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Tech Stocks Have Historically Weathered Rate Hikes; AI Revolution Could Further Boost Big Tech

  • Contrary to conventional wisdom, tech stocks as tracked by the Nasdaq 100 have risen in all four of the Fed's most recent tightening cycles.

  • Tech stocks tend to fall early in tightening cycles but rebound and recover losses later on.

  • AI could be the biggest transformative event for tech in decades, with analysts calling it a "1995-like revolution."

  • Big tech companies like Google, Microsoft, Amazon, and Nvidia that are heavily invested in AI could be the biggest beneficiaries.

  • History may be on tech's side, with analysts citing the AI revolution as a potential tailwind amid rising rates.

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The recent rise in interest rates is causing credit to become more expensive and harder to obtain, which will have significant implications for various sectors of the economy such as real estate, automobiles, finance/banks, and venture capital/tech companies. Rising rates also affect the fair value of assets, presenting both opportunities and risks for investors.
The collision between artificial intelligence and interest rates in relation to Nvidia earnings and the Jackson Hole economic symposium poses risks for investors, who should focus on long-term prospects and be wary of the Federal Reserve's impact.
The stock market's recovery in 2023, driven by technology stocks and the growing interest in artificial intelligence (AI), suggests that a new bull market may be underway, making it a good time to consider buying AI stocks like Advanced Micro Devices and Palo Alto Networks.
Hiking interest rates can discourage innovation and curtail long-term economic growth potential, according to a study presented at the Federal Reserve's annual conference. A percentage point increase in interest rates could lead to a 5% reduction in economic output, suggesting the need for increased government funding for innovation to offset rate increases. Higher interest rates make borrowing more expensive, reducing consumer and business demand and hindering the development of new offerings and efficiency-increasing innovations. Additionally, research and development spending, venture capital investment, and patents all decline with rising interest rates. However, the study does not advocate for refraining from raising rates if needed to control inflation.
Tech stocks may face challenges in the second half of the year despite recent inflows, as central bank liquidity decreases and investors shift from equities to bonds.
Investors expecting a continued surge in technology stocks due to enthusiasm over artificial intelligence may face trouble as central banks tighten monetary policy, according to Bank of America strategists. The correlation between central bank liquidity and tech stocks is a cause for concern, as central bank balance sheets have shrunk while the Nasdaq continues to climb, indicating potential risks ahead.
Tech shares boosted U.S. stock indexes despite higher yields on Treasurys, with investors scaling back on bets for interest-rate cuts due to the strong U.S. economy.
Exchange-traded funds tied to artificial intelligence have performed well in the first half of 2023, but higher interest rates are causing investors to rethink their positions and consider the potential benefits of industrials in the AI space.
Spending on AI could boost GDP and productivity, while also potentially raising interest rates in the coming years.
Tech stocks led a rally in the stock market, with the Nasdaq Composite gaining 1.6% and the S&P 500 ending a four-day losing streak, despite the rise in Treasury yields; investors will be looking for clues about the US consumer spending and the economy as retailers' earnings reports are expected, and Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's speech at the Jackson Hole symposium is anticipated for indications on interest rates.
Tech stocks are expected to continue their rally as a surge in spending on AI is anticipated to ease concerns about interest-rate hikes by the Federal Reserve.
Tech stocks, including Consensus Cloud Solutions and Pegasystems, are predicted to rally into the year-end and benefit from the AI-driven growth of the tech industry, according to Wedbush analyst Daniel Ives.
Technology stocks appear to be defying the impact of higher interest rates and are continuing to perform strongly.
Higher interest rates are impacting corporate profits, but stock prices remain steady for now.
Traders believe that the US Federal Reserve will not raise interest rates further this year, as the latest jobs report showed an increase in unemployment and a cooling wage growth, prompting the Fed to potentially halt rate hikes and keep policy on hold.
Fund manager Kimberly Scott believes that elevated interest rates are presenting a significant challenge for equity investing and the economy, but she still sees value in mid-cap growth stocks and has identified six companies that she finds attractive in the current market conditions, including The Trade Desk, MSCI, Microchip Technology, Trex, and Pinterest.
Artificial intelligence stocks have seen significant growth in 2023, leading to increased competition, but one particular company is expected to benefit the most.
Long-term borrowing rates and riskier growth stocks of the Big Tech universe have increased simultaneously, potentially indicating investors' anticipation of a more enduring high-pressure economy.
Goldman Sachs suggests that the recent surge in AI stocks does not indicate a bubble and that we are still in the early stages of an AI revolution, while others remain cautious about potential risks and advise a measured approach to investment in the AI sector.
A period of higher interest rates won't derail the bull market in stocks, as historical analysis shows that the stock market performs well during elevated interest rate periods, with slightly lower but less volatile returns compared to lower interest rate periods, according to BMO's chief investment strategist Brian Belski.
