### Summary
Asian stocks were mixed as traders awaited the Federal Reserve's summer conference to determine if more interest rate hikes are necessary to deal with inflation.
### Facts
- 📉 Shanghai and Hong Kong stocks retreated, while Tokyo and Seoul stocks advanced.
- 📉 The Hang Seng in Hong Kong lost 1.1%.
- 📈 The Nikkei 225 in Tokyo advanced 0.6%.
- 📈 The Kospi in Seoul gained 0.6%.
- 📊 The S&P 500 index ended the week lower by 0.1%.
- 💵 Some investors are shifting money to bonds as higher interest rates make their payout bigger and less risky.
- 💹 Tech and other high-growth stocks are some of the biggest losers due to higher rates.
- 📉 Ross Stores jumped 5% after reporting stronger-than-expected results, while Estee Lauder fell 3.3% despite reporting stronger profit and revenue than expected.
- ⛽ Benchmark U.S. crude gained 73 cents to $81.39 per barrel, while Brent crude reached $85.55 per barrel.
- 💲 The dollar slightly edged up to 145.35 yen, while the euro rose to $1.0882.
(Source: AP News)
### Summary
- European stocks rebound after a drop last week, while bond yields rise ahead of the Fed's Jackson Hole event.
- China's smaller-than-expected rate cuts and weak economic data disappointed investors.
### Facts
- 📈 European stocks edge higher after last week's rout.
- 📉 China stocks hit a 9-month low as rate easing underwhelms.
- China's central bank trims its one-year lending rate by 10 basis points, while leaving its five-year rate unchanged.
- Expectation remains for further stimulus from China.
- Asian shares decline due to disappointment, with Chinese blue chips falling to a nine-month low.
- Energy companies outperform as oil prices rise.
- Oil prices edge higher after a seven-week winning streak.
- Bond market sell-off leads to higher government borrowing costs.
- U.S. Treasury yields continue to rise, with the 30-year yield touching a fresh 12-year high.
- The U.S. Federal Reserve's Jackson Hole conference is the key event for the week.
- Markets anticipate that Fed Chair Jerome Powell will address rising yields and strong economic data.
- Polls indicate that a majority of analysts believe the Fed is done hiking rates.
- Traders bet on a just under 40% chance of a final Fed hike by November.
- U.S. dollar trades flat after five weeks of gains.
- Gold prices affected negatively by the rise of the dollar and yields.
- Prices for liquefied natural gas (LNG) supported by a potential strike at Australian offshore facilities.
- Dutch payments processor Adyen's shares drop amid concerns over weak earnings.
- Earnings from Nvidia will be closely watched.
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Longer-dated U.S. Treasury yields reach a 10-month high as Wall Street experiences losses and investors grapple with the potential for longer-lasting high interest rates and a struggling Chinese economy.
U.S. stock index futures rise as Treasury yields decline, with tech stocks leading the rally ahead of earnings reports and Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's upcoming speech.
In August, the USD strengthened against major currencies, with the dollar index up 2.28%, EURUSD down 1.83%, USDJPY up 2.83%, GBPUSD down 1.96%, USDCAD up 3.25%, and AUDUSD down 4.64%. Meanwhile, major global stock indices experienced declines, led by Hong Kong's Hang Seng index and China's Shanghai composite index.
The dollar is expected to continue strengthening as bond yields rise, with the Fed likely to hike rates at least once more this year, and a barrage of economic data this week will heavily influence Fed policy decisions and impact the direction of the dollar and interest rates.
Wall Street's main indexes rose as a decline in Treasury yields boosted megacap growth stocks ahead of key inflation and jobs data, providing more insight into the Federal Reserve's interest rate trajectory.
US equity markets were relatively stagnant last week, with major indexes trading up and down around their 200-day moving averages, indicating a lack of direction and potential resistance, while Treasury markets appeared to stabilize despite an inverted yield curve, suggesting a potential recession on the horizon. Fed Chair Jerome Powell's hawkish speech on Friday emphasized the need for caution and the possibility of higher interest rates, while Nvidia's strong earnings highlighted the company's dominance in the artificial intelligence sector.
