1. Home
  2. >
  3. Economy 🏛️
Posted

OPEC Forecasts Strong Oil Demand Growth Through 2024, Sees Pre-Pandemic Levels in 2023 Despite Supply Cuts

  • OPEC maintains its forecast for robust oil demand growth in 2023 and 2024, citing economic resilience. It sees pre-pandemic demand surpassed in 2023.

  • Lifting of pandemic lockdowns in China has helped increase oil demand in 2023. OPEC forecasts higher 2024 demand growth than other organizations.

  • Oil demand collapsed in 2020 but OPEC predicts recovery, with 2023 average demand above 2019 pre-pandemic levels.

  • OPEC oil production rose in August, driven by Iran's output recovery and increase in Nigeria despite Saudi voluntary cuts.

  • Higher oil prices with Brent crude reaching new 2023 high above $90/barrel after OPEC+ extended production cuts to end of 2022.

reuters.com
Relevant topic timeline:
Oil prices dipped as concerns over China's slow post-pandemic recovery and weak global economic data outweighed expectations of supply cuts by OPEC+ producers.
Oil prices could reach triple-digit territory by next year if Russia and Saudi Arabia maintain their aggressive supply cuts, according to Goldman Sachs, with Brent crude potentially climbing to $107 a barrel by December 2024.
Analysts predict that Saudi Arabia may face an economic contraction in 2023 due to its decision to extend crude production cuts, highlighting the nation's heavy reliance on oil, while a large dividend from Saudi Aramco may provide some cushion for public finances.
Demand for coal, natural gas, and oil is expected to peak in the near future, even without new climate policies, as a result of the shift towards renewable energy and electric vehicles, according to the International Energy Agency.
Oil prices reach new highs in 2023 due to supply constraints caused by output reductions from Saudi Arabia and Russia, raising concerns about global inventory shortages and potential inflationary pressures.
Demand for fossil fuels is expected to reach an all-time high before 2030, despite progress in the fight against climate change, according to Fatih Birol, Executive Director of the International Energy Agency.
Oil price volatility is expected to surge due to the significant supply shortfall caused by the OPEC+ supply cuts, potentially leading to a surplus if cuts are unwound next year but with low oil stocks.
OPEC dismisses claims of peak oil and fossil fuel demand before 2030, stating that peak demand for oil, gas, and coal will not occur until the next decade, contrary to the International Energy Agency's recent projections.
Oil prices hit a 3-month high as OPEC maintains tight supply, leading to the threat of higher gasoline prices and increased inflation.
Oil prices continue to rise as OPEC+ supply cuts tighten the market, with Brent crude surpassing $94 a barrel and speculators increasing bullish wagers on Brent and West Texas Intermediate, leading to concerns about inflationary pressures.
Top Saudi Arabian and U.S. oil producers Aramco and Exxon Mobil have pushed back forecasts of peak oil demand and emphasized the need for continued investment in conventional oil and gas, stating that the energy transition will require more time and investment.
World markets are cautious ahead of central bank decisions and concerned about inflation signals amidst rising oil prices, as crude oil reaches its highest levels of the year due to supply cuts from Saudi Arabia and Russia, while US production also falls.
Oil prices reached a 2023 high as inventories at the largest storage hub in the US decreased, leading to speculation of $100 per barrel oil in the near future.
Oil prices hit their highest levels in over a year as ongoing production cuts raise concerns about the global economy, while the specter of $100 oil looms and supply tightness becomes apparent with reduced stockpiles and increased refining. Higher interest rates may dampen crude demand, but for now, the focus remains on supply.
The head of OPEC warns that a lack of investment in the oil industry poses a danger to global energy security and could cause crude prices to reach $100 a barrel.
The secretary general of Opec+ predicts that oil prices will remain high due to increasing energy demand, as Saudi Arabia cuts its crude oil production by a million barrels a day and warns of a potential supply shortfall.
The OPEC+ group is not expected to ease production cuts despite tight oil market conditions and fears of demand destruction if prices remain high.
Global economic growth is expected to slightly increase in 2024, but the United Nations warns of a precarious situation and significant economic headwinds that may lead to a slowdown in the U.S. and a potential recession in the eurozone. The UN also highlights the escalating debt distress among frontier economies and calls for more oversight and regulation of food companies in the global trade system.
Oil demand is predicted to remain strong into 2024, with a substantial rate of growth expected despite the potential impact of electric vehicles.
OPEC+ decides to maintain current oil production cuts, causing a drop in crude oil prices despite the potential need for higher prices to impact demand, with oil demand booming in China and India but declining in the US.
OPEC has raised its long-term forecast for global oil demand, predicting that it will reach 116 million barrels per day by 2045 and requiring $14 trillion in investment to meet this upswing, despite the expansion of renewable energy technologies.
OPEC raised its world oil demand forecasts for the medium and long term, estimating that $14 trillion of investment is needed to meet the demand by 2045, despite the pushback against net zero targets and the rise of renewable fuels and electric cars.
OPEC has increased its long-term oil demand forecast to 116 million barrels per day by 2045, contradicting the International Energy Agency's prediction that demand will peak.
OPEC has stated that the world needs $14 trillion in investments in the oil sector by 2045 to ensure market stability and avoid energy and economic chaos, with the bulk of the investments needed in the upstream segment.
OPEC raises its estimate for long-term oil demand, stating that trillions of dollars will be needed to meet the higher demand due to growth in China, India, and other Asian, African, and Middle Eastern countries.