Goldman Sachs analysts predict that the U.S. government is "more likely than not" to shut down later this year due to spending disagreements, which could temporarily impact economic growth by reducing it by 0.15-0.2 percentage points per week, with past shutdowns having minimal impact on equity markets.
Despite rising gas prices, Americans remain optimistic about inflation easing, as expectations for inflation rates in the year ahead have fallen to the lowest level since March 2021, according to a consumer sentiment survey from the University of Michigan. However, concerns are surfacing about a potential government shutdown, which could dampen consumer views on the economy.
Lawmakers are dealing with a potential government shutdown as oil prices rise above $90 per barrel and housing data is expected, all ahead of the September FOMC meeting where the trends in inflation and the housing market will influence the Fed's decision on interest rates.
The White House warns that a government shutdown at the end of the month could have damaging consequences for the economy, national security, and the American public.
A full government shutdown in the US is likely at the end of the month, which could impact the Federal Reserve's decision to raise interest rates in November, according to analysts at PIMCO.
The Federal Reserve has paused raising interest rates and projects that the US will not experience a recession until at least 2027, citing improvement in the economy and a "very smooth landing," though there are still potential risks such as surging oil prices, an auto worker strike, and the threat of a government shutdown.
Summary: Investors shouldn't worry about a government shutdown as it is unlikely to significantly impact the stock market.
Millions of federal employees and military personnel face the prospect of a government shutdown, which would result in financial hardships for American families, disruptions in services, and potential harm to the economy.
The impending federal shutdown, combined with other economic challenges such as rising gas prices, student loan payments, and reduced pandemic savings, is expected to strain American households and potentially weaken economic growth in the last quarter of the year.
The federal government is at risk of shutting down on October 1 if a last-minute spending deal is not reached, potentially leading to delayed paychecks for millions of federal workers and negative effects on the economy, according to the AP.
If lawmakers fail to pass a budget by October 1, the government will shut down and it could have several negative impacts on the economy, such as furloughed workers, difficulty in obtaining mortgages, and the Federal Reserve lacking important data for monetary policy decisions.
Investors are focusing on the release of economic reports on GDP and inflation as they evaluate the Federal Reserve's stance on interest rates and its efforts to cool down inflation. Metal prices have slipped due to concerns over global demand and the economy, and the risk of a government shutdown is also adding to the bearish sentiment. Earnings reports from various companies and core PCE inflation data are expected in the week ahead.
The publication of major U.S. economic data, including employment and inflation reports, will be suspended indefinitely if the federal government shuts down due to lack of funding, leaving policymakers, investors, and businesses in the dark for key decision-making.
Google searches about the potential government shutdown in the US are increasing, with a particular interest in how it would affect Social Security, veterans' benefits, and the US dollar.
Investors are concerned about the possibility of a US interest rate hike and a government shutdown, which could impact the US credit rating and push the world's top economy into recession.
A potential US government shutdown could have a negative impact on the country's credit, according to Moody's, due to disrupted services, furloughed federal workers, and weakening fiscal policymaking.
The possibility of a government shutdown in the U.S. could have negative implications for the crypto industry's regulatory progress and projects, similar to the effects seen in the previous shutdown in 2018 and 2019, with delays in approvals and a withdrawal of a bitcoin ETF application.
The impending government shutdown may have an impact on the financial markets, according to Kristina Hooper, Chief Global Market Strategist at Invesco.
A brief government shutdown is unlikely to significantly slow down the economy, but a prolonged shutdown could hurt growth and potentially impact President Biden's re-election prospects.
A government shutdown in the U.S. could cause significant disruptions in the stock and bond markets, with the Securities and Exchange Commission being forced to furlough most of its staff and leaving the market oversight at a "skeletal" crew level.
The US is facing the possibility of a government shutdown as Republicans demand deep spending cuts, risking furloughs of federal workers and halting various services.
Summarizing the text given, the US is preparing for a government shutdown as the funding deadline approaches, with potential consequences including delays in work authorizations for migrants, impacts on the Federal Aviation Administration, uncertainty in the House regarding a procedural vote, and concerns about the effects on small businesses and border security.
U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen warns that a potential government shutdown would harm economic progress, impacting key programs for small businesses and children and delaying infrastructure improvements.
The federal government is at risk of shutting down unless a temporary spending bill can be agreed upon by a small group of Republican representatives; in the event of a shutdown, certain factors such as food aid, economic data, and federal employee salaries would be affected, while others including U.S. stocks, Social Security checks, and the U.S. Postal Service would not be impacted.
A potential government shutdown in the US may lead to a delay or absence of the September consumer-price index report, which would complicate decisions for financial markets and the Federal Reserve.
The US government is facing another shutdown as Congress fails to reach an agreement on funding federal agencies, which could have significant impacts on various sectors including air travel, national parks, and crucial nutrition programs.
US government shutdown averted as President Biden signs a stopgap bill to keep the government open through November 17.
Investors will be closely watching market reactions to a late deal to avert a government shutdown, as well as key data on the labor market this week, while concerns about higher interest rates and the impact on the economy weigh on stock futures.
