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Bear Market 'Much Worse Than Expected’: Analysts Pitch New Bitcoin Economy Framework - Decrypt

A new whitepaper called "Cointime Economics: A New Framework For Bitcoin On-chain Analysis" introduces a time-based perspective to understand the Bitcoin economy, offering insights into the economic realities and value propositions of the cryptocurrency.

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Bitcoin's price chart resembles the stock market in the 1930s, suggesting that the cryptocurrency could be heading towards a major drop, according to Bloomberg's senior commodity strategist, Mike McGlone.
Bitcoin (BTC) faces uncertainty and fear in the market as it struggles to recover from a 10% crash, with short-term holders experiencing increasing unrealized losses and on-chain transactions setting multiyear highs. Traders are cautious about the outlook, but historical patterns and upcoming events, such as the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium, may provide opportunities for recovery.
Bitcoin, the top cryptocurrency, reached a two-month low due to risk aversion in global markets triggered by concerns about China's economy and U.S. interest rates, as well as a report that Elon Musk's SpaceX sold its bitcoin holdings.
A new study by the Bank for International Settlements (BIS) suggests that cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin have not reduced financial risks but rather amplified them in emerging market economies, leading to potential policy options ranging from bans to regulation.
The author discusses six themes related to the intersection of artificial intelligence (AI) and various aspects of the modern world, including technology development, accessibility, disruption, AI's impact on inflation, and the potential role of Bitcoin in AI applications. The author also announces the release of their new book, "Broken Money," which explores the past, present, and future of money and its relationship with the global financial system.
Bitcoin price reaches a 2-month low, but crypto analyst Michaël van de Poppe predicts a positive change in the future due to market cycle theories and the upcoming Bitcoin halving in 2024, potentially reaching a price of $50-55K pre-halving.
Cryptocurrencies, including Bitcoin and Ethereum, experienced a rise in value as investors anticipated the Federal Reserve's annual meeting and Bitcoin attempted to reach $30,000.
The cryptocurrency market is preparing for a potential larger financial event in September that could significantly impact Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP, and the wider digital asset landscape.
Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies are on the rise, driven by an optimistic market sentiment and positive earnings from Nvidia.
Bitcoin may experience a period of stagnation before turning bullish again, according to crypto analyst Jason Pizzino, who believes that the cryptocurrency could remain in its current pattern for the next couple of months before potentially surging in late 2021 or early 2024.
Bitcoin remains on track for a massive bull cycle despite recent price decline, as indicated by broader indicators of its price patterns and the use of logarithmic growth curves. The 200-week moving average is seen as less significant as a key price support level for Bitcoin, and the analyst is also looking for an entry point for Ethereum.
Glassnode and Ark Invest have collaborated to develop a new economic metric for the Bitcoin network called Cointime Economics, which offers a suite of analysis tools and metrics to improve valuation models and measure the network's dynamics. The metric focuses on coinblocks created, destroyed, and stored, and provides a consistent framework for measuring Bitcoin's economics.
Professor Aswath Damodaran, known as the "Dean of Valuation," has changed his stance on Bitcoin once again, now describing it as "the currency that nobody uses" and rejecting the idea that it can serve as a hedge against inflation.
A surge in global interest in acquiring Bitcoin has been observed, with Nigeria leading the way, as investors anticipate a potential rally driven by upcoming events in the crypto sphere and the approval possibility of the inaugural spot Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) by the SEC. Bitcoin's evolving role as a possible store of value is reflected in low exchange-held supplies, while technical analysis suggests a bearish sentiment but a potential reach of $26,500 and the $30,000 milestone.
Bitcoin experienced a dip in price after the U.S. Federal Reserve Chair hinted at the possibility of an interest rate hike, but an on-chain indicator suggests that Bitcoin is undervalued and presents a good opportunity for long positions in the coming week.
Bitcoin's recent surge in value may be attributed to a $10 billion investment by whales, Robinhood's involvement in a $3 billion Bitcoin purchase, and JPMorgan analysts predicting an end to the crypto bear market.
Bitcoin, as the world's first decentralized digital currency, is challenging traditional notions of money by empowering individuals, offering a store of value, and demonstrating a growing network effect. With its scarcity, transparency, and potential for financial inclusion, bitcoin is positioning itself as a transformative force in the digital age.
Crypto analyst Benjamin Cowen believes that Bitcoin is likely to follow its historical bearish price action seen in pre-halving years and predicts that the cryptocurrency will remain within a range of $12,000 to $35,000 for the rest of 2023.
Cryptocurrency industry observers argue that Bitcoin is not in its longest bear market and may not even be in a bear market at all, as the definitions of bull and bear markets are subjective and can vary based on different interpretations. Some believe that Bitcoin has been in a bear market since its peak in November 2021, while others argue that Bitcoin has been in a continuous bull market since 2019.
Bitcoin, the first leading cryptocurrency, has been the top-performing asset over the past decade and offers a hedge against inflation and potential diversification benefits for portfolios.
