The S&P 500 has fallen nearly 5% in August, and opinions on whether stocks will rebound are divided among Wall Street firms and market commentators, with some, like Goldman Sachs and Fundstrat, remaining optimistic while others, including Michael Burry and David Rosenberg, are bearish.
The Dow and S&P 500 ended slightly lower due to concerns about the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates higher for longer, while the Nasdaq finished barely in the green; the financial sector fell 0.9%, dragged down by an S&P downgrade of credit ratings of regional U.S. lenders, and investors are awaiting clarity on the rate outlook from Fed Chair Jerome Powell.
The stock market experienced a sharp decline as early gains turned into a selloff, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500, and Nasdaq Composite all falling; concerns over rising bond yields and inflation contributed to the sell-off.
The U.S. stock market closed lower as an earlier rally driven by Nvidia's earnings report fizzled out, while treasury yields increased, and the S&P 500 is on track to end its five-month winning streak, with concerns over the Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's speech at Jackson Hole weighing on investors.
The stock market rally attempt experienced a setback as the S&P 500 and Nasdaq saw a downside reversal, indicating that the correction is still ongoing, while retailers faced challenges and Treasury yields reached a 15-year high. Meanwhile, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell warned of potential rate hikes due to high inflation.
The S&P 500 has recovered 65% of last year's bear-market drop, but when adjusted for inflation it is only about 45%, highlighting the diminished buying power and implying implications for the economy and future Federal Reserve policy.
The S&P 500 and Nasdaq closed higher for the week despite a pullback, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average closed lower for the second consecutive week.
The S&P 500 and other major indices are showing bearish signals, with potential for a significant drop, while the dollar is expected to maintain its upward trajectory and strong economic data could lead to a breakout in interest rates. Additionally, Meta's stock is on a downward trend and the KBW NASDAQ BANK Index is at risk of further decline.
Wharton professor Jeremy Siegel predicts that the stock market will continue to rise into the end of the year, with the S&P 500 potentially surging 25% and gaining an additional 9% if the Federal Reserve acknowledges falling inflation and refrains from further interest rate hikes.
Summary: Despite a dismal August for the stock market, the S&P 500 narrowly avoided a particular negative outcome, setting up for the next test.
The S&P 500 could experience significant gains in the coming months following the end of the current rate hike cycle by the Federal Reserve, with historical data showing positive returns after previous cycles and strong economic indicators supporting this trend. Investors are advised to consider investing in an S&P 500 index fund or industry-leading stocks like Amazon.
S&P 500 and Nasdaq futures slipped as investors awaited data on inflation and non-farm payrolls to determine the Federal Reserve's interest rate path, while HP and Rite Aid saw declines due to trimming profit outlook and a downgrade, respectively.
The S&P500 rose on Wednesday, supported by signs of weakness in the labor market and slower economic growth, reinforcing expectations of a Federal Reserve pause next month.
Asian stock markets mostly lower as Japanese factory activity and Chinese service industry growth weaken, while Wall Street's benchmark S&P 500 rises on hopes that economic data will convince the Federal Reserve that inflation is under control.
Wall Street rises ahead of new inflation and jobs data that could impact Federal Reserve's policy decisions, as futures for the Dow Jones and S&P 500 increase, while Dollar General falls 16% and software company Salesforce rallies 6% in premarket.
Despite economic challenges, the S&P 500 is expected to continue its strong growth, potentially increasing by as much as 11% as the summer season ends, driven by companies like Apple, Microsoft, Google, Amazon, Nvidia, Tesla, and Meta, according to Morgan Stanley analyst Andrew Slimmon.
Wall Street ended a challenging August on a mixed note, with the Dow Jones down 0.5%, the S&P 500 losing 0.16%, and the Nasdaq gaining 0.11%, resulting in the worst monthly performance since earlier this year; however, signs of a soft landing for the US economy and lower jobless claims have sparked hopes that the Fed may ease off on interest rate hikes at its upcoming meeting.
Summary: U.S. stock markets closed mixed as the key inflation data for July showed steady price increases, with the Nasdaq up 0.1% and extending its winning streak to five days, while the S&P 500 closed down 0.2% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.5%.
The S&P 500 rally is expected to fade as economic data supports a higher for longer monetary policy, with weaker job opening data and ADP job report sending rates down and a strong job report and ISM data pushing rates higher, creating challenges for the stock market as financial conditions tighten and leading to lower levels.
Bank of America's technical strategist believes that despite historically poor September performance, the S&P 500's year-to-date rally positions it for further gains, with the potential for an 8% climb by the end of the year.
The stock market is still in an uptrend despite a recent pullback, and there is a likelihood of higher stock prices in the near term as long as the market continues to advance within its uptrending channel. Additionally, the recent breakout in the S&P 500 is a bullish sign for the market, and commodity-related stocks have begun to outperform, making them attractive investments.
Shares in Europe opened lower following declines in Asian markets due to weaker Chinese services data and concerns about the property industry, while in the US, the S&P 500 rose after employment figures suggested a cooling job market, raising hopes of the Federal Reserve moderating interest rate increases.
The S&P 500 had a good week, rising 2.5% and coming 1.6% below the 2023 high-water mark set in July; however, there is a possibility of a recession if the Fed keeps rates high for longer than necessary.
Wall Street stocks opened lower as traders grappled with concerns over China's struggling economy and climbing Treasury yields, with the S&P 500 and Dow Jones slightly down and the Nasdaq Composite slipping, while the focus remains on the Federal Reserve and seasonal market forces.
