1. Home
  2. >
  3. Stock Markets 🤑
Posted

China and US Data Point to Economic Resilience, Boosting Investor Sentiment Ahead of Major Central Bank Decisions

  • China data showing signs of economic stabilization bolsters investor optimism
  • Retail sales and factory output beat expectations, real estate slump deepens
  • Goldilocks US data suggests robust economy without risk of more aggressive Fed hikes
  • Traders see Fed staying on hold next week after ECB's dovish rate hike
  • Dollar strength versus euro continues ahead of central bank decisions from Fed, BOE and BOJ
reuters.com
Relevant topic timeline:
### Summary The global financial markets are facing multiple challenges, including the crisis in the Chinese property market, rising U.S. bond yields, and declining U.K. retail sales, causing concerns among investors. ### Facts - 📉 The Chinese property market crisis, combined with Country Garden's bond payment suspension, raises concerns about China's real estate sector. - 🌧️ U.K. retail sales fell by 1.2% in July, dampening sentiment. - 🌎 The global markets are experiencing a "perfect storm" due to surging interest rates, weak economic data in China, summer liquidity issues, and a lack of fiscal stimulus. - 💼 Barclays suggests employing a "barbell" investment strategy, focusing on both cyclical and defensive stocks with a value tilt. - 💸 The upcoming Jackson Hole symposium and flash PMI readings will provide further insight into the market's direction. - ⬇️ David Roche from Independent Strategy warns that markets may face a significant downside if geopolitical and macroeconomic risks are fully priced in.
China's property market is seeing strong sales and rising rents, indicating a continuing demand for housing that pessimists are missing, according to veteran economist Hong Hao.
Volatility and rising interest rates have caused a pullback in U.S. equity markets, particularly impacting the technology sector, but investors should not panic as pullbacks are normal in a bull market and present buying opportunities. China's deteriorating economic conditions and weak seasonal trends have also contributed to the selling pressure. However, support is expected to be found in the 4,200 to 4,300 range in the S&P 500, and the Federal Reserve's likely end to the rate-hiking cycle and improved earnings should provide fundamental support for investors to buy the dip.
European shares traded higher as traders considered the possibility of higher interest rates from the U.S. Federal Reserve and awaited upcoming economic data, while U.S. stocks opened higher and Asian stocks rallied due to a stock market policy change in China.
Asian markets are expected to open strong, supported by a global equity upswing and lower bond yields, although caution remains due to the latest efforts by Beijing to support the Chinese stock market.
China stocks rise as investors welcome Beijing's efforts to support the market, while bonds rally and the dollar dips on possibly softening U.S. data.
Equity markets are higher as investors consider macro data, with Wall Street experiencing a rally fueled by optimism about interest rates and job openings.
European stock markets are expected to open higher following positive moves on Wall Street, as investors anticipate fresh economic data and a potential pause in interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve.
Asia-Pacific markets rise as investors anticipate China's August factory activity data, with the country's manufacturing sector expected to contract for the fifth consecutive month, while US stocks gain due to positive economic data and revised GDP growth figures.
European markets are expected to open higher following UBS's strong quarterly results and positive economic data, while China's factory activity contracted and U.S. job growth slowed in August.
UBS reports higher than expected profits, job creation in the US slows, and markets rally on weaker economic data and hope for a pause in interest rate hikes. China's factory activity shrinks but at a slower pace, while retail sales increase. There are opportunities for investors in other Asian markets.
Equity markets had a successful week as softer labor market data increased optimism for the Federal Reserve to maintain its current monetary stance, leading to gains in the tech and energy sectors, while the Euro may face challenges in foreign exchange markets.
Asian stock markets rise on the belief that the Federal Reserve has finished raising U.S. interest rates and hopes that policy stimulus from Beijing will stabilize the Chinese economy, while trading remains thin due to a U.S. holiday.
Equities rose on Monday as market participants speculated that the Federal Reserve may be nearing the end of its interest rate hike cycle, following a positive US jobs report and signs of a softening labor market. Additionally, investors were hopeful that China would implement measures to stimulate its economy and property sector.
Asian stocks are expected to open lower as traders focus on China's economic conditions and European shares fail to provide a strong lead, while oil and bond yields remain relatively high.
