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Bitcoin May See Volatility Around 2024 Halving, With Potential 62% Crash Before New Peak in Late 2025

  • Bitcoin could top out 18 months after 2024 halving per historical data, potentially in mid-September or October 2025.

  • Analyst warns Bitcoin could collapse -62% in months before 2024 halving, revisiting ~$20,300 support.

  • Currently 210 days until next halving; at same point in 2019, Bitcoin formed lower high before crashing.

  • If history repeats, Bitcoin could form lower high soon, then crash -27% in 147 days to ~$20,300 in mid-Feb 2024.

  • Analyst long-term bullish on Bitcoin but expects significant volatility around 2024 halving event.

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Bitcoin's current market structure is similar to its setup before reaching its all-time high in November 2021, suggesting a potential bullish trajectory for the leading cryptocurrency, according to crypto expert Credible Crypto, who believes a breakout from the accumulation range could lead to a 120% rally and new all-time highs this year. However, a drop below $24.8k would invalidate this prediction.
Google Bard predicts that the price of Bitcoin in the next bull market is uncertain but likely to be significantly higher than the current price, with some analysts suggesting it could reach $100,000, $200,000, or even $1 million by 2024. However, the ultimate price will depend on various factors such as the global economy, institutional adoption, and regulatory environment.
Blockware Intelligence's analysis titled "2024 Halving Analysis: Understanding Market Cycles and Opportunities Created by the Halving" suggests that Bitcoin's price could potentially reach $400,000 in the next halving epoch due to factors such as reduced sell pressure, increased demand, and historical performance.
Bitcoin (BTC) remained stagnant around the $26,000 mark despite being heavily oversold, leading to concerns about a potential lower low and a decline to sub $20,000 levels, although some analysts are hopeful for a V-shaped recovery and a return to focus on $26,500.
Bitcoin's longest-ever period of negative year-over-year returns is coming to an end, according to Dan Morehead, founder of Pantera Capital, who believes that the market can only stay down for so long. Despite last week's downturn, Bitcoin is currently up over 20% from the previous year, and positive catalysts such as the XRP court ruling and endorsements from asset managers could further boost its value, along with the upcoming halving in April 2024. Morehead's models suggest Bitcoin could reach around $35,500 by the halving and nearly $150,000 by late 2025.
Ethereum may have reached a bottom in the bear market and is expected to break out from an ascending triangle pattern, according to crypto strategist Credible Crypto, who predicts a consolidation between $1,600 and $2,000 for the rest of the year before a surge in early 2024. However, they also hold a bearish view for ETH/BTC in the short term.
Bitcoin price reaches a 2-month low, but crypto analyst MichaĂŤl van de Poppe predicts a positive change in the future due to market cycle theories and the upcoming Bitcoin halving in 2024, potentially reaching a price of $50-55K pre-halving.
Bitcoin might experience a period of stagnation followed by a potential peak at $200,000 by the end of 2025 or early 2026, according to a crypto analyst, although short-term prospects for Bitcoin appear challenging due to a comparison with the 1930s stock market and oversold condition.
Bitcoin remains on track for a massive bull cycle despite recent price decline, as indicated by broader indicators of its price patterns and the use of logarithmic growth curves. The 200-week moving average is seen as less significant as a key price support level for Bitcoin, and the analyst is also looking for an entry point for Ethereum.
Bitcoin is predicted to reach a price of $148,000 after the next halving in April 2024, according to Pantera Capital, which manages $3.5 billion worth of assets, and notes that recent events such as the XRP ruling and endorsements by BlackRock are likely to contribute to the next bull market for digital assets.
Bitcoin (BTC) is expected to enter a rangebound phase until at least Q4 2023, according to market participant Filbfilb, who predicts that miners and speculation around the halving event will drive prices higher later in the year. However, macroeconomic risks, such as the Federal Reserve's policies, remain a key factor that could impact Bitcoin's performance.
Bitcoin is forming a bearish double top pattern, similar to the one seen in 2021 before the cryptocurrency's collapse, and a breakdown is expected if it drops below $26,000 with increased volume, according to Rekt Capital.
Bitcoin has been on a bull run since the Federal Reserve's $25 billion program to stabilize the US banking system, according to BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes, who predicts that the market will respond in the next six to 12 months.
The CEO of Custodia Bank believes that the next Bitcoin halving event will have a greater impact than previous ones, with a model predicting that Bitcoin will reach $147,843 in August 2025, 480 days after the halving event.
Bitcoin's four-year cycles may not be directly linked to halving events, as an alternative theory suggests that they are more closely correlated with the global M2 money supply and macro patterns. However, analysts still anticipate a rally and new bull cycle following the next Bitcoin halving event in late 2024.
Bitcoin (BTC) could reach $35,000 by the end of 2023, according to veteran analyst Filbfilb, who also predicts a potential price dip to the low $20,000 range before a reversal in Q4 and a price target of $46,000 by the 2024 halving. He believes that altcoins like XRP and Dogecoin (DOGE) could perform well in the next cycle.
Bitcoin is predicted to enter a "mid-cycle lull" before starting a bull run in late 2024, according to a new price model, with the date of November 28th identified as a key pivot point in the year.