Stock indices finished today’s trading session in the red, with the Nasdaq 100, S&P 500, and Dow Jones Industrial Average all falling. The technology sector was the session's laggard, while the utilities sector was the leader. The U.S. 10-Year Treasury yield increased, and the Atlanta Federal Reserve's latest GDPNow reading estimates that the economy will expand by about 5.6% in the third quarter. The Federal Reserve released its Beige Book report, noting a tourism boom but slower spending in other areas. The ISM Non-Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index came in higher than expected, and mortgage applications fell to their lowest level since 1996. The U.S. trade deficit widened less than expected in July. U.S. stock futures inched lower, and European indices trended lower. Asia-Pacific markets were mixed.
Summary: The Nasdaq and S&P 500 closed slightly higher on Friday after a week of losses, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.2%; however, all three major indexes ended the week lower due to rising oil prices, stronger-than-expected labor market data, and China's iPhone ban.
U.S. stock investors are closely watching next week's inflation data, which may determine the future of the equity rally, as signs of a soft landing for the U.S. economy have contributed to the S&P 500's gains, but too high inflation could lead to fears of higher interest rates and stock sell-offs.
Stocks are expected to open the week higher, with the S&P 500 up 0.5% in premarket trading, as investors look ahead to key U.S. economic data and show interest in companies such as Lennar, Arm, Tesla, and Oracle.
Wall Street stocks closed lower as Apple's fall event began and investors awaited key inflation data, with the Nasdaq Composite dropping over 1% and the S&P 500 decreasing by approximately 0.6%.
The S&P 500 and Nasdaq declined as oil prices reached their highest level of the year, while Oracle's shares plummeted due to missed forecasts, and Westrock's shares rose after a purchase agreement.
Stock indices closed in the red, with the Nasdaq 100, S&P 500, and Dow Jones Industrial Average all experiencing declines, while the technology sector underperformed and the energy sector led the session. The U.S. 10-Year Treasury yield dropped, while the Two-Year Treasury yield increased. The Small Business Optimism Index for August decreased, with inflation cited as a major concern among small business owners. Stocks opened lower on Tuesday, and U.S. futures trended lower as well. This week's focus will be on the Consumer Price Index and Producer Price Index data, which could impact the Federal Reserve's decision on rate hikes. Oracle's stock fell after missing sales estimates, while Casey's General and Tesla saw gains. JPMorgan's CEO criticized new Basel III regulations, and European indices traded in the green. In Asia-Pacific, markets ended mixed as traders await U.S. inflation data.
Dow Jones futures, along with S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq futures, were unchanged after hours as the stock market rally experienced losses, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq dropping below the 50-day line, while energy stocks led and software retreated. Apple stock fell after unveiling the iPhone 15 and other products, while stocks such as Salesforce, Alphabet, General Electric, Shopify, and Nvidia remained in or near buy areas. The CPI inflation report and Adobe earnings are potential market catalysts.
Wall Street finishes mixed after inflation report shows prices slightly higher than expected, with the S&P 500 up 0.1% and the Dow Jones down 0.2%.
Despite its high valuation, a strategist predicts that the S&P 500 can still continue to rise.
Wall Street stocks opened higher as investors assessed strong retail sales and wholesale price inflation data to gauge the Federal Reserve's approach to interest rates, with the S&P 500 gaining 0.5% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average ticking up 0.4%.
Stock indices closed higher today, with the Nasdaq 100, S&P 500, and Dow Jones Industrial Average all posting gains, while the healthcare sector lagged behind; the U.S. 10-Year Treasury yield increased, and the Atlanta Federal Reserve lowered its GDP growth estimate for the third quarter. Additionally, Fitch Ratings revised its global growth forecast for 2023 due to concerns about China's real estate sector, and economic data showed an increase in wholesale inflation and retail sales.
The major indexes, including the Dow Jones, S&P 500, and Nasdaq, finished lower on Friday ahead of the Federal Reserve meeting next week, with tech stocks dragging the Nasdaq lower and the S&P 500 and Nasdaq both falling below their 50-day moving average.
The S&P 500 and Nasdaq ended the week slightly lower due to a decline on Friday caused by higher bond yields and oil prices, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average saw a small weekly gain.
Bank of America predicts that the S&P 500 could surge over 25% within the next year based on a bullish indicator, with low long-term profit growth expectations among analysts signaling potential gains.
Wall Street finished the week with a decline in stocks, as the S&P 500 posted its second consecutive losing week, with technology and retail sectors contributing to the slide, while investors await the upcoming Federal Reserve interest rate policy meeting.
Stock-market strategists are raising their year-end targets for the S&P 500 Index after being largely wrong about this year's rally, but they still expect a market downturn in 2024 despite signs of a strong economy and improving profit outlook.
The S&P 500 and Dow Jones gained as Treasury yields pulled back ahead of a likely pause in the Federal Reserve's policy tightening campaign, although concerns over rates staying higher for longer kept investor sentiment cautious.
Despite a perceived undervaluation of the S&P 500, analysts warn of potential volatility in both the stock market and the Bitcoin market due to the upcoming Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, which could shape narratives and challenge conventional wisdom. The S&P 500 appears oversold while Bitcoin consolidates with a potential target of $22,000.
Summary: Dow Jones futures, S&P 500 futures, and Nasdaq futures all rose overnight, while the stock market correction continued with heavy losses as the 10-year Treasury yields surged, leading to the S&P 500 undercutting its August lows and the Nasdaq and Dow Jones coming close to doing the same.
Stocks plunged on Thursday and the S&P 500 suffered its worst day since March as increasing investor risk aversion and a surge in bond yields raised concerns about the US economy and impacted both stock and bond investors.
