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S&P 500 Poised for Further Gains This Fall Despite Stretched Valuations, Says Strategist

  • The S&P 500 has had a good summer, setting a record for a key valuation metric
  • A strategist predicts the S&P 500 will go higher this fall despite high valuations
  • The S&P 500's price-to-earnings ratio recently hit a record high
  • Strategist says S&P 500 can still climb due to strong earnings and economic growth
  • High inflation remains a risk factor that could stall the S&P 500's rise
barrons.com
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The S&P 500 has fallen nearly 5% in August, and opinions on whether stocks will rebound are divided among Wall Street firms and market commentators, with some, like Goldman Sachs and Fundstrat, remaining optimistic while others, including Michael Burry and David Rosenberg, are bearish.
The S&P 500 is nearing a new bull market, potentially leading to stock market growth, and investors should consider stocks like Amazon and Mastercard based on the holdings of Wall Street billionaires and their solid growth prospects.
The S&P 500 is showing signs of a new bull market, but some experts are cautious and want to wait until the index reaches its previous high, meanwhile, there are two stocks, Sea Limited and Upstart Holdings, that have the potential to more than double in value over the next 12 to 18 months based on analysts' price targets.
The S&P 500 is close to reaching a record high, signaling the upcoming arrival of a new U.S. bull market, and investors should consider buying stocks like Roku and Datadog that have strong growth potential.
Wharton professor Jeremy Siegel predicts that the stock market will continue to rise into the end of the year, with the S&P 500 potentially surging 25% and gaining an additional 9% if the Federal Reserve acknowledges falling inflation and refrains from further interest rate hikes.
The S&P 500 has rallied in 2023 due to factors such as cooling inflation, a strong economy, and a positive outlook for earnings, but concerns over credit market volatility, monetary policy uncertainty, and steep valuations pose risks to the bull market rally.
Investors are unsure if the correction in the US stock market is over, as the possibility of a head-and-shoulders top on the S&P 500 is being discussed, although it is still uncertain if the consolidation will continue higher or lead to a downward trend.
The S&P 500 could experience significant gains in the coming months following the end of the current rate hike cycle by the Federal Reserve, with historical data showing positive returns after previous cycles and strong economic indicators supporting this trend. Investors are advised to consider investing in an S&P 500 index fund or industry-leading stocks like Amazon.
The S&P 500 index has seen impressive gains this year, up over 17%, and could potentially reach 5,000 points by the end of 2023, according to expert Andrew Slimmon of Morgan Stanley. Despite a slight pullback in August, strong third-quarter earnings and investor interest in mega-cap tech stocks are expected to drive the market forward.
The S&P500 rose on Wednesday, supported by signs of weakness in the labor market and slower economic growth, reinforcing expectations of a Federal Reserve pause next month.
S&P 500 futures remain flat after the index achieved its fourth consecutive positive day, and Salesforce reports better-than-expected earnings and guidance, causing its shares to rise.
Despite economic challenges, the S&P 500 is expected to continue its strong growth, potentially increasing by as much as 11% as the summer season ends, driven by companies like Apple, Microsoft, Google, Amazon, Nvidia, Tesla, and Meta, according to Morgan Stanley analyst Andrew Slimmon.
The S&P 500 ended lower and the Nasdaq higher as U.S. inflation data met expectations, signaling a potential pause in monetary tightening by the Federal Reserve, while Salesforce shares climbed following a positive revenue forecast.
The S&P 500 rally is expected to fade as economic data supports a higher for longer monetary policy, with weaker job opening data and ADP job report sending rates down and a strong job report and ISM data pushing rates higher, creating challenges for the stock market as financial conditions tighten and leading to lower levels.
Bank of America's technical strategist believes that despite historically poor September performance, the S&P 500's year-to-date rally positions it for further gains, with the potential for an 8% climb by the end of the year.
The stock market is still in an uptrend despite a recent pullback, and there is a likelihood of higher stock prices in the near term as long as the market continues to advance within its uptrending channel. Additionally, the recent breakout in the S&P 500 is a bullish sign for the market, and commodity-related stocks have begun to outperform, making them attractive investments.
The S&P 500 had a good week, rising 2.5% and coming 1.6% below the 2023 high-water mark set in July; however, there is a possibility of a recession if the Fed keeps rates high for longer than necessary.
The S&P 500 index is unlikely to reach a record high by the end of 2023 due to factors such as earnings per share and financial conditions, according to Stifel's chief equity strategist.
The S&P 500's ability to maintain support at the 4,450 level will be crucial for the stock market's near-term performance, according to a technical analyst.
John Hussman warns that stocks are overvalued and investors buying into the S&P 500 now are likely to experience abysmal returns for the next decade. He cites high valuations and poor investor sentiment as indications of a forthcoming steep sell-off, and predicts an annualized return of -4% over the next 12 years.