Investor interest in AI stocks is starting to cool off, according to Vanda Research analysts, who have observed a decline in net purchases and news coverage of AI-related companies, such as Nvidia. However, they believe that this decline in retail demand is unlikely to significantly impact stock prices without active participation from institutional investors. Smaller AI-related companies, like C3.ai, are experiencing a selling trend, while IonQ, a quantum computing company, has been an exception with resilient demand and increasing short interest.
Higher interest rates next year will negatively impact a significant number of corporations when they need to refinance, according to Mohamed El-Erian, the chief economic adviser at Allianz SE.
Tech stocks led a retreat on Wall Street as investors were concerned about the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance and its decision to keep interest rates steady, causing the S&P 500, Dow Jones, and Nasdaq Composite to decrease; Goldman Sachs has delayed its forecast for a Fed rate cut to the fourth quarter of 2024.
Tech stocks have been driving the market gains this year, particularly in the field of artificial intelligence (AI), with analysts like Daniel Ives predicting long-term growth and recommending AI-focused companies such as Palantir Technologies and C3.ai.
Stocks may not be as negatively impacted by higher interest rates as some fear, as the Federal Reserve's forecast of sustained economic growth justifies the higher rates and could lead to increased stock valuations.
Corporate America is not deterred by the potential for another interest rate hike from the Federal Reserve, as evidenced by companies making large acquisitions and pursuing deals, indicating confidence in the economy's resilience and the possibility of a soft landing.
Higher interest rates are causing a downturn in the stock market, but technological advancements in recent decades may provide some hope for investors.
Investors should move away from growth stocks and towards value stocks due to an impending rebound in inflation, according to Rob Arnott, founder of Research Affiliates, who also cautioned that the hype surrounding AI is diminishing and a recession may occur if interest rates remain high.
As interest rates continue to rise, the author warns of the potential consequences for various sectors of the economy, including housing, automotive, and regional banks, and suggests that investors should reconsider their investment strategies in light of higher interest rates.
Tech stocks could see a boost in the fourth quarter if Treasury yields decline, as their valuations have fallen relative to the broader market, according to Goldman Sachs analysts.
Big technology stocks had a bad September and they could keep dragging on the wider market unless they deliver some good news, but Nvidia and IBM stocks could provide the boost that the tech sector needs.
Interest rates for certificates of deposit and high-yield savings accounts have increased significantly in recent years due to the Federal Reserve's rate hikes, but it is uncertain if rates will continue to rise or if they have reached their peak.
Rising interest rates are actually hurting bank stocks instead of helping them, disappointing bank investors who had been hoping for the opposite outcome.
Tech stocks, including the Nasdaq and companies like Airbnb, are facing a rough start to October as a spike in interest rates leads investors to pull out of risky assets.
The U.S. stock market may not deserve to fall due to higher interest rates alone, as the belief that stock prices decline when interest rates rise can lead to erroneous assumptions, and the correlation between interest rates and inflation is crucial in determining stock market behavior.
Despite concerns over higher interest rates and a hawkish Federal Reserve, investors should double down on technology stocks, according to Wedbush analyst Dan Ives, who believes that the focus should be on the potential growth in AI and the trillion-dollar tech spending expected over the next decade.
Interest rates have seen a notable increase, causing concerns over the economy and inflation, as discussed by The Wall Street Journal's chief economics correspondent and Sand Hill Global Advisors CIO on 'Squawk Box'.
A spike in interest rates has negatively impacted stocks and bonds, but Bitcoin may continue to rise regardless of the rate changes.
Shares of the seven largest technology stocks, including Apple, Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, Meta Platforms, Tesla, and Nvidia, all traded lower following stronger-than-expected September jobs data, potentially impacting the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike policy.
Investors are betting that the Federal Reserve may not raise interest rates again due to recent market moves that are expected to cool economic growth.
Despite macroeconomic concerns, tech analyst Dan Ives believes that the opportunity brought by AI will drive tech stocks higher, and he recommends buying the best-quality tech stocks such as Apple, Microsoft, Palo Alto Networks, Palantir, Zscaler, CrowdStrike, and MongoDB.
Interest rates are a major focus in financial markets as rising rates have far-reaching consequences, making future projections less valuable and hindering investments, and there is still uncertainty about the full impact of rate hikes on the economy, potentially delaying the start of a recession until mid-2024.
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell indicated that the strength of the U.S. economy and tight labor markets could warrant further interest rate increases, countering market expectations that rate hikes had come to an end. Powell also acknowledged that inflation is still too high and further rate increases could be necessary.
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome H. Powell stated that the central bank may need to raise interest rates further if economic data continues to show strong growth or if the labor market stops cooling.