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CNBC Daily Open: Bitcoin’s still struggling to gain acceptance

Disappointing economic data in Asia-Pacific markets, overinvestment in China, and Chinese electric vehicle companies expanding in Europe are among the key factors impacting global markets, while the price of bitcoin remains volatile with conflicting predictions about its future.

cnbc.com
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Bitcoin's price chart resembles the stock market in the 1930s, suggesting that the cryptocurrency could be heading towards a major drop, according to Bloomberg's senior commodity strategist, Mike McGlone.
Bitcoin (BTC) faces uncertainty and fear in the market as it struggles to recover from a 10% crash, with short-term holders experiencing increasing unrealized losses and on-chain transactions setting multiyear highs. Traders are cautious about the outlook, but historical patterns and upcoming events, such as the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium, may provide opportunities for recovery.
Bitcoin, the top cryptocurrency, reached a two-month low due to risk aversion in global markets triggered by concerns about China's economy and U.S. interest rates, as well as a report that Elon Musk's SpaceX sold its bitcoin holdings.
Cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin have not reduced financial risks in emerging economies, but instead, have amplified them, according to a study conducted by central banks and published by The Bank for International Settlements (BIS).
China's historical dominance in the crypto industry persists despite periodic crackdowns, with many crypto companies still earning a significant portion of their revenue from the country and maintaining unofficial channels of liquidity; China's economic uncertainty, including concerns about future crackdowns and a collapsing real estate market, can impact global crypto markets.
Asian markets are expected to follow the global trend of weakness in stocks, a buoyant dollar, elevated bond yields, and souring investor sentiment, with no major catalysts to change the current market condition.
The recent price pullback in Bitcoin and the cryptocurrency market is not surprising, as most risk assets typically suffer when the S&P 500 falls; however, volatility for both Bitcoin and the S&P 500 is declining, which suggests mainstream migration and a potential lack of price-pump potential for Bitcoin.
The cryptocurrency market has experienced a notable downturn, with the total market capitalization falling by 10% and triggering significant liquidations on futures contracts, attributed to factors such as rising interest rates, inflation, delays in approving a Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF), financial difficulties within the Digital Currency Group (DCG), regulatory tightening, and a strengthening US dollar.
Bitcoin remains on track for a massive bull cycle despite recent price decline, as indicated by broader indicators of its price patterns and the use of logarithmic growth curves. The 200-week moving average is seen as less significant as a key price support level for Bitcoin, and the analyst is also looking for an entry point for Ethereum.
Bitcoin prices experienced a sudden drop last week, with analysts attributing it to large liquidations of perpetual futures and a report that SpaceX had sold the cryptocurrency, while industry insiders have mixed opinions on the impact of spot bitcoin ETFs and Coinbase's investment in Circle.
Bitcoin (BTC) price remains stagnant and could potentially slide lower, while Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP) prices are also experiencing a lack of activity, which may have negative implications as markets tend to be impatient.
Global investors are skeptical of China's ability to stabilize its financial markets, with many predicting that economic pressures will cause the offshore exchange rate of the yuan to reach record lows.
China's economic slowdown is causing alarm worldwide, with countries experiencing a slump in trade, falling commodity prices, and a decrease in Chinese demand for goods and services, while global investors are pulling billions of dollars from China's stock markets and cutting their targets for Chinese equities.
Bitcoin's price is closely linked to stock prices and has seen significant growth, outperforming Amazon over a 12-year period, according to Bloomberg analyst Mike McGlone; however, he is skeptical about its move into the mainstream and warns of potential price declines when the masses invest. Other analysts speculate on Bitcoin's price, with predictions ranging from a dip to $23,500 to exceeding $30,000 by year-end. McGlone is known for identifying unique trends in Bitcoin, and JPMorgan suggests that the recent crypto asset selloffs are mostly over.
Concerns arise that the struggling Chinese economy and volatility in the stock market may negatively impact Bitcoin's price and hinder its role as an alternative store of value in the face of a strengthening U.S. dollar.
Bitcoin could experience a major market correction in September, potentially dropping by more than 16% based on historical performance and predictions by crypto analyst Benjamin Cowen.
UBS reports higher than expected profits, job creation in the US slows, and markets rally on weaker economic data and hope for a pause in interest rate hikes. China's factory activity shrinks but at a slower pace, while retail sales increase. There are opportunities for investors in other Asian markets.
Asian stock markets mostly lower as Japanese factory activity and Chinese service industry growth weaken, while Wall Street's benchmark S&P 500 rises on hopes that economic data will convince the Federal Reserve that inflation is under control.
Crypto prices, including bitcoin and major tokens, experienced a decline due to profit-taking and a general risk-off environment, erasing gains from Grayscale's court victory, with prices weakening ahead of the U.S. jobs report release.
