1. Home
  2. >
  3. Stock Markets 🤑
Posted

China Home Prices Edge Up in September, Ending Four-Month Decline

  • China's new home prices rose slightly in September, ending a four-month decline according to a real estate research firm survey.

  • The 0.05% monthly increase was the biggest since October 2021, driven by developers launching new, higher quality housing projects.

  • Confidence in the property sector, which accounts for 25% of economic activity, has been hit since 2021 when Beijing cracked down on developer debt.

  • China has announced measures recently to boost home-buying sentiment, including easing borrowing rules and purchase curbs.

  • Policies have given major cities like Beijing a slight boost in new home sales, but recovery in smaller cities may take longer.

reuters.com
Relevant topic timeline:
Canada's housing market is seeing a surge in new listings, with a 5.6% increase in July, indicating a possible shift in sentiment among homeowners, while home sales have declined due to higher mortgage costs and interest rates. However, prices continue to rise, although at a slower pace.
China's property market is seeing strong sales and rising rents, indicating a continuing demand for housing that pessimists are missing, according to veteran economist Hong Hao.
US home prices are rising again after five months of declines, reaching a record high for the month of July, due to low inventory and homeowners refusing to sell amidst high mortgage rates.
New home sales in the US increased by 4.4% in July, outperforming expectations and highlighting the continued demand for new construction due to a shortage of existing affordable homes. Despite rising mortgage rates, buyers are turning to new homes, causing a decline in sales in the resale market. However, as mortgage rates continue to rise, builder sentiment may be negatively impacted and prices may need to be adjusted to attract buyers.
Zillow predicts that US home prices will continue to rise, with a 6.5% increase over the next 12 months, driven by tight inventory levels and high demand, while other firms like Moody's Analytics and Morgan Stanley believe there may be a decline in home prices by the end of 2024.
Home prices in the US climbed for the fifth consecutive month in June due to high demand, low supply, and increased mortgage rates, with the S&P Case-Shiller US National Composite home price index rising by 0.7% compared to May.
Home prices in the US have continued to rise for the fifth consecutive month, reaching near all-time highs, although high mortgage rates could impact further price gains for the rest of the year. Cities in the Midwest and New England saw the most notable price acceleration, while cities in the West experienced year-over-year price drops. Low inventory remains a challenge, with few homeowners wanting to sell, leading to higher prices and increased competition for available homes. In contrast, the rental market is offering more affordability as rental inventory increases.
Consumer spending in China rebounded in August, with all categories, including apparel, automotive, food, furniture, appliances, and luxury, experiencing increased sales compared to July, according to a survey by the China Beige Book. Retail sales in July rose by 2.5% year-on-year, raising concerns about China's economic growth, but the August survey showed a surge in spending, particularly in the services sector, which saw continued strength in travel and hospitality. Additionally, corporate borrowing increased as the cost of capital declined, indicating a boost in business activity. However, China's property sector continued to worsen, with house prices barely growing and home sales declining.
Pending home sales in the US unexpectedly rose by 0.9% in July, defying expectations of a decline, as the housing market slowly recovers from the impact of rising mortgage rates and a shortage of inventory.
The recent downturn in global property prices is ending as average home prices are expected to fall less than anticipated and rise into 2024, according to a Reuters poll, due to factors such as high savings, limited supply, and rising immigration. However, this poses challenges for first-time homebuyers and rental affordability is expected to worsen.
Home prices in the US hit another all-time high in July, but month-to-month gains weakened and suggest a potential slowdown, likely due to rising mortgage rates and increased listings.
New home sales in Beijing have increased by 16.9% in the week of September 4-10, indicating that government efforts to revive the property sector are having an impact in the Chinese capital. However, the rebound in sales is not reflected across the rest of China, with sales falling 20% on average nationwide.
Home prices in California reached a 15-month high in August 2023, attributed to rising mortgage rates and a shortage of homes on the market, but the market is expected to improve in the last quarter of the year as interest rates ease, according to the California Association of Realtors.
U.S. home price growth increased to 2.5% year-over-year in July, with Miami, St. Louis, and Detroit driving the growth, while 11 states saw annual home price declines, according to CoreLogic's latest home price index data. Rising mortgage rates and a lack of inventory are putting pressure on potential homebuyers, and pending home sales have seen slight upticks, particularly in the West and South regions.
Home prices continued to rise in August due to low inventory and high mortgage rates, causing a drop in home sales, according to a report from the National Association of Realtors.
