### Summary
Commerce Minister Piyush Goyal stated that despite short-term inflation hiccups, India has achieved nearly a decade of controlled inflation, offering the lowest rates in the country's history.
### Facts
- 💰 Headline retail inflation reached a 15-month high of 7.44% in July, surpassing economists' expectations of 6.6%.
- 🌽 Vegetable prices and sustained cost pressures in staples like cereals and pulses contributed to the high Consumer Price Index (CPI) for July.
- 🍅 The government implemented various measures to curb food price rise, including distribution of discounted tomatoes and conducting e-auctions for rice and wheat.
- 💼 Commerce Minister Goyal expressed confidence in India's economy, highlighting comfortable foreign exchange reserves and high growth.
- 🌍 With a young demographic dividend, India aims to become a $35-trillion economy and one of the world's top three economies in the next 30 years.
- 📈 India is currently the fastest-growing economy and is projected to achieve a GDP growth of 6.5% for the current financial year.
- 🇮🇳 The current government inherited challenges such as unpaid oil bond debt, high interest costs, and faltering exports from the previous government.
- 🌱 Goyal emphasized the importance of sustainable and inclusive growth alongside value creation for shareholders.
### Summary
India has imposed a 40% custom duty on onion exports as rising prices have led to concerns about further inflation, with data showing a significant increase in the prices of tomatoes, onions, and potatoes since May.
### Facts
- 🧅 India has announced a 40% custom duty on onion exports to combat rising prices and fears of increased inflation.
- 📉 Vegetable prices, including tomatoes, onions, and potatoes, increased by 87.1% month-on-month in July, compared to 16% in June.
- 💰 The price of onions rose from Rs 22.6 per kg to Rs 28.1 per kg between May and August, representing a 24% increase.
- 📊 Wholesale inflation in food articles reached 14.25% in July, while retail food inflation rose to 10.6% in the same month.
- 🚫 In July, the government had already banned the export of non-basmati white rice, sugar, and wheat to control inflation.
Inflation in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries remains lower than global and Middle Eastern counterparts, with factors such as reduced food costs and declining energy prices driving the gradual deceleration, according to an analysis by Kamco Invest. However, inflation in the housing sector was felt in the GCC countries, with notable increases in Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, and Dubai. The report also highlighted declining inflation in the education sector in Saudi Arabia and a marginal uptick in inflation in Bahrain and Oman.
The fall in the value of the Pakistani rupee against the US dollar is expected to cause a surge in inflation, with petrol and diesel prices projected to increase by over Rs13 per litre due to the exchange rate, potentially reaching double digits if the dollar continues to appreciate. Additionally, the rise in dollar value will also lead to further increases in electricity tariffs, making the lives of citizens more difficult.
Consumers in Pakistan experienced a sharp increase in sugar and flour prices, causing further financial strain, as wholesalers raised the prices due to illegal channels of sugar export and hoarding, leading to fears of additional price pressures, while flour millers fluctuated prices based on the open market wheat rate.
Pakistan's weekly inflation remained up at 0.05 percent week-on-week and 25.34 percent year-on-year, driven by rising food prices, particularly onions, pulse masoor, sugar, garlic, and eggs.
The Indian government's efforts to control food prices, such as imposing taxes and export bans, may help contain inflation domestically but could lead to higher prices globally, particularly for rice, affecting countries that rely on food imports.
Pakistan's inflation rate remained above target in August at 27.4%, driven by reforms linked to an IMF loan that have fueled price pressures and declines in the rupee currency.
Pakistan's central bank is expected to increase interest rates in order to address high inflation and bolster foreign exchange reserves, which have led to a record low value for the rupee. A Reuters poll shows that 15 out of 17 analysts are forecasting a rate hike, with some expecting an increase of at least 150 basis points. The country's economic recovery is being challenged by IMF loan conditions, import restrictions, and subsidies removal, which have caused spikes in energy prices and elevated food inflation.
The caretaker government of Pakistan has raised petrol and diesel prices to record levels, leading to a surge in inflation and impacting the prices of essential commodities, while the country continues to invest in and expand its nuclear weapons program.
The unprecedented increase in fuel prices in Pakistan is expected to cause a significant rise in inflation, with the Consumer Price Index projected to reach as high as 30% to 32% in September 2023.
Despite a price cap on rice, rising food price inflation is expected in the Philippines due to a weakening exchange rate with the US dollar and a lack of domestic food production.
Pakistan's exports saw a significant increase of 22.45% in the first two months of the fiscal year 2023-24, reaching Rs1.27 trillion, while imports decreased by 2.42%.
Pakistan is facing a major economic crisis with high inflation, insufficient public resources, and policy decisions influenced by vested interests, according to the World Bank. The country needs to make hard choices and prioritize coordinated, efficient, and adequately financed service delivery to improve human development outcomes. Additionally, the Pakistani Rupee has reached a record low against the US dollar.
The inflationary environment in Pakistan is causing significant challenges for small businesses, particularly those run by women entrepreneurs, forcing them to raise prices or take out loans to manage expenses and protect profit margins, resulting in declining sales and financial hardship.
Pakistan's inflation rate rose to 31.4% year-on-year in September, and the Ministry of Finance expects inflation to remain high in the coming months, with a predicted range of 29-31%.
A new study reveals that food prices in the United States have experienced an inflation rate of 5.7 percent compared to the global trend, with countries such as Venezuela, Lebanon, Argentina, Turkey, and Egypt being the most affected.
Short-term inflation in Pakistan reached a new high for the fifth consecutive week due to rising prices of petroleum products and other essential items, potentially impacting various sectors such as transportation.