Stock indices finished the trading session in the green, with gains seen in the Nasdaq 100, S&P 500, and Dow Jones Industrial Average. However, Texas manufacturing experienced a downturn in August, and gas prices have slipped across the country. U.S. stock futures are trending higher, and traders are awaiting key economic releases and earnings reports this week. In Asian markets, indices ended higher, but Evergrande Group's shares plunged while Xpeng's shares rallied.
The US dollar experienced a major technical reversal due to a weaker JOLTs report, leading to a drop in US interest rates, while market positioning played a role in the price action; the focus now shifts to personal consumption figures and US jobs data, with the euro and sterling firm but most other G10 currencies softer, and emerging market currencies mixed. In Asia, most large bourses advanced, but Europe's Stoxx 600 fell after rallying in previous sessions, while US index futures traded softer; European bonds are selling up, gold is consolidating, and oil prices are firm. Australia's CPI slowed more than expected, China is expected to release the August PMI, and Japan reports July retail sales. The US dollar has seen no follow-through selling against the yen, yuan, or Australian dollar, while the euro and sterling staged impressive price action. The JOLTS report saw the dollar and US rates reverse lower, and today the US reports advanced merchandise trade figures for July, with the Canadian dollar as the worst performing G10 currency yesterday.
Apple's stock market value surpassed $3 trillion for the first time, driven by signs of improving inflation and expectations of successful expansion into new markets, with technology stocks rebounding on bets that the US Federal Reserve may slow its rate hikes.
Wall Street's main indexes fell in choppy trade due to rising Treasury yields and weak services activity in China, while gains in energy stocks limited losses; however, expectations of a pause in Fed monetary tightening boosted growth stocks.
US indices started the week on a subdued note as oil prices reached a 10-month high, causing concerns about global inflation, while US Treasury yields rose and the US dollar reached a ten-month high.
Stock indices finished today’s trading session in the red, with the Nasdaq 100, S&P 500, and Dow Jones Industrial Average all falling. The technology sector was the session's laggard, while the utilities sector was the leader. The U.S. 10-Year Treasury yield increased, and the Atlanta Federal Reserve's latest GDPNow reading estimates that the economy will expand by about 5.6% in the third quarter. The Federal Reserve released its Beige Book report, noting a tourism boom but slower spending in other areas. The ISM Non-Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index came in higher than expected, and mortgage applications fell to their lowest level since 1996. The U.S. trade deficit widened less than expected in July. U.S. stock futures inched lower, and European indices trended lower. Asia-Pacific markets were mixed.
Summary: Despite a slight rise in US markets on Friday, major indexes finished the week lower, with Europe's Stoxx 600 index also experiencing losses, while the G20 nations released a joint communique addressing Russia's war in Ukraine, omitting overt criticism from last year's statement. Elsewhere, Instacart plans to go public at a lower valuation, SpaceX's Starship Super Heavy rocket remains grounded, and the upcoming consumer price index report could impact the Federal Reserve's monetary policy decisions.
The US Dollar performed strongly against major currencies, with the Euro experiencing its 8th consecutive weekly loss and the Chinese Yuan performing poorly, while global market sentiment was negative and stock markets weakened. In the coming week, market focus will be on the US inflation report, UK employment and GDP data, Australian employment data, and the ECB rate decision.
Global markets ended higher as energy stocks climbed supported by Saudi Arabia and Russia's decision to extend supply cuts, while Wall Street's key indexes saw weekly declines due to investor concerns over interest rates and anticipation of upcoming U.S. inflation data. In Asian markets, Japan's Nikkei 225 ended down, Australia's S&P/ASX 200 was up, and Chinese shares rose following improved data on consumer price inflation. The Eurozone's economic growth outlook has been downgraded by the European Commission, and crude oil prices fell.