The rise in housing prices over the past three years can be attributed to a shortage of supply, low volume in the market, and the introduction of mortgage rate buydowns; however, there is now a risk of too much inventory being introduced into the market, and a potential decline in mortgage rates could lead to a large amount of existing homes being sold and a subsequent oversupply.
Home prices are estimated to have risen in July, despite higher mortgage rates.
US home prices reached a new high in July, rising for the sixth consecutive month due to inventory shortages and increased competition, with the S&P Case-Shiller US National Home Price Index reporting a 0.6% monthly increase and a 1% increase over the past 12 months on a seasonally adjusted basis.
As the US housing market starts to cool down, homebuyers are being presented with a good opportunity as more homes see price reductions, according to Zillow, with 9.2% of listings having a price cut in the week ending September 16, a higher rate than in 2019.
Home prices in the U.S. rose by 3.7% in August, with New England states experiencing the largest growth, while Western states saw declines in home prices; California had the highest median sales price, and CoreLogic predicts a 3.4% annual home-price growth by August 2024.
The metro Atlanta housing market saw a decline in September due to the highest mortgage rates since 2000, resulting in a decrease in home sales and total value; the market has also experienced a shortage of inventory, leading to a seller's advantage despite rising mortgage rates.
US wholesale prices of goods and services rose higher than expected in September, driven by higher energy prices, according to data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
U.S. consumer prices rose in September due to surging rental costs, but underlying inflation pressures remained moderate, suggesting that the Federal Reserve is unlikely to raise interest rates next month.
Consumer prices in the US rose by 0.4% in September, slightly surpassing expectations, with the consumer price index (CPI) rising by 3.7% compared to the previous year, higher than the estimated 3.6%.
China's consumer prices remained unchanged in September, signaling persistent deflationary pressures in the economy, while factory-gate prices fell slightly faster than expected, highlighting ongoing challenges facing the world's second-largest economy.
September saw a significant decline in home sales, with the lowest tally since 1995 and a 32 percent drop from the previous year, due to high interest rates and homeowners' reluctance to sell and move to a place with a higher monthly payment, leaving few options for prospective buyers.
Existing-home sales in September are expected to be at their lowest level in over a decade due to rising mortgage rates.
Home prices rising alongside high mortgage rates have made the housing market the least affordable it has been since the early 2000s, with sellers reluctant to sell and buyers struggling with high spending on housing, leading to low existing-home sales volumes and a "lock-in" effect.
New U.S. home construction rebounds in September, despite high mortgage rates, with housing starts rising 7%, but applications to build and building permits show a decline compared to last year.
Home sales in the US dropped in September to the lowest level in 13 years due to rising interest rates and climbing home prices, making it unaffordable for many potential buyers. The low inventory of homes for sale pushed prices up, with the median price for existing homes reaching a record high of $394,300 last month.
U.S. existing home sales dropped 2% in September due to high mortgage rates and a shortage in housing supply, with prices falling slightly and the supply crunch being driven by the surge in mortgage rates over the past year.
Sales of previously occupied U.S. homes in September dropped to their slowest pace in over a decade due to surging mortgage rates and limited inventory, while home prices continue to rise.
The US housing market is experiencing a significant decline in existing-home sales, with September seeing a 15% drop compared to the previous year, due to factors such as high mortgage rates, low inventory levels, and rising home prices.
Japan's overall consumer prices rose 3% in September, slightly lower than the previous month but still above the Bank of Japan's target, while consumer inflation excluding food and energy increased by 4.2%.
Sales of newly built homes in the US surged in September, reaching their highest level since February 2022, as prospective homeowners turned to homebuilders due to a lack of inventory in resale homes.
The demand for newly built homes increased in September, surpassing expectations and last year's levels, but the rise in mortgage rates and the approaching winter weather may weaken demand in the coming months.
New home sales in the United States rose significantly in September despite high mortgage rates and a tight housing inventory, driven by pent-up demand and the appeal of new construction options.
Sales of new U.S. single-family homes reached a 19-month high in September, with median house prices dropping by the most since 2009 due to discounts offered by builders, although the high mortgage rates could dampen future demand.
New residential home sales surged in September, driven by incentives such as mortgage rate buydowns and discounted mortgages offered by builders, as existing home sales froze due to high mortgage rates and limited inventory.