home prices in the US hit another all-time high in July, but month-to-month gains weakened and suggest a potential slowdown, likely due to rising mortgage rates and increased listings.
The number of homes for sale in the US continued to decline in August, down by 9.2% compared to the previous year and 45% below pre-pandemic levels, leading to higher home prices and affordability concerns.
Home prices, which had been steadily rising since January, may be starting to decline again due to weakening month-to-month gains and higher mortgage rates.
Rapidly falling house prices have caused a "cost of owning crisis," with tens of thousands of homeowners falling into negative equity over the past year, making it difficult to sell or remortgage properties. Experts predict that more households will face difficulties as house prices continue to decline, with the Government's tax and spending watchdog expecting a 10% fall in prices. However, there are expectations of a rebound in house prices in the future, particularly for those intending to live in their homes for several years.
UK house prices have experienced their largest decline in 14 years, but despite fears of an impending crash, experts believe that the drop is unlikely to reach the levels seen during the global financial crisis in 2008 due to a more stable financial system, although prices may continue to slowly decline or stagnate and be eroded by inflation.
Average 30-year mortgage rates are still elevated at 6.94% in August, but they are expected to come down by the end of the year; however, a significant drop that will boost homebuying demand is not likely until 2024 or 2025, but there are advantages to buying a home even when rates are high, such as less competition.
The housing market has experienced significant changes, with high mortgage rates and low inventory leading to slower sales and longer time on the market, but experts predict that mortgage rates will eventually decrease and home prices will continue to appreciate, with no imminent crash expected; the market is expected to shift towards a more balanced state in the next five years, and the suburban market is predicted to remain strong, particularly in areas with rising populations.
The Federal Reserve may be the cause of rising housing prices and the low supply of existing homes, which could lead to increased inflation and concerns about the Fed's response to the cost of living. Lowering interest rates and unlocking the supply of homes could help alleviate the issue.
Idaho has experienced the highest increase in home prices over the past decade, with a growth rate of 78.7%, followed closely by Nevada, Washington, and Utah, according to a ranking by SelfStorage using Zillow data.
Gas and housing prices continue to rise, leading to a 0.6% increase in the federal consumer price index for August and a 3.7% increase for the year, causing concerns about overall inflation and its impact on household budgets.
Mortgage payments in the US have reached a record high due to high mortgage rates and increasing home prices, causing pending home sales to decline by 12% year over year and pushing some buyers to the sidelines; however, sellers can still expect fair prices due to low inventory.
Miami and South Florida have experienced the highest increase in consumer prices among large U.S. urban areas, driven largely by the housing market, with home rents increasing by 15.3% and the cost of buying a home rising by 14.3%.
Home prices in California reached a 15-month high in August 2023, attributed to rising mortgage rates and a shortage of homes on the market, but the market is expected to improve in the last quarter of the year as interest rates ease, according to the California Association of Realtors.
The U.S. housing market is facing a shortage of homes, which is driving up prices and making it difficult for buyers to find affordable options, and the problem may get worse as builders become less confident and hesitant to construct new homes due to high mortgage rates and construction costs.
Despite a recent slump, research firms including Freddie Mac, Zillow, and the National Association of Realtors predict that home prices will continue to rise in 2024 due to a shortage of housing inventory and strong demand, with NAR forecasting a 2.6% increase. However, Moody's Analytics and Morgan Stanley expect home prices to slightly decrease in 2024 due to declining affordability and increased housing supply.
Home prices continued to rise in August due to low inventory and high mortgage rates, causing a drop in home sales, according to a report from the National Association of Realtors.
The United States housing market has seen a 21 percent decline in previously occupied home sales over the past year, continuing the slowdown caused by rising interest rates, while prices continue to rise despite the decrease in sales, leading to a shortage of affordable homes and worsening home affordability for the foreseeable future.
The average long-term U.S. mortgage rate has increased, posing challenges for homebuyers in an already unaffordable housing market.
Sales of previously owned homes in the US fell for the third consecutive month in August, as higher mortgage rates, rising prices, and a lack of available properties have limited homebuyers' options.