Stock indices closed in the red, with the Nasdaq 100, S&P 500, and Dow Jones Industrial Average all experiencing declines, while the technology sector underperformed and the energy sector led the session. The U.S. 10-Year Treasury yield dropped, while the Two-Year Treasury yield increased. The Small Business Optimism Index for August decreased, with inflation cited as a major concern among small business owners. Stocks opened lower on Tuesday, and U.S. futures trended lower as well. This week's focus will be on the Consumer Price Index and Producer Price Index data, which could impact the Federal Reserve's decision on rate hikes. Oracle's stock fell after missing sales estimates, while Casey's General and Tesla saw gains. JPMorgan's CEO criticized new Basel III regulations, and European indices traded in the green. In Asia-Pacific, markets ended mixed as traders await U.S. inflation data.
The US Dollar Index (DXY) is expected to experience a significant decline after a period of rally, according to a popular crypto trader, as the completion of a key Elliott Wave theory pattern suggests a downward trend for the dollar.
Global stocks eased as a drop in U.S. homebuilding highlighted the challenges the Federal Reserve faces in managing inflation, while oil prices rose and investors await rate decisions from major central banks.
U.S. stocks fell and Treasury yields surged ahead of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, while Instacart shares surged 12% on their first day of trading on the Nasdaq.
The Federal Reserve has left interest rates unchanged but indicated the possibility of one more rate hike, causing U.S. markets to slump and Treasury yields to rise, while European markets saw gains; Instacart shares sank, Klaviyo shares jumped, and Arm shares continued to slide; UK inflation for August was lower than expected, throwing the Bank of England's next move into question; Goldman Sachs has raised its 12-month oil price forecast to $100 per barrel.
U.S. stocks are expected to open lower and the dollar is soaring after the Federal Reserve indicated that interest rates will remain higher for a longer period, while the Bank of England faces a tough rate decision and the Swiss National Bank has paused its rate-hiking cycle.
US stocks are slightly higher on Friday but are on track for a losing week due to a spike in bond yields and surging oil prices.
The stock market experienced a correction as Treasury yields increased, causing major indexes to break key support levels and leading stocks to suffer damage, while only a few stocks held up relatively well; however, it is currently not a favorable time for new purchases in the market.
The Canadian dollar edged lower against the US dollar but still maintained a weekly gain due to higher oil prices and the possibility of more interest rate hikes by the Bank of Canada.
Summary: The US Dollar had mixed performance against major currencies, with the British Pound weakening and the New Zealand Dollar rallying; Wall Street took a hit after the Federal Reserve announcement, and the 10-year Treasury yield surged to its highest level since late 2007.
Renewed surge in long-term Treasury yields stifles world markets as Federal Reserve officials hold firm on one more rate rise and a government shutdown looms, leading to spikes in the US dollar and putting pressure on global financial stability.
Mounting fears of rates staying elevated for longer sent jitters through global risk assets, pushing U.S. Treasury yields to a peak not seen since the early stages of the 2007-2008 financial crisis and the dollar to a 10-month high.
Despite economic headwinds, including the Federal Reserve's interest rate announcement and increased geopolitical tensions, the U.S. dollar index has increased by 5% over the past two months, as former U.S. Vice President Mike Pence criticizes The Fed and recent economic policies from the Biden administration.
The US stock markets broke a four-day losing streak with gains in energy and materials sectors, while the Asian markets saw losses with technology stocks declining and concerns about China's property market stability. European markets opened in the red, awaiting economic data and earnings reports. Crude oil and natural gas prices decreased, while gold, silver, and copper prices fell. US futures and the US dollar index were down.
The US dollar index and government bond yields reached their highest levels in years, causing stocks to plummet and signaling risk aversion in the market.
U.S. futures are trending higher after a dismal performance on stock indices, with oil futures also increasing and treasury yields hovering around 4.50%, while in Asia-Pacific markets, most indices ended higher due to positive economic data.
The U.S. stock market has experienced a decline due to conflicting economic news and a surge in bond yields, which may be driven by factors other than data, such as fiscal deficits and central bank policies.
Stock market indexes held higher on Thursday afternoon as the benchmark Treasury yield reversed lower, with investors preparing for an inflation report and a possible government shutdown.
Wall Street indexes rose as investors evaluated economic data, awaited news on a U.S. funding bill, and monitored inflation concerns, with tech stocks leading the gains.
