The majority of economists polled by Reuters predict that the U.S. Federal Reserve will not raise interest rates again, and they expect the central bank to wait until at least the end of March before cutting them, as the probability of a recession within a year falls to its lowest level since September 2022.
The minutes of the Federal Reserve meeting suggest that another rate hike in 2023 is possible, although the Fed does not mention lowering rates and intends to balance the risk of overtightening policy against the cost of insufficient tightening; the market is less inclined to believe that rate hikes will occur as predicted by the Fed, with a higher chance of rates staying steady in September and a lower chance of a hike in November.
Two Federal Reserve officials suggest that interest-rate increases may be coming to an end, but one of them believes that further hikes may still be necessary depending on inflation trends.
It may be too early for the European Central Bank to pause interest rate hikes now as an early stop in the fight against inflation could result in more pain for the economy later, according to Latvian policymaker Martins Kazaks.
The former president of the Boston Fed suggests that the Federal Reserve can stop raising interest rates if the labor market and economic growth continue to slow at the current pace.
The Federal Reserve is expected to keep its benchmark overnight interest rate unchanged and delay any rate cuts until at least 2024, according to a Reuters poll of economists, despite some suggesting that another rate hike might be needed to address inflation.
The European Central Bank has raised its main interest rate for the 10th consecutive time to tackle inflation, but indicated that further hikes may be paused for now, causing the euro to fall and European stocks to rally.
Traders and investors are betting that the Federal Reserve will hold interest rates steady at its September meeting, indicating a shift in the market's interpretation of good economic news, as it suggests the Fed may be close to pausing its rate hike cycle despite inflation being above target levels and potential headwinds in the economy.
The labor markets are expected to pause on rate changes as the economy slows down, with growth in employment and capital expenditure decreasing and downside risks increasing, such as higher interest payments for the government and a potential United Auto Workers strike. However, there is hope for a rebound in 2024 with a potential pause in rate cuts and moderating inflation.
Following the European Central Bank's record high interest rate hike to 4%, there is speculation about how long rates will remain at this level, with analysts predicting a 12-month pause before any cuts are made, while also considering the impact of rising oil prices on inflation expectations in Europe and the US. The Federal Reserve is expected to hold rates steady in September, but there are divided opinions on whether another hike will be delivered this year, with markets anticipating rate cuts in 2024. Similarly, the Bank of England is anticipated to make one final hike in September as it assesses inflation and economic indicators.
Federal Reserve officials are expected to keep interest rates unchanged at their policy meeting this week but will leave the door open for another rate hike, as they remain cautious about inflation and aim to keep financial conditions tight.
The Federal Reserve is expected to announce a pause on interest rate hikes due to positive economic indicators and the likelihood of a "soft landing" for the economy, but future decisions will be influenced by factors such as the resumption of student loan payments and a potential government shutdown.
The Federal Reserve's upcoming meeting will focus on the central bank's expectations for key indicators such as interest rates, GDP, inflation, and unemployment, while many economists believe that the Fed may signal a pause in its rate-hiking cycle but maintain the possibility of future rate increases.
The Federal Reserve has decided to pause interest rates while closely monitoring economic data, particularly unemployment and wages, as concerns about a potential recession and inflation remain.
The prospect of the Bank of England pausing its interest rate hikes increased as the UK's high inflation rate unexpectedly slowed to an 18-month low, causing the pound to fall and investors to see a nearly 50-50 chance of rates staying on hold at the BoE's September meeting.
The Federal Reserve has paused raising interest rates and projects that the US will not experience a recession until at least 2027, citing improvement in the economy and a "very smooth landing," though there are still potential risks such as surging oil prices, an auto worker strike, and the threat of a government shutdown.
The Federal Reserve has paused its campaign of increasing interest rates, indicating that they may stabilize in the coming months; however, this offers little relief to home buyers in a challenging housing market.
The possibility of a last hike in 2023 with the pause in interest rates in September may lead to the tightening and financial conditions that were not seen earlier when the Fed was raising rates faster.
At least one more interest-rate hike is possible, according to Federal Reserve officials, who suggest that borrowing costs may need to remain higher for longer in order to address inflation concerns and reach the central bank's 2% target.
Bond investors are faced with the decision of how much risk to take with Treasury yields at their highest levels in more than a decade and the Federal Reserve signaling a pause in rate hikes.
The recent pause in rate hikes by the Fed suggests that savings rates have reached their peak and are unlikely to go much higher, making it a good time to lock in a CD term and diversify short- and long-term savings.
The Federal Reserve's decision to keep interest rates high for a longer period has sparked a debate among financial experts over the possibility of an impending recession.
Top Federal Reserve officials are considering that tighter financial conditions resulting from an increase in US Treasury yields may replace the need for further interest rate hikes.
Wall Street and policymakers at the Federal Reserve are optimistic that the rise in long-term Treasury yields could put an end to historic interest rate hikes meant to curb inflation, with financial markets now seeing a nearly 90% chance that the US central bank will keep rates unchanged at its next policy meeting on October 31 through November 1.
Markets are increasingly expecting a Fed pause in interest rate hikes, with the chance of a rate increase in November dropping to 15.8%, down from 23.1% a week ago and 38.4% a month ago, as volatile Treasury yields play a major role in shaping market expectations.
The Federal Reserve officials were uncertain about the future of the economy and decided to proceed with caution in their interest-rate policy, weighing the risks of overtightening versus insufficient tightening. They were divided on the frequency of rate hikes, with a majority supporting one more increase, but some feeling that the policy rate was nearing its peak. The recent spike in long-term bond rates has led to speculation that the Fed may not raise rates again this cycle.
Federal Reserve officials are cautious about raising interest rates further due to the risks of stifling economic growth and increasing unemployment, despite expectations of a potential rate hike, according to newly released minutes from their September meeting.
The recent dovish comments by Fed officials have raised hopes of a pause in the rate hike cycle, similar to the situation in early 2019 when Bitcoin surged over 300%, suggesting a potential upside for Bitcoin.
The Federal Reserve may be finished with its program of rate hikes as market moves are now helping to tame inflation on their own.
Federal Reserve officials are expected to pause on raising interest rates at their next meeting due to recent increases in bond yields, but they are not ruling out future rate increases as economic data continues to show a strong economy and potential inflation risks. The Fed is cautious about signaling an end to further tightening and is focused on balancing the risk of overshooting inflation targets with the need to avoid a recession. The recent surge in bond yields may provide some restraint on the economy, but policymakers are closely monitoring financial conditions and inflation expectations.
Housing economists are urging the Federal Reserve to pause on raising rates due to concerns that elevated borrowing costs have made homes unaffordable, resulting in a decline in home sales and increased prices creating risks to economic growth.