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SBP reserves fall below $8bn

The foreign exchange reserves of the State Bank of Pakistan fell below $8 billion for the first time in five weeks, dropping to $7.93 billion, which may pose challenges as the country faces significant debt servicing payments.

dawn.com
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Pakistan's rupee dropped to a record low due to the easing of import restrictions, which has increased demand for the dollar.
The Pakistani rupee has reached a historic low of 300.37 against the US dollar in the interbank market due to increased demand and a dollar liquidity crunch caused by dropping exports and remittances, with experts suggesting that the interbank market is trying to catch up with the kerb market.
India's foreign exchange reserves have fallen to a two-month low of $594.89 billion due to a decline of $7.27 billion, the largest weekly fall in over six months, as the rupee dropped to a 10-month low against the U.S. dollar.
Pakistan's external vulnerabilities are set to worsen due to shrinking dollar inflows and increasing debt servicing, putting pressure on foreign exchange reserves and potentially leading to their depletion.
The Pakistani rupee has fallen below 300 to a US dollar due to factors such as the rise of the dollar, uncertainty surrounding general elections, and a political/judicial/constitutional crisis, resulting in eroded business confidence, increased inflation, and reduced industrial output.
Saudi Arabia experienced a sharp decline in its foreign reserves, with a drop of over $16 billion last month, marking the largest decrease since the negative oil prices during the pandemic as the country invested in US stocks using its savings.
China's central bank will cut the amount of foreign exchange reserves required for financial institutions, in an effort to slow the decline of the yuan.
The relentless surge in pressure on the exchange rate and price level in Pakistan over the past two and a half years can be attributed to serious malfunctions on the balance of payments and fiscal accounts, which have thrown the monetary aggregates far from their projected path to stability. This has led to inflation and exchange rate pressure, and traditional IMF-mandated adjustments alone may not be enough to resolve the situation.
The U.S. dollar's share in global reserves has fallen below 60% for the first time in decades, as other currencies like the Euro, Pound, and Yen are on the rise due to a growing number of countries settling trade in their national currencies, driven by the de-dollarization process initiated by BRICS to end reliance on the U.S. dollar.
The Pakistani rupee has depreciated significantly in the first three weeks of the interim government's tenure, reaching a record low and making it the worst-performing Asian currency this quarter, due to factors such as a change in government and high inflation. The State Bank of Pakistan is implementing measures to address the economic challenges, including reforming the exchange rate and modernizing the banking system.
China experienced its largest capital outflow since 2015, with $49 billion leaving the country, as economic concerns prompt investors to withdraw; of this, $29 billion was withdrawn from securities investments, including bonds. The outflow was compounded by a record-high $12 billion in mainland-listed stocks being dumped by foreign investors and a $16.8 billion deficit in direct investment, the largest since 2016. The decline in the capital account was exacerbated by the tourism season, with outbound travel negatively impacting the services sector, while inbound travel remained suppressed, causing a continued deficit in the services trade. Efforts by Beijing, such as reducing the foreign currency reserves held by banks, have aimed to support the yuan but have been unable to prevent a significant decline in the offshore yuan. Weak exports and the allure of US yields have also contributed to the yuan's decline, further complicating China's capital flight situation, as doubts about the country's ability to achieve its 5% GDP target for the year grow.