The S&P 500 index has seen impressive gains this year, but one expert believes the rally is coming to an end, citing rising bond yields as the main threat to stock prices.
Economist Gary Shilling predicts that the S&P 500 will decline by around 40% during this market cycle, citing recession indicators such as the yield curve and The Conference Board's Leading Economic Index. He believes that a US recession may already be underway due to the Federal Reserve's focus on reducing inflation, and high valuations in the stock market increase the likelihood of a significant drop.
Bank of America predicts that the S&P 500 could surge over 25% within the next year based on a bullish indicator, with low long-term profit growth expectations among analysts signaling potential gains.
Stock-market strategists are raising their year-end targets for the S&P 500 Index after being largely wrong about this year's rally, but they still expect a market downturn in 2024 despite signs of a strong economy and improving profit outlook.
Despite a perceived undervaluation of the S&P 500, analysts warn of potential volatility in both the stock market and the Bitcoin market due to the upcoming Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, which could shape narratives and challenge conventional wisdom. The S&P 500 appears oversold while Bitcoin consolidates with a potential target of $22,000.
The S&P 500 is expected to rise 13% by June 2024, according to a historical correlation between first-half returns and subsequent 12-month gains, indicating a potentially bullish outlook for the stock market.
The S&P 500 typically experiences a decline before US government shutdowns, but tends to rebound and gain in the following months; however, the current shutdown may add to short-term market volatility amidst already challenging economic conditions.
The S&P 500 is up 12.5% in 2023, driven by megacaps including Nvidia, Meta Platforms, and Tesla, while several other top performers such as Royal Caribbean, Carnival Corp., and General Electric have recently sold off during the market correction and need some repair time.
The S&P 500's top seven stocks have surged more than 50% this year, while the rest of the index has only risen about 5%, highlighting a growing performance gap.
The S&P 500's potential for a long-term bull market relies on it surpassing a key level.
Technical analyst John Salama predicts that the S&P 500 will regain positive momentum and has identified five stocks that he believes can rise up to 50% by the end of October, including SkyWest, Tesla, Carvana, DraftKings, and IonQ.
The S&P 500 has been hit hard by the September Effect, but investors should remain optimistic as history suggests the market will rebound, and there are compelling buying opportunities in certain growth stocks like Block and SolarEdge with upside potential of 93% and 127% respectively.
The S&P 500 closed out the quarter with a 3.6% loss, attributed to factors such as rising interest rates, a slowing housing market, and businesses preparing for tough times, resulting in a slow decline in stocks. Additionally, the resumption of student loan payments and expectations of more rate hikes from the Federal Reserve are expected to impact consumer spending power and business cutbacks. However, as the year comes to an end, traders and investors may look forward to 2024 for possible rate cuts and a return of strength in the market.
The Federal Reserve's aggressive interest rate hikes have resulted in a decline in the profitability of S&P 500 companies, with the return on equity ratio falling this year, and the trend could worsen if interest rates remain high.
The S&P 500's stability at the 4,200 level is crucial for determining the continuation of the bull market, with chartists and investors closely monitoring the 200-day moving average and potential implications for long-term trends and investor sentiment.
Manish Kabra, head US equity and multiasset strategist at Société Générale, predicts that the S&P 500 will continue to be a "buy the dip" for the next six months due to improving profit growth and cyclical data, with a target range of 4,050 to 4,750, before a mild recession in 2024 potentially leads to a selloff in US stocks.
S&P 500 utility stocks are currently undervalued and offering attractive dividends, making them an appealing opportunity for value-focused investors, despite competing with Treasury yields.
The S&P 500 Index rebounded following a selloff as dip buyers found an overreaction to the blowout US jobs report, driving gains and reversing losses.
J.P. Morgan's Jacob Manoukian believes that despite the recent market volatility, there is good value in the market and predicts that the S&P 500 will reach a new all-time high by the middle of next year; analysts at JPMorgan have identified two stocks, Apellis Pharmaceuticals and Live Oak Bancshares, as potential investment opportunities.
The S&P 500 bull market celebrated its first year, but with relatively weak performance compared to historical data, there is potential for solid gains in 2024, especially considering the strong second year performance typically observed, as well as the potential seasonal tailwind of an election year.
The S&P 500 celebrated its first anniversary since reaching its bear-market low, but some experts argue that the market's weak performance in the past year may not qualify it as a strong bull market just yet.
The S&P 500 has seen a strong bounce off its previous low, but it has yet to fully recover, and the recent rise in Treasury yields and geopolitical conflicts contribute to a cautious outlook on the market's future performance.
Stock-market experts predict the market will gain about 6.5 percent in the next year, with the S&P 500 index climbing to an average of 4,578, despite rising rates and growing economic uncertainty.