BlackRock's entry into the crypto space with its application for a Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) marks a significant turning point that dispels the notion of cryptocurrencies as a passing trend, signaling the growing institutional interest in Bitcoin and the crypto industry.
Bitcoin and crypto could experience significant growth in the next few months, with September expected to be a particularly eventful period, including the potential impact of U.S. bitcoin ETF filings and China declaring crypto as "legal property and protected by law."
Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies experience a decline as the Securities and Exchange Commission slows down the decision process for crypto exchange-traded funds.
Disappointing economic data in Asia-Pacific markets, overinvestment in China, and Chinese electric vehicle companies expanding in Europe are among the key factors impacting global markets, while the price of bitcoin remains volatile with conflicting predictions about its future.
The founder of BitMEX, Arthur Hayes, argues that the Federal Reserve's rate hikes are fueling economic growth and benefiting the cryptocurrency industry, and believes that AI companies are less reliant on banks and more likely to prosper in the current economic climate. However, he also warns that investing in AI now may not yield immediate returns and that the convergence of AI, crypto, and money printing could result in a significant asset bubble.
Nearly half of the world's crypto millionaires hold their fortunes in Bitcoin, highlighting the enduring popularity of the cryptocurrency despite competition from other digital assets.
Despite the recent downturn in the crypto market, a key Bitcoin metric shows that 95% of the existing supply of Bitcoin has not moved in the past 30 days, indicating strong holding behavior and potential for a price rally with a buy-side catalyst.
Bitcoin (BTC) remains near a key long-term trendline as the U.S. dollar strengthens, with market participants predicting further downside for BTC and altcoins.
The global Bitcoin Bank market is expected to experience significant growth between 2023 and 2030, with the market value projected to reach multimillion dollars by 2030.
Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong predicts that cryptocurrencies will be a prominent topic in the 2024 US elections as the gap between current crypto policies and the needs of Americans becomes more apparent.
Bitcoin (BTC) experienced a short squeeze, leading to a rally in prices and a decline in open interest in futures and perpetual swaps trading. However, the lack of immediate bullish catalysts may cap the price recovery.
Crypto veteran Arthur Hayes believes that Bitcoin (BTC) can rise in price regardless of the U.S. Federal Reserve's decision on interest rates due to the government's continued spending and the shift towards hard financial assets.
Crypto strategist predicts a significant expansion in the digital assets market similar to 2019, with the possibility of a short squeeze after a Bitcoin market correction.
Cryptocurrency is a digital form of money that operates on blockchain technology, using cryptography and decentralized control to provide secure and transparent transactions, but the complex dynamics of the cryptocurrency ecosystem also come with risks and uncertainties.
Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies have seen a rise in price as traders anticipate a potential macroeconomic catalyst that could lead to a significant movement in the market.
The growing "financialization" of Bitcoin through derivative products is a concern for analyst Willy Woo, as it has the potential to manipulate price and reduce liquidity.
Crypto is poised to create a new investable asset class globally and will revolutionize the internet, requiring new business models, metrics, and research structures, as well as a framework to analyze value flows within the tech stack, particularly in relation to Ethereum's layer 2 solutions.
Crypto analyst Will Clemente suggests that the US economy's need to issue more dollars to service its debt will inevitably lead to significant currency debasement, making Bitcoin the most promising asset for investors looking to protect their wealth. With the growing digital trend and a wave of Bitcoin adoption, Clemente believes that alternative monetary systems will become increasingly favorable.
Bitcoin is expected to experience a strong upward pressure on its price due to the upcoming halving mechanism, making it an attractive time for investors to consider bitcoin mining stocks like Bitfarms and Cipher Mining.
Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies experienced a decline in prices due to the Federal Reserve's monetary policy decision, signaling an anticipated return to range-bound trading.
Ark Invest's recent report highlights the recovery of Bitcoin's realized capitalization, the decline in liquidity and trading volumes, the recent increase in volatility, and the optimistic long-term outlook for the cryptocurrency.
The Federal Reserve's decision to maintain interest rates and raise its long-term forecast for the Federal Funds Rate surprised many market participants, causing a slight pullback in the stock and cryptocurrency markets while highlighting the need for investors to focus on the actual health and viability of companies and the utility of the crypto ecosystem. Additionally, the article speculates on the impact of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission's ruling on Bitcoin spot ETF applications and the potential for cryptocurrency to become a mainstream alternative investment.
Bitcoin could experience significant inflows from China in the coming months due to a weakening Chinese yuan and increasing capital flight, with Chinese investors turning to Bitcoin as a familiar investment in times of economic uncertainty, according to experts. The recent data shows that China's capital outflow reached its highest level since 2015 in August, potentially putting further pressure on the yuan. While Chinese capital controls may limit investment options, cryptocurrency, particularly Bitcoin, is seen as a viable alternative. However, analysts caution that the impact of Chinese capital flight on Bitcoin may not be as significant as it was in 2017 due to changes in regulations and crackdowns on certain practices.