China's property shares are declining and tech shares are underperforming, leading to a slide in the Asian market, while the European market waits for monetary policy decisions from the ECB and the Bank of England.
Asian stock markets are starting to turn positive despite selling off shares in Chinese property developers and remaining unconvinced by efforts to revive activity in the mainland real estate market.
New home sales in Beijing have increased by 16.9% in the week of September 4-10, indicating that government efforts to revive the property sector are having an impact in the Chinese capital. However, the rebound in sales is not reflected across the rest of China, with sales falling 20% on average nationwide.
India's stock market has seen a rally as strong macroeconomic fundamentals and China's economic slowdown keep foreign investors invested in Indian stocks, while a surge in retail investor interest continues to drive the market.
Asian equity markets finished the day mixed, with Japan's Nikkei, Hong Kong's Hang Seng, and Taiwan's TAIEX declining, while South Korea's KOSPI, Australia's ASX All Ordinaries, India's SENSEX, and China's Shanghai Composite closed higher; European markets are higher in midday trading and U.S. equity futures point to a positive open following an upgrade by Morgan Stanley of Tesla's shares.
Asian markets are expected to be on the defensive due to sagging stocks and rising oil prices, as investors await U.S. inflation figures that will impact the Fed's rate decision; China's real estate sector is seen as the most likely source of a global systemic credit event.
Asian markets are expected to finish the week strong due to positive movements in the U.S. and Europe, although the release of economic data from China may dampen the mood, as it includes indicators such as house prices, fixed asset investment, and unemployment. The Chinese government is aiming to support the economy, but doubts remain about reaching the 5% GDP growth target and trade relations with the West continue to deteriorate. However, if investors continue with the bullish momentum from Thursday, these concerns may be temporarily set aside.
Asia-Pacific markets rallied after China's August economic data exceeded expectations, with retail sales and industrial production showing stronger growth, although fixed asset investment fell slightly below forecast; meanwhile, the US stock market also ended higher as producer prices increased more than expected.
China's retail sales and industrial production exceeded expectations in August, with retail sales growing by 4.6% and industrial production growing by 4.5%, but fixed asset investment lagging behind at 3.2%, indicating potential instability in the external environment.
Chinese economic data showing strength in consumer spending and manufacturing activity boosted Asian markets, with Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index rising 0.8% and Tokyo's Nikkei 225 surging 1.1%, despite concerns about a slowdown in China's economy.
European and Asian stocks rally on hopes of central banks ending rate rises and positive data indicating a potential rebound in China's economy.
Chinese economic data showed signs of improvement in August, with retail sales and industrial production exceeding expectations, and key commodities experiencing growth, although challenges remain in the property market.
China is expected to maintain its benchmark lending rates as oil prices rise and market sentiment is affected; meanwhile, the Federal Reserve's policy meeting, Japan's trade data, and the United Nations General Assembly will also influence Asian markets.
Equity markets in Asia are expected to face selling pressure due to worsening risk sentiment and concerns about higher interest rates signaled by the Federal Reserve, leading to declines in U.S. stocks and a fall in futures for benchmarks in Australia and Japan.
Asian markets may be bolstered by Wall Street's performance, but concerns regarding the surging dollar, rising U.S. Treasury yields, and troubles in the Chinese property sector may dampen investor enthusiasm.
Asian markets may receive a boost after the US Congress reached a last-minute deal to prevent a partial federal government shutdown, although Chinese data indicating mixed levels of services and manufacturing activity could hinder the positive sentiment.
Asian markets are expected to open higher following a rebound in risk sentiment driven by comments from Fed officials suggesting a possible pause in rate hikes, resulting in gold and oil prices rising, the dollar weakening, and Wall Street recovering from losses.
Asian markets are poised for a positive start as they take cues from Wall Street's performance, spurred by the dovish remarks made by Federal Reserve officials on interest rates.
Asian markets are expected to start positively due to a slump in U.S. bond yields and comments from Federal Reserve officials signaling the end of interest rate hikes, despite concerns in China's property sector and other economic indicators.
Asian markets are expected to have a positive start on Wednesday, driven by a slump in U.S. bond yields and comments from Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic suggesting that the Federal Reserve has finished raising rates, easing concerns and boosting risk appetite.
Equity markets in Asia are expected to open higher after US shares extended their winning streak and investors focused on less hawkish comments from Federal Reserve speakers.