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Tech stocks positioned for gains if yields fall, big tech earnings growth seen

  • Tech stocks could outperform in Q4 if yields retreat from highs, per Goldman Sachs
  • Mega-cap tech stocks cheaper relative to S&P 500 than in past 6 years
  • Biggest tech stocks expected to lift earnings 22% over next 12 months
  • Tech stocks tend to benefit from falling interest rates
  • Despite rate hikes, tech stocks like Nvidia have surged in 2023
investopedia.com
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Surging U.S. Treasury yields are causing concern among investors as they wonder how much it will impact the rally in stocks and speculative assets, with the S&P 500, technology sector, bitcoin, and high-growth names all experiencing losses; rising rates are making it more difficult for borrowers and increasing the appeal of risk-free Treasury yields.
U.S. stock index futures rise as Treasury yields decline, with tech stocks leading the rally ahead of earnings reports and Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's upcoming speech.
Tech stocks may face challenges in the second half of the year despite recent inflows, as central bank liquidity decreases and investors shift from equities to bonds.
Tech shares boosted U.S. stock indexes despite higher yields on Treasurys, with investors scaling back on bets for interest-rate cuts due to the strong U.S. economy.
Tech stocks led a rally in the stock market, with the Nasdaq Composite gaining 1.6% and the S&P 500 ending a four-day losing streak, despite the rise in Treasury yields; investors will be looking for clues about the US consumer spending and the economy as retailers' earnings reports are expected, and Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's speech at the Jackson Hole symposium is anticipated for indications on interest rates.
Tech stocks are exhibiting sell signals similar to previous market turning points, with valuations reaching unsustainable levels, a yield curve inversion indicating trouble ahead, and government funding and inflationary expectations creating economic challenges for long-duration assets.
Technology stocks appear to be defying the impact of higher interest rates and are continuing to perform strongly.
U.S. Treasury yields rise as investors await jobs report for insight into the economy and Fed's monetary policy decisions.
U.S. Treasury yields dropped as concerns over potential interest rate hikes grew due to recent economic data, including lower jobless claims and sustained inflationary pressures.
The yield on the 10-year Treasury note is predicted to decrease significantly for the remainder of this year and in 2024, as economists anticipate the Federal Reserve to loosen its monetary policy and inflation to fall.
U.S. stocks fell and Treasury yields surged ahead of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, while Instacart shares surged 12% on their first day of trading on the Nasdaq.
Treasury yields rise and stocks fall as traders anticipate longer-lasting higher rates to prevent inflation, while Brent oil briefly surpasses $95 a barrel; the Federal Reserve's decision on interest rates is eagerly awaited by investors.
Tech stocks led a retreat on Wall Street as investors were concerned about the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance and its decision to keep interest rates steady, causing the S&P 500, Dow Jones, and Nasdaq Composite to decrease; Goldman Sachs has delayed its forecast for a Fed rate cut to the fourth quarter of 2024.
The stock market experienced a correction as Treasury yields increased, causing major indexes to break key support levels and leading stocks to suffer damage, while only a few stocks held up relatively well; however, it is currently not a favorable time for new purchases in the market.
Treasury yields are expected to rise in the future, which could have a negative impact on the stock market.
Higher interest rates might not hurt tech stocks now, as AI and history are on their side, with tech stocks rebounding and recovering losses in past tightening cycles and the AI revolution potentially benefiting big tech companies.
The recent decline in the US equity market is validating concerns about its lopsided nature, with a small number of top-performing stocks leading the market lower and the remaining companies struggling to make gains, potentially exacerbating losses in a rising Treasury yield environment.
The Treasury market is leading the equity market as long-term yields rise to their highest level in 16 years, suggesting investors should pay attention to bond market movements for stock market trends, with an optimistic outlook for AI companies in the coming months.
The surging bond yields are causing concern among investors that the highly valued shares of giant technology and growth companies, including Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, and Tesla, may be vulnerable to a decline.
U.S. stocks and bonds are falling due to another surge in Treasury yields, leading to anxiety among investors who fear that the Fed will hold interest rates higher for longer if the labor market remains strong.
