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Euro Zone Inflation Revised Down Slightly but Remains Over Twice ECB Target

  • Euro zone consumer inflation in August revised down slightly to 5.2% year-on-year, from initial 5.3% estimate. Still more than twice ECB's 2% target.

  • Core inflation excluding energy and food prices was 6.2% year-on-year, in line with initial estimates.

  • More expensive services had biggest impact, adding 2.41 percentage points. Food, alcohol, tobacco added 1.98 points.

  • ECB raised deposit rate to 4% last week, hinted at pause in hikes. Market expects cuts by late 2024.

  • Slovak policymaker said Thursday's hike may have been last for now, but more hikes not ruled out until March.

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### Summary The Czech Republic's inflation rate dropped to 10.2% in July, although it still ranks fourth among EU nations with the highest inflation rates. ### Facts - 💰 The Czech Republic's inflation rate dropped to 10.2% in July, but it remains one of the EU nations with the highest inflation rates. - 🇪🇺 The European Union as a whole saw a moderate drop in year-on-year inflation rate from 6.4% to 6.1% in July. - 💹 The eurozone's inflation declined slightly from 5.5% to 5.3% in July. - 📉 Inflation rates in the EU spiked last summer due to a surge in energy prices, reaching 9.8% for the EU and just under 9% for the eurozone. - 📊 Among EU nations, Belgium had the lowest year-on-year inflation rate at 1.7%, while Hungary had the highest at 17.5%. - 🌡️ In a month-on-month comparison, consumer prices in the EU remained stagnant in July, with a marginal 0.1% decline in the eurozone. - 💶 The European Central Bank continues to face the challenge of persistently high inflation and has implemented nine consecutive interest rate hikes since July 2020. - ⚖️ The Czech Republic has also maintained a similar strategy, keeping its base interest rate at 7% in an attempt to curb inflation and attract foreign investors.
Greece's inflation rate rose to 3.5% in July, but it still remains the sixth lowest among EU members, with higher inflation rates observed in other countries such as Belgium, Luxembourg, Spain, Cyprus, and Denmark; however, Greece does have the ninth highest inflation rate in food compared to other EU nations.
The European Central Bank (ECB) will maintain high interest rates for as long as necessary to combat persistent inflation, according to ECB President Christine Lagarde, amid efforts to manage a stagnating economy; however, the ECB is also considering longer-term economic changes that may contribute to sustained inflation pressures.
Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda stated that underlying inflation in Japan remains below the bank's 2% target, leading to the decision to maintain the current approach to monetary policy, despite core consumer inflation staying above the target for the 16th consecutive month.
Euro zone inflation for August exceeded analysts' expectations, remaining unchanged from the previous month at 5.3%, posing a dilemma for the European Central Bank.
Euro zone inflation holds steady in August, but underlying price growth falls, complicating decisions for the European Central Bank as it considers a pause in rate hikes amid a slowdown in economic growth.
Consumer prices in the eurozone rose 5.3% on average this month compared to last year, with core inflation easing to 5.3%, potentially increasing pressure on the European Central Bank to raise interest rates.
Eurozone inflation remains at 5.3%, leading analysts to speculate that the ECB may consider pausing its interest rate hikes in light of a slowing economy.
Pakistan's inflation rate remained above target in August at 27.4%, driven by reforms linked to an IMF loan that have fueled price pressures and declines in the rupee currency.
The Consumer Price Index is expected to show an increase in inflation in August, with headline inflation rising to 3.6% and core inflation easing to 4.4%, but the market is accustomed to this trend and the Federal Reserve is unlikely to change its rates at the upcoming meeting.
The European Central Bank is expected to see inflation in the euro zone remain above 3% next year, which strengthens the case for an interest rate increase.
Despite claims by the Biden administration and corporate media that inflation is decreasing, the latest consumer price index from the Bureau of Labor Statistics shows that Americans paid 3.7 percent more for basic consumer items in August compared to the previous year.
Inflation in the US accelerated for the second consecutive month in August due to rising costs of rent and gasoline, with the consumer price index rising 0.6% from the previous month and 3.7% from the same time last year.
Wholesale inflation in the U.S. accelerates for the second month in a row, with the Producer Price Index rising to 1.6% and indicating that inflation is not yet in line with the Federal Reserve's target of 2%.
The European Central Bank (ECB) has raised interest rates to a record high of 4% in an attempt to combat rising inflation, but suggests that this increase could be the last for the time being. The ECB expects inflation to fall in the coming years, but acknowledges that higher rates have impacted economic growth projections for the eurozone.
Inflation in Britain slowed for a third consecutive month in August, defying expectations of a rise due to higher fuel prices, with consumer prices rising 6.7 percent compared to the previous year, driven by slower increases in food prices and a decline in hotel room costs. Core inflation also fell more than anticipated, indicating a potential easing of inflationary pressures, though price growth remains uncomfortably high. The Bank of England is set to announce its decision on interest rates, with growing speculation that rates may be held steady due to signs of slowing inflation and a weak economy.
Japan's core inflation remained steady in August, staying above the central bank's 2% target for the 17th consecutive month, signaling broadening price pressure and potentially increasing the case for an exit from ultra-easy monetary policy.
The euro zone economy is expected to contract this quarter and remain in recession as the impact of central banks' interest rate rises hampers growth, according to a survey by HCOB's flash euro zone Composite Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI), with Germany and France experiencing significant declines in business activity.
Euro zone annual inflation dropped to its lowest level since October 2021, falling to 4.3% in September, while core inflation decreased to 4.5%, prompting uncertainty over potential rate cuts by the European Central Bank.
The European Central Bank's efforts to curb inflation through interest rate hikes have led to the lowest inflation rate in the euro zone in two years, indicating a potential slowdown in economic growth.
Consumer spending in the US increased by 0.4% in August, while core inflation fell below 4.0% for the first time in over two years, potentially reducing the likelihood of an interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve.
The sharp decline in inflation in Europe in September raises hopes for relief from high consumer costs, but concerns remain regarding higher oil prices and the ECB's ability to achieve its 2% inflation target.
The euro zone economy likely contracted last quarter due to decreased demand, rising borrowing costs, and higher prices, with retail sales falling more than expected in August, according to a survey by HCOB's final Composite Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI).
Euro zone retail sales in August saw a larger-than-expected decline, indicating weaker consumer demand amid high inflation.
The European Central Bank's policy, as stated by President Christine Lagarde, aims to bring inflation to 2% and avoid an inflationary spiral, while maintaining a cautious but optimistic outlook on short-term growth prospects.