The BRICS alliance could gain control of the majority of the world's oil and gas trade by including Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates, which could lead to a shift away from the USD and the de-dollarization of the oil economy.
The Brics economic group, consisting of Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa, is discussing the possibility of expanding its membership and promoting the use of local currencies for trade settlement, with aims to challenge the dominance of the US dollar, but analysts believe that the greenback is unlikely to lose its status as the international reserve currency.
The US Dollar strengthens as several BRIC countries express support for the currency, while Fed officials remain quiet on rate cuts, and geopolitical tensions boost the Greenback during US trading hours.
The weakening of the U.S. dollar could benefit companies that export products and services, while importers may have to pay more for the goods they bring in, leading them to hold off on purchases. However, a more stable dollar can benefit both importers and exporters.
Russia has called on the BRICS alliance to abandon the US dollar for trade settlements and instead embrace local currencies, in a continuation of the bloc's de-dollarization efforts.
Brazil's President proposed the creation of a common currency for BRICS nations to reduce their vulnerability to dollar exchange rate fluctuations, although officials and economists have acknowledged the challenges of such a project.
South Africa's finance minister says that the BRICS grouping will not replace international payment systems like SWIFT but will explore creating one that strengthens trade in local currencies.
The BRICS expansion, featuring six new members including Saudi Arabia, Iran, Ethiopia, Egypt, Argentina, and the United Arab Emirates, will slightly increase the group's share of global GDP, population, oil production, and global exports.
The BRICS summit is aiming to reduce reliance on the U.S. Dollar, as the coalition confirms new members including UAE, Egypt, Ethiopia, Saudi Arabia, and Argentina, and discusses the possibility of a new payment system and currency backed by gold.
The BRICS, a bloc of emerging market nations, has expanded its membership to include Saudi Arabia, Iran, Egypt, Argentina, Ethiopia, and the United Arab Emirates (UAE), with the goal of building a fair, just, inclusive, and prosperous world; however, experts question whether BRICS can effectively compete with the West given their differing priorities, and the ambition of creating a common BRICS currency to rival the dollar is unlikely to materialize due to competing interests and priorities among member states.
Egypt hopes that its inclusion in the BRICS bloc will help alleviate its shortage of foreign currency and attract new investment, although analysts suggest that it may take time before the benefits become evident.
The BRICS summit focused on increasing the use of local currencies for trade, but there were no discussions about a digital currency; however, three non-BRICS countries also announced plans to use local currencies instead of the dollar for cross-border trade.
BRICS is considering making local currencies the only accepted form of payment for oil and gas settlements, which could potentially shift global power from the West to the East.
The BRICS nations are divided on the issue of de-dollarization, as statements from the bloc's leaders indicated, despite discussions about the creation of a common currency to rival the US dollar.
The dollar is not likely to lose its status as the global reserve currency despite the expansion of the BRICS group of nations and their aim to find an alternative, as technology and not commodity-based currencies are expected to be the driving force in the future.
The BRICS expansion and their de-dollarization efforts have been met with a relatively calm response from the US, Germany, and the European Union, emphasizing the importance of countries choosing partnerships based on their national interests.
The BRICS bloc, which has now expanded to include 11 countries, controls 30% of the global economy, 46% of the world's population, and a significant share of commodities such as manganese, graphite, nickel, and copper, as well as 42% of the global oil supply, potentially putting pressure on the US economy and challenging the traditional world order.
The US dollar's influence in the oil markets is diminishing as more oil is being transacted in non-dollar currencies, according to JPMorgan.
JP Morgan predicts that the U.S. dollar is at risk of losing its global reserve status as BRICS countries increase their use of local currencies for trade settlement, although the chances of this happening in the near future are slim.
The extended BRICS alliance, which now includes six new countries, has a GDP in purchasing power parity (PPP) that accounts for more than one-third of the global economy, giving them the potential to control exports of oil to the West and influence trade settlement currency choices.
The BRICS alliance is considering the creation of a 'single unit account' as an alternative currency to the US dollar, in order to settle cross-border transactions without depending on a single currency or local currencies.
Developing countries, including members of the BRICS and ASEAN alliances, are actively seeking to reduce their dependency on the US dollar and promote their local currencies for global trade, with a total of 21 countries officially agreeing to ditch the US dollar in 2023.
Creating a BRICS currency backed by gold is considered nonsensical by a former Bank of America strategist, as it would essentially be another gold derivative and would weaken individual currencies within the group.
The BRICS expansion, which includes countries like Saudi Arabia, the UAE, and Iran, has raised concerns in the U.S. and EU as it poses a threat to Western-dominated financial markets, while China's influence grows and the alliance aims for de-dollarization in global trade.
Brazil President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva's proposal for a shared currency among the BRICS nations has been met with skepticism due to logistical and political challenges, with differing levels of enthusiasm among the other leaders and the dominant position of the US dollar in global trade.
India and Saudi Arabia are discussing the possibility of trading in their local currencies, potentially ending their reliance on the US dollar for cross-border transactions.
The increased exports of oil from the United States into Europe and Asia have allowed U.S. crude to regain its dominance in setting international oil prices, reducing volatility and potential market distortion, while also shifting power to U.S. companies and traders in the market.
Developing countries, including the BRICS alliance, are looking to end reliance on the US dollar due to increasing debt and the threat of inflation, which could lead to a decline in the dollar's value and a rise in prices. Economist Peter Schiff warns of a tragic ending for the US dollar if other countries continue to move away from it.
The BRICS bloc, including countries like India, China, and Russia, is slowly reducing its dependency on the US dollar and using their local currencies for trade, which could potentially weaken the US dollar's position as the dominant global currency.