Treasury yields dropped from multiyear highs after new jobs data indicated a potential weakening labor market, raising hopes that the Federal Reserve may halt interest rate hikes and leading to a relief rally in stocks.
Stocks are rising modestly as Treasury yields fall and several stocks, including Apple, Cal-Maine Foods, A10 Networks, Palantir, and Tilray, are seeing significant movement.
U.S. stocks turned higher and Treasury yields eased as investors awaited the monthly jobs report from the Labor Department, with caution surrounding the potential impact on stocks and the Federal Reserve's rate hike plans.
Surging Treasury yields are weighing on stocks and financial markets, and the only way to relieve the pain for bond investors may be a decline in stocks.
The rise in Treasury bond yields above 5% could lead to a more sustainable increase and potential havoc in financial markets, as investors demand greater compensation for risk and corporate credit spreads widen, making government debt a more attractive option and leaving the stock market vulnerable to declines; despite this, stock investors appeared unfazed by the September jobs report and all three major stock indexes were higher by the end of trading.
The surge in Treasury yields has negatively impacted stocks with bond-like qualities, particularly in sectors such as utilities and consumer staples, leading to significant losses for bond proxies.
The US stock market experienced losses in the third quarter, driven by rising US Treasury yields, leading to a surge in the US dollar and a hostile environment for gold and silver; the fourth quarter may see a continuation of this trend if US yields continue to rise.
Goldman Sachs economists warn that the recent surge in US Treasury yields will hamper economic growth and pose financial risks, though the bank does not predict a recession; they estimate a 0.5 percentage-point blow to US GDP over the next year.
U.S. Treasury yields fell as investors turned to safer investments amid concerns over the Israel-Hamas war and hints from Federal Reserve officials that there may not be a need for further rate hikes.
U.S. stocks rise as Treasury yields fall and Federal Reserve officials provide favorable commentary, with the Nasdaq Composite leading gains.
Treasury yields dropped sharply as traders priced in a high likelihood that the Federal Reserve will not raise interest rates again, with the 2-year rate ending at its lowest level in over a month and the 10-year and 30-year rates also hitting lows.
Treasury yields have fallen from their recent highs, but the market's "pain trade" may not be over yet, as weak economic data and the upcoming inflation report could keep yields from coming down and staying down.
The U.S. stock market is currently trading at a discount to fair value, and Morningstar expects rates to come down faster due to optimism on inflation; strong growth is projected in Q3, but the economy may slow down in Q4, and inflation is expected to fall in 2023 and reach the Fed's 2% target in 2024. The report also provides outlooks for various sectors, including technology, energy, and utilities, and highlights some top stock picks. The fixed-income outlook suggests that while interest rates may rise in the short term, rates are expected to come down over time, making it a good time for longer-term fixed-income investments. The corporate bond market has outperformed this year, and although bankruptcies and downgrades may increase, investors are still being adequately compensated for the risks.
Bond market strategists are maintaining their predictions that U.S. Treasury yields will decrease by the end of the year and that 10-year yields have reached their peak, despite recent sell-offs and a strong U.S. economy.
Stocks declined and bond yields surged after an underwhelming Treasury auction and higher-than-expected inflation reading raised concerns about higher interest rates.
UBS advises investors to focus on bonds rather than stocks, predicting that the 10-year US Treasury yield will drop to 3.5% by mid-2024 due to slowing growth and the Federal Reserve's easing of policy, offering bondholders returns of around 13%.
Treasury yields rise and stock struggle as positive economic reports support the argument for the Federal Reserve to maintain higher interest rates for a longer period of time.
Treasury yields reaching 4.9% for the first time since 2007 is threatening to destabilize equity markets as the speed of change in prices and rates shakes investors.
Stocks, particularly in the tech sector, experienced a sharp decline with the Nasdaq entering correction territory, as rising bond yields and disappointing tech earnings raised concerns among traders.
The appeal of bonds over stocks is increasing due to soaring U.S. Treasury yields, potentially impacting equity performance in the long term.
Global stocks fall and U.S. Treasury yields remain near 5% as investors process mixed signals from the U.S. economy, with stronger-than-expected growth but softer business investment, prompting concerns about inflation and potential interest rate hikes from the Federal Reserve.