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Retail Sales Rebound in August Despite Looming Economic Headwinds

  • Retail sales rose 0.6% in August, beating estimates and rebounding from a downwardly revised July increase.

  • Gasoline sales jumped 5.7% as prices surged, driving the overall retail gain. Excluding gas and autos, sales rose just 0.2%.

  • Online retail sales were flat after jumping in July due to Prime Day. Sales fell in sporting goods, hobby stores.

  • Gain gives positive snapshot of consumer spending, but headwinds mounting from inflation, rate hikes, student loan restarts.

  • Comes ahead of student loan impact; retailers unsure of overall economic effect but will watch spending closely.

yahoo.com
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Consumer spending in China rebounded in August, with all categories, including apparel, automotive, food, furniture, appliances, and luxury, experiencing increased sales compared to July, according to a survey by the China Beige Book. Retail sales in July rose by 2.5% year-on-year, raising concerns about China's economic growth, but the August survey showed a surge in spending, particularly in the services sector, which saw continued strength in travel and hospitality. Additionally, corporate borrowing increased as the cost of capital declined, indicating a boost in business activity. However, China's property sector continued to worsen, with house prices barely growing and home sales declining.
Pending home sales in the US unexpectedly rose by 0.9% in July, defying expectations of a decline, as the housing market slowly recovers from the impact of rising mortgage rates and a shortage of inventory.
Retail sales in the UK increased by 4.1% in August, with non-food items experiencing the strongest growth due to higher spending on health and beauty, although clothing and footwear sales were weaker; however, the increase in sales was partly driven by rising prices, indicating that consumers are buying fewer items but spending more.
The U.S. economy experienced modest growth in July and August, driven by pent-up demand for leisure activities, while nonessential retail sales slowed, according to the Federal Reserve's "Beige Book" survey.
U.S. consumer prices are expected to have increased the most in 14 months in August due to rising gasoline costs, while underlying inflation is forecasted to remain moderate, potentially prompting the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates steady.
Retail sales in the US remained resilient in August, with a 0.6% month-on-month increase, surpassing expectations of 0.2%, indicating a positive trend for the economy.
Wholesale inflation in the US rose more than expected in August, with the producer price index increasing by 0.7%, the largest monthly gain since June 2022, counteracting recent data that suggested price increases had been slowing down.
Wholesale inflation in the US exceeded expectations in August, driven by higher gasoline prices, indicating that inflationary pressures are still present in the economy.
Retail sales in the US rose 0.6% in August compared to July, but the increase in gas prices could impact consumer spending during the holiday shopping season, according to a report from the Commerce Department. Excluding gas sales, retail sales only increased by 0.2% in August.
US retail sales have exceeded economists' expectations for the second consecutive month, with higher gas prices being a contributing factor.
China's retail sales and industrial production exceeded expectations in August, with retail sales growing by 4.6% and industrial production growing by 4.5%, but fixed asset investment lagging behind at 3.2%, indicating potential instability in the external environment.
Chinese economic data showed signs of improvement in August, with retail sales and industrial production exceeding expectations, and key commodities experiencing growth, although challenges remain in the property market.
US retail sales, excluding automotive, are expected to rise by 3.7% over the holiday shopping season, indicating a return to pre-pandemic levels of holiday spending, driven by a more normal inflation environment and consumers' willingness to spend on experiences, electronics, and dining out.
U.S. existing home sales fell 0.7% in August due to high mortgage rates and a worsening supply shortage, with prices reaching a record high.
Home sales in the American Midwest defied the national trend by increasing in August, while sales across the country declined, due to high mortgage rates and low supply, according to data from the National Association of Realtors. Overall, home sales decreased by 0.7% in August and over 15% from the previous year, but analysts noted a stabilization in the market. The Midwest saw a 1% increase in home sales compared to July, but a more than 16% decline compared to the previous year.
Euro zone retail sales in August saw a larger-than-expected decline, indicating weaker consumer demand amid high inflation.