The upcoming Bitcoin mining reward halving in April 2024 is anticipated to boost the cryptocurrency market, although previous halvings did not single-handedly initiate bull runs, as macroeconomic factors like fiat liquidity conditions also played a significant role, according to MacroMicro data. The growth rate of the M2 money supply by major central banks, including the U.S. Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, Bank of Japan, and People's Bank of China, is expected to impact the magnitude of the halving-induced uptrend.
Crypto analyst Jason Pizzino believes that Bitcoin's bull market cycle is underway and will be confirmed if it crosses the key level of $28,500.
Crypto strategist Benjamin Cowen predicts that Bitcoin will experience a short-term rise to test its bull market support band before resuming its downward trend, potentially falling below $20,000, although he believes it could eventually break through the band and enter a sustained bull market.
Bitcoin is poised for a bull run next year according to analyst Dave the Wave, who cites the cryptocurrency's monthly moving average convergence divergence (MACD) and logarithmic growth curves (LGC) as indicators of a maturing market and potential price increase, although short-term volatility is still possible.
Bitcoin (BTC) starts the last week of September with a retest of $26,000 as a stubborn range persists, with analysts offering mixed predictions for the future of BTC price.
Bitcoin (BTC) prices are expected to remain bearish in the short term, but analysts anticipate a significant price increase after the 2024 halving event due to past performance and long-term valuation metrics.
Bitcoin's price has fallen in the third quarter of 2023, but a positive monthly close in September suggests a potential recovery, and altcoins are also showing signs of strength, with Bitcoin's relief rally potentially reaching $28,000.
Bitcoin (BTC) may test its bull market support and potentially have a final leg to the downside, as predicted by crypto analyst Rekt Capital, who also suggests that this could be the last chance to buy BTC at low prices before it potentially peaks in 2025.
Crypto strategist predicts that Bitcoin will enter a massive bull run and reach new all-time highs once it surpasses a key support level, but warns that bearish speculation from the stock market could decrease momentum.
Bitcoin's bull market is expected to reignite as the Federal Reserve is predicted to resume printing money, leading to a surge in Bitcoin's price, according to BitMEX founder Arthur Hayes.
The next crypto bull market is expected to start in Q2 2024, coinciding with the Bitcoin halving, but macro factors will play a more significant role in sparking the uptrend, according to macro investor Raoul Pal.
Bitcoin experienced a brief rally above $28,000 but quickly dropped to $27,300, remaining relatively flat compared to the wider crypto market; however, it is still defying the market rout in equity and U.S. Treasury bond trading, signaling a bull market, according to ByteTree's chief investment officer.
Bitcoin's bear market may be over and an upward expansion is likely, according to a popular crypto analyst who compares the current situation to that before the 2016 and 2020 bull markets.
The S&P 500 has entered a bull market, marking a rise of 20% or more from its recent low, with hopes that the economy will continue to defy predictions of a recession caused by high inflation and aggressive measures taken by the Federal Reserve. However, concerns remain as the Fed is expected to continue hiking interest rates and the gains in the market have mainly been driven by a small group of stocks, raising sustainability concerns. Bull markets typically last around 5 years with gains of 177.8%, while the previous bull market lasted 21 months and the current one began on Oct. 13, 2022. The recent bear market ended on Oct. 12, 2022, with a duration of nine months and a drop of 25.4%.
Bitcoin's sideways price action could turn bullish as early as November, following patterns seen in previous cycles leading up to the halving event, according to market observers.
Bitcoin's price may experience a significant drop to $19,000 before entering a full bull market next year, according to a trader who accurately predicted the cryptocurrency's 2018 bear market bottom; the trader also suggests that the smart contract platform Avalanche's altcoin bounce is over after failing to break resistance at $11.
Bitcoin's upcoming halving event in April 2024 has generated high anticipation, with predictions of another massive rally and a possible surge past $100,000; however, past performance, supply and demand dynamics, and evidence from Litecoin suggest caution in relying solely on these predictions.
Bitcoin and crypto markets are following a cyclical pattern, with bull markets typically occurring after halving events, but a significant pullback is anticipated in the period leading up to the next halving event in April or May 2023, potentially causing a drop in BTC prices.
Crypto analyst Nicholas Merten believes that the next Bitcoin halving in 2024 will not have a significant impact on the market due to the diminishing returns of the event over time.
Bitcoin is potentially in a bull market, with the recent surge to $31,000 likely being the disbelief rally of the first stage, according to crypto strategist Jason Pizzino, although he acknowledges the possibility of a deep corrective move before a full-blown bull market begins.
Bitcoin is potentially in a bull market, with the recent surge to $31,000 being the "disbelief rally," according to crypto strategist Jason Pizzino, who also warns of a possible deep corrective move before a full-blown bull market.
Bitcoin (BTC) is predicted to reach $128,000 or more by the end of 2025, according to multiple analytics models, with one analyst projecting a two-year target of around $130,000 and suggesting that the area around this price is becoming a magnet due to the long-term bullish outlook.
Bitcoin (BTC) has experienced a 70% increase in 2023 and could continue to climb, potentially reaching price targets of $45,000-$50,000 by the end of the year, but faces headwinds from the tightening policies of the United States Federal Reserve; Standard Chartered also predicts a year-end price of $50,000 due to reduced BTC supply from miners.