Canadian retail sales rose more than expected in June, indicating a rebound in activity, particularly in the motor vehicle and parts dealers, sporting goods stores, and gas stations sectors, while spending on rate-sensitive products like furniture contracted.
Consumer spending growth is slowing as the economy stabilizes, with consumers prioritizing essential purchases and adjusting their spending habits in response to rising interest rates and financial pressures.
Major retailers are concerned that the resumption of federal student loan payments in October will decrease profits during the holiday season, as the pause in payments since March 2020 has given Americans more buying power.
The number of job vacancies in the US dropped in July, indicating a cooling labor market that could alleviate inflation, while fewer Americans quit their jobs and consumer confidence in the economy decreased, potentially impacting consumer spending; these trends may lead the Federal Reserve to delay a rate hike in September.
Australia's inflation slowed to a 17-month low in July due to declines in holiday travel and fuel prices, leading to expectations that the Reserve Bank of Australia will pause its rate hikes, signaling a potential end to tightening measures.
Consumer spending in China rebounded in August, with all categories, including apparel, automotive, food, furniture, appliances, and luxury, experiencing increased sales compared to July, according to a survey by the China Beige Book. Retail sales in July rose by 2.5% year-on-year, raising concerns about China's economic growth, but the August survey showed a surge in spending, particularly in the services sector, which saw continued strength in travel and hospitality. Additionally, corporate borrowing increased as the cost of capital declined, indicating a boost in business activity. However, China's property sector continued to worsen, with house prices barely growing and home sales declining.
US consumer spending increased by the most in six months in July, driven by strong demand for goods and services, but slowing inflation rates suggest that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged next month.
Consumer spending in the US jumped 0.8% in July, the strongest monthly gain since January, driven by purchases of restaurants, live shows, toys, games, and recreational equipment; however, underlying data suggests that this spending may be on borrowed time.
U.S. consumer spending increased in July, boosting the economy and reducing recession risks, but the pace is likely unsustainable as households dip into their savings and face potential challenges from student debt repayments and higher borrowing costs.
The U.S. economy experienced modest growth in July and August, driven by pent-up demand for leisure activities, while nonessential retail sales slowed, according to the Federal Reserve's "Beige Book" survey.
Consumer credit growth slows in July, with overall credit rising $10.4 billion, below expectations, as revolving credit rebounds while nonrevolving credit growth remains modest, indicating potential exhaustion of excess savings from the pandemic.
Consumer spending in the US is showing signs of cooling, with retail sales expected to slow down in August, indicating that the resilience of the consumer may be waning due to increased borrowing, depleted savings, and the impact of inflation.
Retail sales in the US rose 0.6% in August compared to July, but the increase in gas prices could impact consumer spending during the holiday shopping season, according to a report from the Commerce Department. Excluding gas sales, retail sales only increased by 0.2% in August.
The resumption of student loan payments in October could have a substantial impact on consumer spending and the economy, potentially subtracting 0.8 percentage points from consumer spending growth in the fourth quarter and putting pressure on retailers during the crucial holiday shopping season; however, the full extent of the impact remains uncertain due to factors such as income-based repayment programs, the one-year grace period for missed payments, and the potential for borrowers to prioritize other expenses over loan repayments.
US retail sales, excluding automotive, are expected to rise by 3.7% over the holiday shopping season, indicating a return to pre-pandemic levels of holiday spending, driven by a more normal inflation environment and consumers' willingness to spend on experiences, electronics, and dining out.
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