Main topic: Apple's Q3 earnings and performance in the smartphone market
Key points:
- iPhone revenue declined from $40.66 billion to $39.67 billion compared to the same quarter last year
- Services revenue increased from $19.6 billion to $21.2 billion, beating analyst expectations
- Apple saw growth in China with sales up 8% year-over-year
- CEO Tim Cook highlighted the company's focus on AI and machine learning, including generative AI
- Apple plans to release its Vision Pro headset, a spatial computing device, early next year.
Apple's iPhone sales in China have surpassed those in the United States for the first time, contributing to Apple potentially becoming the biggest player in the smartphone market this year, despite global smartphone shipments being on track to be the worst in a decade due to economic headwinds in China and the US, according to Counterpoint Research.
The global smartphone market continues to decline, with a 6.6% drop in Q2 2023 and a 13.3% decline in the first half of the year compared to 2022, affecting different companies in different ways, with Samsung still leading but facing challenges from Apple, Xiaomi, Oppo, and Transsion.
Apple shares have declined due to falling revenue in its product segments, but the company's long-term outlook remains strong, driven by its booming services business and dominant market shares, with two reasons to buy Apple stock being the upcoming iPhone launch and its potential in high-growth industries like AI and virtual/augmented reality.
The expected move to USB-C on the iPhone 15 may lead a significant number of Android users to switch to iPhones, according to a survey conducted by SellCell.
The iPhone 15 Pro and iPhone 15 Pro Max are expected to have a $100 price increase over the current models, according to analyst Dan Ives, but promotional activities and discounts from U.S. carriers are likely to drive sales and offset potential resistance.
Apple stock is experiencing a decline leading up to the release of the iPhone 15.
Apple's recent sell-off due to concerns about a Chinese crackdown on iPhone usage among government workers should not deter investors from the tech giant.
Apple shares face a downturn as China plans to extend its ban on iPhones to government agencies and state companies, potentially wiping out $200 billion of the company's market value, as China's economic crisis threatens demand for consumer electronics and rising US Treasury yields add to Apple's troubles.
Apple is expected to unveil four new iPhones, including the high-end iPhone 15 Pro and Pro Max, at its upcoming fall event, which will also feature new Apple Watch models and a shift from Lightning ports to USB-C in response to EU regulations.
Apple's iPhone 15 launch may face delays due to production issues, resulting in lower stock availability, while the iPhone 15 Pro Max is expected to be delayed by up to a month; leaked price details suggest a significant mark-up on the iPhone 15 Pro and Pro Max; Apple is rumored to be preparing a cheaper MacBook to rival the Chromebook, but it risks diluting its brand; the European Union has designated the App Store, Safari browser, and iOS as "gatekeepers" and plans to introduce regulations to prevent anti-competitive behavior; Apple's stock has fallen following restrictions on Chinese officials' use of iPhones.
The launch of the latest iPhones by Apple aims to boost consumers and investors amidst falling share prices caused by deteriorating international relations, with tensions between Beijing and Washington threatening sales in China, one of Apple's biggest markets.
Apple's market value has dropped by 10% due to factors such as China's ban on the iPhone for government employees and competition from a Chinese rival, leading to concerns about slowing growth and the need for new products with high growth potential.
Chinese government restrictions on the use of iPhones at work have caused Apple's stock to decline, but investors see this as a buying opportunity due to China's previous restrictions on foreign products and Apple's strong prospects, attractive valuation, and upcoming product releases.
Apple is set to unveil the iPhone 15 with new features, but let's take a look back at the evolution of the iPhone, which revolutionized the mobile phone industry and sold over 1.2 billion units.
Despite its age, Apple has managed to increase its share of smartphone sales by converting Android users and appealing to teenagers, with the iPhone now accounting for over 50% of smartphones sold in the US and claiming around 20% of global smartphone sales.
J.P. Morgan predicts that Apple's iPhone 15 could experience a sales decline due to the launch of Huawei's 5G Mate 60 Pro smartphone.
Summary: Apple announced the iPhone 15 and iPhone 15 Pro at its annual launch event, with the Pro model keeping the same price as last year's version, while the Nasdaq Composite suffered its first losing day in three, largely driven by a 13.5% drop in Oracle's shares.