Bitcoin's price dropped below $26,000 as the approval of a Bitcoin ETF was further delayed by the SEC, reversing the bullish gains from the Grayscale court decision earlier in the week. The crypto market also experienced a decline, with Ethereum's price going down by 3.5% and the overall market cap losing $11.2 billion. However, Maker and Toncoin managed to resist the bearish trend with positive gains. The global macroeconomic landscape also added to the uncertainty, as key economic data raised doubts about a potential interest rate hike.
Bitcoin and crypto could experience significant growth in the next few months, with September expected to be a particularly eventful period, including the potential impact of U.S. bitcoin ETF filings and China declaring crypto as "legal property and protected by law."
Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies are experiencing a decline as analysts predict further decreases ahead.
Asia stocks fall as weak economic data in China and Europe raise concerns over global growth, while the dollar strengthens as investors assess the outlook for U.S. interest rates.
Bitcoin (BTC) remains near a key long-term trendline as the U.S. dollar strengthens, with market participants predicting further downside for BTC and altcoins.
Big tech stocks and cryptocurrencies, including Bitcoin, may underperform in the coming years due to contracting market liquidity and the Federal Reserve's hawkish policies, according to crypto analyst Nicholas Merten.
The global Bitcoin Depository market is expected to experience significant growth between 2023 and 2030, driven by increasing demand from enterprise and individual clients.
China's property shares are declining and tech shares are underperforming, leading to a slide in the Asian market, while the European market waits for monetary policy decisions from the ECB and the Bank of England.
The recent decline in the price of Bitcoin has raised concerns of a larger market downtrend, with Ethereum and Ripple also at risk of falling if Bitcoin weakens further.
Global markets ended higher as energy stocks climbed supported by Saudi Arabia and Russia's decision to extend supply cuts, while Wall Street's key indexes saw weekly declines due to investor concerns over interest rates and anticipation of upcoming U.S. inflation data. In Asian markets, Japan's Nikkei 225 ended down, Australia's S&P/ASX 200 was up, and Chinese shares rose following improved data on consumer price inflation. The Eurozone's economic growth outlook has been downgraded by the European Commission, and crude oil prices fell.
Asian markets are expected to be on the defensive due to sagging stocks and rising oil prices, as investors await U.S. inflation figures that will impact the Fed's rate decision; China's real estate sector is seen as the most likely source of a global systemic credit event.
The recent increase in interest rates has impacted the price of bitcoin, with factors like opportunity cost, risk sentiment, and inflation expectations playing a role.
Cryptocurrency prices are less influenced by macroeconomic factors compared to traditional financial assets, with key drivers being market confidence, adoption, technology, and liquidity conditions, while traditional assets are more affected by macroeconomic drivers such as interest rates and inflation, as well as government regulations and transparency requirements.
China's macroeconomic challenges, including deflationary pressures, yuan depreciation, and a struggling property sector, could have broader implications beyond its borders, impacting global metal exporters, trade deals, and global inflation; however, investing in China's stocks may offer compelling valuations despite the current downturn.
Bitcoin (BTC) continues to trade within a range as market indecision persists, but if economic conditions worsen, there could be more pain for risk assets like Bitcoin, according to Jamie Coutts, a market analyst at Bloomberg Intelligence.
Bitcoin, ethereum, BNB, and XRP have experienced a strong price rally in 2023, but a small cryptocurrency has surpassed them, while the Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions could impact the bitcoin price.
Asia-Pacific markets are expected to continue declining as investors wait for China's loan prime rates and the U.S. Federal Reserve's rate decision, while oil prices rise due to supply concerns and all 11 sectors in the S&P 500 trade down.
The outlook of U.S. companies on China's markets in the next five years has hit a record low due to factors such as political tensions, tariffs, slow Covid recovery, and issues in the real estate market; however, complete decoupling between the two economies is unlikely.
Bitcoin and stocks are currently showing a high correlation, suggesting that Bitcoin prices are influenced by the same investor psychology and economic trends as stocks, making it important for investors to focus on these trends rather than traditional factors like inflation and uncertainty.
Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies experienced a decline in prices due to the Federal Reserve's monetary policy decision, signaling an anticipated return to range-bound trading.
Bitcoin could experience significant inflows from China in the coming months due to a weakening Chinese yuan and increasing capital flight, with Chinese investors turning to Bitcoin as a familiar investment in times of economic uncertainty, according to experts. The recent data shows that China's capital outflow reached its highest level since 2015 in August, potentially putting further pressure on the yuan. While Chinese capital controls may limit investment options, cryptocurrency, particularly Bitcoin, is seen as a viable alternative. However, analysts caution that the impact of Chinese capital flight on Bitcoin may not be as significant as it was in 2017 due to changes in regulations and crackdowns on certain practices.