Goldman Sachs warns that a US government shutdown is likely to occur in 2023 due to lawmakers' failure to agree on a budget, which could negatively impact stocks and economic growth.
The potential government shutdown threatens to deprive the Federal Reserve of crucial data on the labor market and inflation, which could hinder its ability to make informed decisions about the economy and interest rates.
Wall Street feels defensive as the US national debt surpasses $33 trillion and a government shutdown looms, potentially worsening the economy's current issues and increasing the likelihood of a recession, with the shutdown estimated to cost the US economy $6 billion per week and shave GDP growth by 0.1 percentage points in the fourth quarter of 2023.
Investors shouldn't worry about a government shutdown as it is unlikely to have a significant impact on the markets.
Millions of federal employees and military personnel face the prospect of a government shutdown, which would result in financial hardships for American families, disruptions in services, and potential harm to the economy.
The federal government is likely to face a shutdown that will affect various services, disrupt workers' pay, and create political turmoil as Republicans demand deep spending cuts.
The impending federal shutdown, combined with other economic challenges such as rising gas prices, student loan payments, and reduced pandemic savings, is expected to strain American households and potentially weaken economic growth in the last quarter of the year.
A government shutdown could result in significant disruptions to air travel, delays in food safety inspections, reduced workplace inspections and worker safety risks, closure of museums and national parks, disruptions to student aid programs and federal funding for schools, and delays in federal reimbursements for Meals on Wheels, among other impacts.
A government shutdown on October 1 is likely, but it is not expected to have a significant impact on financial markets or cause an economic recession.
The S&P 500 typically experiences a decline before US government shutdowns, but tends to rebound and gain in the following months; however, the current shutdown may add to short-term market volatility amidst already challenging economic conditions.
A U.S. government shutdown would negatively impact its credit assessment and highlight the weakness of its institutional and governance strength compared to other top-rated governments, according to Moody's, although the economic impact would likely be short-lived.
The possibility of a government shutdown in the U.S. could have negative implications for the crypto industry's regulatory progress and projects, similar to the effects seen in the previous shutdown in 2018 and 2019, with delays in approvals and a withdrawal of a bitcoin ETF application.
Wall Street's forecasts of corporate earnings are expected to decrease, which will likely impact the stock market.
The impending government shutdown may have an impact on the financial markets, according to Kristina Hooper, Chief Global Market Strategist at Invesco.
A brief government shutdown is unlikely to significantly slow down the economy, but a prolonged shutdown could hurt growth and potentially impact President Biden's re-election prospects.
A government shutdown in the U.S. could cause significant disruptions in the stock and bond markets, with the Securities and Exchange Commission being forced to furlough most of its staff and leaving the market oversight at a "skeletal" crew level.
There is a 90% chance of a government shutdown, according to Goldman Sachs, as the deadline looms and little progress has been made in negotiations.
A government shutdown would severely impact the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission's ability to approve IPOs and respond to market turmoil, according to its chair, Gary Gensler.
The article warns of a potential government shutdown and advises readers to take action to protect their investments in the stock market.
U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen warns that a potential government shutdown would harm economic progress, impacting key programs for small businesses and children and delaying infrastructure improvements.
A potential government shutdown in the US may lead to a delay or absence of the September consumer-price index report, which would complicate decisions for financial markets and the Federal Reserve.
Summary: The U.S. stock market had a bad quarter, with all indexes falling, while the World Bank lowered its growth forecast for developing economies in East Asia and the Pacific, and China's demand for commodities continues to grow despite the downgrade. Additionally, a last-minute spending bill was passed to avoid a government shutdown, and this week's focus will be on the labor market.
Investors will be closely watching market reactions to a late deal to avert a government shutdown, as well as key data on the labor market this week, while concerns about higher interest rates and the impact on the economy weigh on stock futures.
The S&P 500 closed out the quarter with a 3.6% loss, attributed to factors such as rising interest rates, a slowing housing market, and businesses preparing for tough times, resulting in a slow decline in stocks. Additionally, the resumption of student loan payments and expectations of more rate hikes from the Federal Reserve are expected to impact consumer spending power and business cutbacks. However, as the year comes to an end, traders and investors may look forward to 2024 for possible rate cuts and a return of strength in the market.
The stock market declined as the Dow lost 430 points and the Nasdaq lost 248 points, with the overall market being negatively affected by a higher 10-year bond yield and robust labor force data, while political turmoil in the House of Representatives and the possibility of a government shutdown added to the market's uncertainty.
The ousting of House Speaker Kevin McCarthy raises the odds of a government shutdown in November, which could negatively impact the stock market and further challenge an already struggling economy.