Apple has increased the prices of its latest iPhones in countries like China, Japan, and India, while keeping prices the same in the U.S., as it aims to target premium users and reinvigorate growth in key markets. Although the price hikes are mainly for higher storage options and the more expensive models, Apple has also implemented price cuts in certain regions to target budget-conscious consumers.
Apple's highly anticipated iPhone 15 launch disappoints investors and Wall Street.
Apple has launched its iPhone 15 lineup, which includes the high-end iPhone 15 Pro and Pro Max models, but rival phones from Samsung, Google, and OnePlus offer similar or better specifications.
Various carriers, including AT&T, Verizon, T-Mobile, and Visible, are offering discounts and deals on the iPhone 15 and iPhone 15 Pro models, such as trade-in options and bill credits, ahead of the pre-order day on Friday.
The major US carriers, including AT&T, T-Mobile, and Verizon, are offering up to $1,000 off the iPhone 15 if certain requirements are met, such as trading in a recent phone and committing to a financing plan with the carrier, providing an opportunity for carriers to entice customers to switch to their newer, more expensive plans.
The article does not mention any specific stock recommendations. However, it discusses Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) extensively and highlights the author's positive view towards the company's valuation and growth prospects.
The author's core argument is that while Apple's growth has slowed, its elevated valuation is justified due to factors such as its superior competitive position, strong brand and connection with consumers, solid prospects for future growth, and strong financial position.
Key information and data mentioned in the article include:
- The Wall Street Journal reported that the Chinese government had banned iPhones for government employees, but the Chinese government later denied this report.
- If the ban had been true, analyst Dan Ives estimated it would be a hit of half a million iPhones, but he referred to it as "more bark than bite."
- Apple's growth has slowed, but its high valuation is justified due to its many advantages, including its competitive position and strong financials.
- Apple's valuation is less dependent on current earnings and more focused on long-term prospects.
- Apple's revenue is comparable to other massive companies, but it still has room for growth, especially in the high-margin services segment.
- Apple's dependence on China is both a risk and an advantage, as China is also dependent on Apple.
- The Chinese economy is facing challenges, and a cooperative relationship between the US and China would benefit Apple and the global economy.
- The author believes that Apple's strong management and adherence to secrecy and compartmentalization give it a unique edge.
- The author suggests that expectations for Apple may be too low if globalization is not receding as expected.
Apple has unveiled its iPhone 15 lineup, leading to a decrease in the value of previous iPhone models, making it a good time to sell and Decluttr is offering a 28-day price guarantee and a 10% bonus for selling your phone.
Apple's latest iPhone, the iPhone 15 Pro, has shown better-than-expected lead times and pre-orders, dispelling investor concerns and suggesting strong early demand despite previous worries about a possible ban in China.
Despite lukewarm reception and concerns around a Chinese ban, pre-orders for Apple's iPhone 15 are exceeding expectations, especially for the iPhone 15 Pro/Pro Max models, which are expected to boost Apple's average selling prices by approximately $100 over the past year.
Summary: Analysts say that the higher-end models of Apple's iPhone 15 are experiencing strong demand, which is encouraging amid concerns about consumers' spending capacity.
UBS analyst David Vogt's data suggests that initial demand for Apple's iPhone 15 Pro models is softer compared to last year's models, contradicting reports of strong sales, which caused Apple stock to fall.
Apple is expected to increase its share of India's smartphone sales with the release of its high-end iPhone 15 Pro and Pro Max models, projecting to account for 7% of all smartphone sales in the country from July to December, according to market researcher Counterpoint.
People in China lined up at an Apple store in Beijing to buy the new iPhone 15, defying concerns about nationalist sentiment affecting Apple's sales in the country, with iPhone 15 sales via JD's Dada one-hour delivery app surging by 253% compared to last year's iPhone 14.
Apple is expected to achieve year-over-year growth in Q4 thanks to better than expected iPhone revenue and profit, with the iPhone 15 Pro Max and iPhone 15 Plus performing well, while the standard iPhone 15 and iPhone 15 Pro may face order cuts if their prices are not reduced, according to Ming-Chi Kuo's analysis based on supply chain sources.
