1. Home
  2. >
  3. Business 💼
Posted

ECB Raises Rates Again But Hints hikes May Pause as Economy Slows

  • ECB raised main interest rate by 0.5% to a record 4%, the 10th consecutive hike as it fights inflation
  • ECB revised up its inflation forecasts for 2023 and 2024 but lowered 2025 forecast
  • ECB signaled that rate hikes may be off table for now after rates reached level to help curb inflation
  • ECB lowered economic growth forecasts for 2023-2025 due to weakening economy
  • ECB President Lagarde said solid majority agreed on rate hike but some preferred to pause
cnbc.com
Relevant topic timeline:
### Summary The Czech Republic's inflation rate dropped to 10.2% in July, although it still ranks fourth among EU nations with the highest inflation rates. ### Facts - 💰 The Czech Republic's inflation rate dropped to 10.2% in July, but it remains one of the EU nations with the highest inflation rates. - 🇪🇺 The European Union as a whole saw a moderate drop in year-on-year inflation rate from 6.4% to 6.1% in July. - 💹 The eurozone's inflation declined slightly from 5.5% to 5.3% in July. - 📉 Inflation rates in the EU spiked last summer due to a surge in energy prices, reaching 9.8% for the EU and just under 9% for the eurozone. - 📊 Among EU nations, Belgium had the lowest year-on-year inflation rate at 1.7%, while Hungary had the highest at 17.5%. - 🌡️ In a month-on-month comparison, consumer prices in the EU remained stagnant in July, with a marginal 0.1% decline in the eurozone. - 💶 The European Central Bank continues to face the challenge of persistently high inflation and has implemented nine consecutive interest rate hikes since July 2020. - ⚖️ The Czech Republic has also maintained a similar strategy, keeping its base interest rate at 7% in an attempt to curb inflation and attract foreign investors.
The majority of economists polled by Reuters predict that the U.S. Federal Reserve will not raise interest rates again, and they expect the central bank to wait until at least the end of March before cutting them, as the probability of a recession within a year falls to its lowest level since September 2022.
Turkey's central bank raises interest rates to 25% in an effort to combat inflation, surpassing economist expectations and leading to a rally of the Turkish lira.
The president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia believes that the US central bank has already raised interest rates enough to bring inflation down to pre-pandemic levels of around 2%.
The European Central Bank (ECB) faces a complex decision on whether to continue raising interest rates in September as eurozone businesses experience declines in outputs and new orders, with some experts suggesting a pause in rate hikes to ease pressure on the economy.
President of the European Central Bank, Christine Lagarde, stated that interest rates in the European Union will need to remain high to combat inflation, despite progress being made, emphasizing the challenges posed by disruptions in the global and European economies.
The Bank of England may have to increase interest rates if the US Federal Reserve decides to raise rates to cut inflation, in order to prevent the pound from weakening and inflation from rising further.
The Federal Reserve is considering raising interest rates again in order to reduce inflation to its targeted levels, as indicated by Fed Governor Michelle W. Bowman, who stated that additional rate increases will likely be needed; however, conflicting economic indicators, such as job growth and wage growth, may complicate the decision-making process.
The account of the monetary policy meeting of the Governing Council of the European Central Bank held in July 2023 reported that members agreed on the need for a further 25 basis point rate hike to bring inflation back to target, although there were concerns about the slowdown in economic activity and risks to growth. There was also discussion on the transmission of monetary policy and the potential impact on the real economy.
Consumer prices in the eurozone rose 5.3% on average this month compared to last year, with core inflation easing to 5.3%, potentially increasing pressure on the European Central Bank to raise interest rates.
Eurozone inflation remains at 5.3%, leading analysts to speculate that the ECB may consider pausing its interest rate hikes in light of a slowing economy.
The Federal Reserve is expected to hold interest rates steady this month, but inflation could still lead to additional rate increases.
The European Central Bank is expected to maintain interest rates on September 14, although nearly half of economists anticipate one more increase this year in an effort to reduce inflation.
Pakistan's central bank is expected to raise interest rates to address inflation and bolster foreign exchange reserves, following a series of rate hikes earlier this year in response to economic and political crises.
The European Central Bank is expected to see inflation in the euro zone remain above 3% next year, which strengthens the case for an interest rate increase.
The European Central Bank may raise interest rates for a 10th consecutive meeting on Thursday, but the decision is uncertain.
The European Central Bank is facing a dilemma on whether to raise its key interest rate to combat inflation or hold off due to economic deterioration, with investors split on the likelihood of a rate hike.
