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Higher Rates Fail to Boost Bank Stocks as Expected

  • Bank investors anticipated higher interest rates would boost bank stocks.

  • Higher rates arrived but haven't helped bank stocks as expected.

  • Banks face risks as consumers and businesses struggle with higher rates.

  • Loan growth is slowing as economic growth slows.

  • Banks also face risks of higher credit losses as economy weakens.

barrons.com
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The majority of economists polled by Reuters predict that the U.S. Federal Reserve will not raise interest rates again, and they expect the central bank to wait until at least the end of March before cutting them, as the probability of a recession within a year falls to its lowest level since September 2022.
The recent rise in interest rates is causing credit to become more expensive and harder to obtain, which will have significant implications for various sectors of the economy such as real estate, automobiles, finance/banks, and venture capital/tech companies. Rising rates also affect the fair value of assets, presenting both opportunities and risks for investors.
The stock market is rising despite bad news, as interest rates lower and stabilizing rates are seen as positive signs.
Turkey's central bank surprises markets by raising interest rates more quickly than anticipated.
Chinese state-owned banks are expected to lower interest rates on existing mortgages, with the quantum of the cut varying for different clients and cities, in an effort to revive the property sector and boost the country's economy.
The Federal Reserve is considering raising interest rates again in order to reduce inflation to its targeted levels, as indicated by Fed Governor Michelle W. Bowman, who stated that additional rate increases will likely be needed; however, conflicting economic indicators, such as job growth and wage growth, may complicate the decision-making process.
Technology stocks appear to be defying the impact of higher interest rates and are continuing to perform strongly.
Higher interest rates are impacting corporate profits, but stock prices remain steady for now.
Surging interest rates in the UK have led to a slump in factory output, the biggest annual drop in house prices since the global financial crisis, and signals of distress in different sectors of the economy, posing a dilemma for the Bank of England as it decides whether to raise interest rates further.
The author argues against the common belief that rising interest rates and a rising dollar will negatively impact the stock market, citing historical evidence that contradicts this perspective and emphasizes the importance of analyzing market reality rather than personal beliefs. The author presents a bullish outlook for the market, with a potential rally towards the 4800SPX region, but also acknowledges the possibility of a corrective pullback.
Wall Street banks are revising their outlooks for Turkish interest rates as inflation rises faster than expected, with JPMorgan, Morgan Stanley, and Bank of America suggesting that borrowing costs may need to rise higher or quicker in response to the surge in price growth.
Rising bond yields and interest rates are a concern for CNBC's Jim Cramer, who believes that the market will struggle to advance if rates continue to climb.
A period of higher interest rates won't derail the bull market in stocks, as historical analysis shows that the stock market performs well during elevated interest rate periods, with slightly lower but less volatile returns compared to lower interest rate periods, according to BMO's chief investment strategist Brian Belski.
The Bank of England is expected to raise interest rates to 5.5%, potentially marking the end of its tightening cycle, as concerns about a cooling economy grow among policymakers.
Rising interest rates caused by the steepest monetary tightening campaign in a generation are causing financial distress for borrowers worldwide, threatening the survival of businesses and forcing individuals to consider selling assets or cut back on expenses.
Two former Federal Reserve policymakers disagree on whether the central bank should raise interest rates, with one saying rates have likely peaked and the other saying they need to be raised further, but both agree that achieving a soft landing for the economy is unlikely.
Stocks may not be as negatively impacted by higher interest rates as some fear, as the Federal Reserve's forecast of sustained economic growth justifies the higher rates and could lead to increased stock valuations.
Higher interest rates might not hurt tech stocks now, as AI and history are on their side, with tech stocks rebounding and recovering losses in past tightening cycles and the AI revolution potentially benefiting big tech companies.
The Bank of England's decision to hold interest rates is beneficial for borrowers but negatively impacts savers, who are losing out on higher returns from fixed-rate savings bonds. However, analysts predict that rates may not increase further, making it a good time for savers to secure a fixed-rate bond with high returns.
Higher interest rates are causing a downturn in the stock market, but technological advancements in recent decades may provide some hope for investors.
As interest rates continue to rise, the author warns of the potential consequences for various sectors of the economy, including housing, automotive, and regional banks, and suggests that investors should reconsider their investment strategies in light of higher interest rates.