Stocks ended the day higher as the surge in oil, the dollar, and Treasury yields slowed down, with the Nasdaq rising 0.8%, the S&P 500 gaining 0.6%, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average rising 0.4%.
MSCI's global equities index rose, U.S. Treasury yields dipped, and the dollar weakened after positive inflation data from Europe and the United States reduced concerns about further interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve.
The U.S. stock market had a relatively flat performance in the third quarter, with stocks falling 3.2% from where they started, while energy stocks had a strong rally and real estate stocks crumbled; the bond market experienced losses, and unless there is a sudden change in the outlook, it is on track for its third straight year of losses; value stocks outperformed growth stocks, and dividend strategies held up better than the broader market; the Fed maintained its higher-for-longer stance on interest rates, contributing to volatility in the bond market; and major cryptocurrencies, such as Bitcoin and Ethereum, ended the quarter down approximately 12%.
Stock markets ended mixed as investors processed the effects of the U.S. inflation report on the Federal Reserve's interest rate policy, with the S&P 500 declining by 0.27% and the Nasdaq Composite gaining 0.14%; in Asian markets, Japan's Nikkei 225 settled lower by 0.31% while Australia's S&P/ASX 200 slid 0.22%; in Europe, the STOXX 600 index was down 0.42% with Germany's DAX declining 0.25%, France's CAC 40 sliding 0.36%, and the U.K.'s FTSE 100 trading lower by 0.45%; and in commodities, Crude Oil WTI and Brent gained 0.82% and 0.89% respectively, while Gold traded lower by 0.88%.
The major stock indexes are expected to open lower as the 10-year Treasury yield hits a 16-year high, with investors monitoring employment data for potential impact on interest rates; meanwhile, stock futures in Asia and Europe slumped as the Federal Reserve's message of higher interest rates reverberates worldwide.
Wall Street's key indexes dropped as Treasury yields rose to their highest levels since 2007, causing concerns over higher interest rates and leading to a decline in megacap stocks such as Apple, Tesla, Amazon, Alphabet, and Microsoft.
Stock indices finished in positive territory, with the Nasdaq 100, S&P 500, and Dow Jones Industrial Average all posting gains, while the energy sector experienced losses; meanwhile, the U.S. 10-Year Treasury yield decreased and the Two-Year Treasury yield also saw a decline. The Factory Orders report showed an increase in new purchase orders placed with manufacturers, beating expectations. The ISM Non-Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index indicated a slight contraction in the non-manufacturing sector, and the ADP jobs growth data showed a slowdown in job growth and wages. U.S. Futures opened lower following higher-than-anticipated JOLTs jobs opening data. Asian markets ended mixed, while European indices traded in the red.
Asia-Pacific markets rise as U.S. Treasury yields ease from 16-year highs following weak jobs data, with Japan, South Korea, and Australia all trading higher, while Hong Kong's Hang Seng index looks set for a rebound after losses on Wednesday; Carter Worth, CEO of Worth Charting, predicts lower interest rates and stocks by the end of 2023, contrary to consensus forecasts, while Vanguard's Aliaga-Diaz believes there is a limit to how high yields will go due to rate uncertainty; oil prices fall sharply, hitting their lowest level since September 5.
The dollar weakened and global equities dipped as investors grappled with U.S. unemployment data suggesting a tight labor market and the Federal Reserve's commitment to higher interest rates, while European stocks rebounded from losses.
Stocks slip as U.S. crude futures drop and mortgage rates climb, while investors await payroll data for signs of a slowing job market; electric vehicle stocks like Rivian and Lucid are making moves, and the U.S. Dollar Index rises for its 12th consecutive week. European stocks close mixed, and utilities stocks see their worst year in over a decade due to higher bond yields.
Wall Street's main indexes fell as U.S. job growth exceeded expectations, raising concerns of higher interest rates and causing benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury yields to reach a 16-year high.
The gold market has experienced nine consecutive days of losses, its longest losing streak in seven years, due to surging bond yields, but rising bond yields also pose significant risks for the economy, creating potential for short-term challenges and a potential breakdown in the U.S. dollar's international appeal.