The European Central Bank has implemented its 10th consecutive interest rate increase in an attempt to combat high inflation, although there are concerns that higher borrowing costs could lead to a recession; however, the increase may have a negative impact on consumer and business spending, particularly in the real estate market.
The European Central Bank has raised key interest rates by 0.25 percentage points to help bring down inflation, although the economy is expected to remain weak for a while before slowly recovering in the coming years.
Following the European Central Bank's record high interest rate hike to 4%, there is speculation about how long rates will remain at this level, with analysts predicting a 12-month pause before any cuts are made, while also considering the impact of rising oil prices on inflation expectations in Europe and the US. The Federal Reserve is expected to hold rates steady in September, but there are divided opinions on whether another hike will be delivered this year, with markets anticipating rate cuts in 2024. Similarly, the Bank of England is anticipated to make one final hike in September as it assesses inflation and economic indicators.
The Federal Reserve will continue raising interest rates until inflation decreases, even if it means more people losing their jobs, according to CNBC's Jim Cramer.
The U.S. Federal Reserve kept interest rates steady but left room for potential rate hikes, as they see progress in fighting inflation and aim to bring it down to the target level of 2 percent; however, officials projected a higher growth rate of 2.1 percent for this year and suggested that core inflation will hit 3.7 percent this year before falling in 2024 and reaching the target range by 2026.
The prospect of the Bank of England pausing its interest rate hikes increased as the UK's high inflation rate unexpectedly slowed to an 18-month low, causing the pound to fall and investors to see a nearly 50-50 chance of rates staying on hold at the BoE's September meeting.
Sweden's central bank has raised interest rates for the eighth consecutive time to combat high inflation, as the country's economy shows signs of improvement, while Norway's central bank also opted to raise rates and signaled the likelihood of another hike in December.
Turkey's central bank raises interest rates to 30% as it seeks to combat high inflation and stabilize the weakening lira.
Central banks, including the US Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, and Bank of England, have pledged to maintain higher interest rates for an extended period to combat inflation and achieve global economic stability, despite concerns about the strength of the Chinese economy and geopolitical tensions.
Central banks around the world may have reached the peak of interest rate hikes in their effort to control inflation, as data suggests that major economies have turned a corner on price rises and core inflation is declining in the US, UK, and EU. However, central banks remain cautious and warn that rates may need to remain high for a longer duration, and that oil price rallies could lead to another spike in inflation. Overall, economists believe that the global monetary policy tightening cycle is nearing its end, with many central banks expected to cut interest rates in the coming year.
At least one more interest-rate hike is possible, according to Federal Reserve officials, who suggest that borrowing costs may need to remain higher for longer in order to address inflation concerns and reach the central bank's 2% target.
High inflation continues to pose challenges for central banks in Europe as some opt to pause interest rate hikes after nearly two years, leading to speculation on how long rates will remain at current levels and how to balance slowing economies, persistent inflationary pressures, and the delayed impact of rate hikes.
The head of the European Central Bank, Christine Lagarde, stated that interest rates will remain high to combat inflation, despite acknowledging the impact it has on homeowners with variable interest rate mortgages, as upward pressure on prices persists in the eurozone.
The European Central Bank's efforts to curb inflation through interest rate hikes have led to the lowest inflation rate in the euro zone in two years, indicating a potential slowdown in economic growth.
The Federal Reserve will continue to raise interest rates as inflation resurfaces, according to Wall Street investor Caitlin Long, with big corporations benefiting while other sectors of the US economy are already in recession.
Federal Reserve Governor Michelle Bowman suggests that further interest rate hikes may be necessary to bring inflation back to the central bank's target of 2%, despite recent data showing slower price increases.
The European Central Bank's cycle of interest rate hikes has likely ended, according to ECB Governing Council member Mario Centeno, as inflation in the euro zone is declining faster than it rose.
Underlying US inflation is expected to rise, supporting the idea that interest rates will need to remain higher for a longer period of time, as indicated by central bankers.
The European Central Bank (ECB) has raised its key interest rates for the tenth consecutive time in response to a series of crises and the need for price stability, although the rise has caused concerns about the level of interest rates and their impact on growth; ECB President Christine Lagarde emphasizes the need to make inflation projections more robust and to communicate effectively with the public to counter misinformation.
The Federal Reserve officials suggested that they may not raise interest rates at the next meeting due to the surge in long-term interest rates, which has made borrowing more expensive and could help cool inflation without further action.
Austrian central bank Governor Robert Holzmann stated that the European Central Bank may need to implement one or two more interest rate increases if there are additional shocks to the economy, but the hiking cycle could end if things go well, as uncertainty remains surrounding the duration needed to achieve inflation targets.