Rising interest rates, rather than inflation, are now a major concern for the US economy, as the bond market indicates that rates may stay high for an extended period of time, potentially posing significant challenges for the sustainability of government debt.
The Federal Reserve's aggressive interest rate hikes have resulted in a decline in the profitability of S&P 500 companies, with the return on equity ratio falling this year, and the trend could worsen if interest rates remain high.
Interest rates for certificates of deposit and high-yield savings accounts have increased significantly in recent years due to the Federal Reserve's rate hikes, but it is uncertain if rates will continue to rise or if they have reached their peak.
Investors are likely to continue facing difficulties in the stock market as three headwinds, including high valuations and restrictive interest rates, persist, according to JPMorgan. The bank's cautious outlook is based on the surge in bond yields and the overhang of geopolitical risks, which resemble the conditions before the 2008 financial crisis. Additionally, the recent reading of sentiment indicators suggests that investors have entered a state of panic due to high interest rates.
The U.S. stock market may not deserve to fall due to higher interest rates alone, as the belief that stock prices decline when interest rates rise can lead to erroneous assumptions, and the correlation between interest rates and inflation is crucial in determining stock market behavior.
US bank stocks are currently the market's Achilles' heel, as they need to participate in any recovery rally in order to validate the notion that higher interest rates won't lead to a recession next year.
Interest rates have seen a notable increase, causing concerns over the economy and inflation, as discussed by The Wall Street Journal's chief economics correspondent and Sand Hill Global Advisors CIO on 'Squawk Box'.
A spike in interest rates has negatively impacted stocks and bonds, but Bitcoin may continue to rise regardless of the rate changes.
Despite higher interest rates offered by banks, inflation has eroded the purchasing power of savings accounts and CDs, with investment in stocks offering better returns over the long term.
Rising interest rates are having a limited negative impact on businesses and consumers, as strong business and consumer finances help mitigate the effects of higher rates.
Stocks are up and U.S. interest rate expectations are lower as a result of several Fed officials suggesting that rising yields may be helping their fight against inflation.
Investors are betting that the Federal Reserve may not raise interest rates again due to recent market moves that are expected to cool economic growth.
US banks face the challenge of an extended period of high interest rates, which will pressure their profitability by increasing deposit costs, deepening bond losses, and making it harder for borrowers to repay loans.
Major U.S. banks reported higher profits due to increased interest rates, although they also noted signs of caution in consumer behavior and a slowing economy.
The recent inflation rate above the Federal Reserve's target could lead to another interest rate hike, making now a good time to get a home equity loan before rates potentially increase.
Higher interest rates have boosted the earnings of big banks like JPMorgan Chase, Citigroup, and Wells Fargo, but an increase in loan write-offs and signs of consumer spending cutbacks indicate that customers are struggling.
Interest rates are a major focus in financial markets as rising rates have far-reaching consequences, making future projections less valuable and hindering investments, and there is still uncertainty about the full impact of rate hikes on the economy, potentially delaying the start of a recession until mid-2024.
European banking stocks are facing challenges as the effects of higher interest rates wane and recession risks increase, but investors believe their valuations are still too cautious despite a strong performance this year.
The decline in interest rates over the last few decades, which few people consider, has had a profound impact on the financial world, distorting investments, clouding judgment, and now potentially leading to a shakeout as the era of ultra-low borrowing costs comes to an end.
Canadian businesses and consumers are feeling the impact of higher interest rates, resulting in reduced spending and subdued sales, although inflation expectations remain high, posing a challenge for the Bank of Canada's upcoming interest-rate decision.
Despite a significant decrease in annual inflation growth in Australia, there are calls for the Reserve Bank to raise interest rates, which would be unjustified and detrimental to low- to middle-income earners.
The rapid rise in interest rates has startled investors and policymakers, with the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield increasing by a full percentage point in less than three months, causing shock waves in financial markets and leaving investors puzzled over how long rates can remain at such high levels.
The steepest rise in interest rates in decades is expected to lead to a wave of corporate defaults, as firms struggle to refinance debt at higher costs, reduce access to capital markets, and suffer from an exogenous shock to cash flows, according to a report by Janus Henderson Investors.