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Rising US Yields Boost Dollar to 10-Month High Against Currencies

  • U.S. dollar at 10-month high vs basket of currencies, supported by rising U.S. bond yields
  • Euro nurses losses, sterling at 6-month lows vs dollar
  • Yen slides further toward 150 level which could prompt intervention
  • Rising commodity prices provide some support to Aussie and Kiwi dollars
  • China's yuan steady but only due to stronger-than-expected central bank fixing
  • Even if U.S. economy slows, dollar could stay supported by haven demand
reuters.com
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While strategic competitors in emerging markets are calling for change and the share of the US dollar held as official foreign exchange reserves has declined, it is unlikely that there will be a major shift in the US dollar's role as the central global currency due to the stability and reputation of the US government, as well as the challenges and limitations of other options like the renminbi.
The US dollar weakened slightly against major peers as traders awaited a speech from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, while the yen pulled away from a nine-month low and China's yuan briefly rose following attempts to bolster the currency.
The combined footprint of Japan and China in the US Treasury market is at its lowest on record, leading to speculation that they may sell dollars and liquidate US Treasuries to support their currencies without causing significant market disruption.
The US dollar will remain dominant in global trade, but China's yuan is gaining popularity among developing countries such as Russia, Brazil, India, and South Africa.
The US Dollar performed well against major currencies, with the British Pound, Euro, and Canadian Dollar underperforming, while the Chinese Yuan and Australian Dollar fared better; the Federal Reserve's indication of a higher terminal rate and potential further borrowing cost increases contributed to the market sentiment, leading to lower US equity markets; upcoming economic data includes consumer confidence, inflation gauges from key European countries, and manufacturing PMI gauges from China.
The US dollar was cautious as traders awaited economic data, while the yen struggled near intervention levels as the dollar remained strong.
The US Dollar experienced a significant decline due to weak economic data and increased risk appetite, while the Euro and British Pound strengthened. The Australian Dollar and New Zealand Dollar also performed well, and gold and cryptocurrencies rallied.
The US dollar experienced a major technical reversal due to a weaker JOLTs report, leading to a drop in US interest rates, while market positioning played a role in the price action; the focus now shifts to personal consumption figures and US jobs data, with the euro and sterling firm but most other G10 currencies softer, and emerging market currencies mixed. In Asia, most large bourses advanced, but Europe's Stoxx 600 fell after rallying in previous sessions, while US index futures traded softer; European bonds are selling up, gold is consolidating, and oil prices are firm. Australia's CPI slowed more than expected, China is expected to release the August PMI, and Japan reports July retail sales. The US dollar has seen no follow-through selling against the yen, yuan, or Australian dollar, while the euro and sterling staged impressive price action. The JOLTS report saw the dollar and US rates reverse lower, and today the US reports advanced merchandise trade figures for July, with the Canadian dollar as the worst performing G10 currency yesterday.
Despite the divergence in global economies, the US dollar still remains dominant, holding a record-high share of 46% on SWIFT in July, while the euro's share slipped to a record low.
The US dollar is surging against other major currencies due to concerns over the global economy and rising oil prices.
The dollar has reached a five-month high as investors anticipate the need for elevated interest rates due to the strong US economy, with factors such as weak growth in China and Europe, rising US yields, and falling equity prices further supporting the case for dollar strength.
Investors are concerned about the possibility of intervention in Tokyo after the yen reached its weakest level against the dollar in 10 months, while Asian markets fell due to worries of another US Federal Reserve interest rate hike and a jump in oil prices.
Emerging market currencies are expected to struggle to recover from their losses this year due to high U.S. Treasury yields, safe-haven demand, and a slowing Chinese economy, keeping the dollar strong, according to a Reuters poll of FX analysts.
The Japanese yen has reached a 10-month low against the US dollar, while the euro and sterling remain near three-month lows, as investors show confidence in the US economy despite global growth concerns.
The dollar strengthens against the yen and keeps the euro and sterling near three-month lows as investors rely on the resilience of the U.S. economy, while China's onshore yuan hits a 16-year low due to a property slump and weak consumer spending.
Asian currencies, including the Japanese yen and the Singapore dollar, are trading against the US dollar with varied movements, while the year-to-date percentage changes for the currencies show fluctuations.
The value of the U.S. dollar has been strengthening against the Euro and the British Pound due to the continuing strength of the U.S. economy and the weakness of the European economies.
The US Dollar performed strongly against major currencies, with the Euro experiencing its 8th consecutive weekly loss and the Chinese Yuan performing poorly, while global market sentiment was negative and stock markets weakened. In the coming week, market focus will be on the US inflation report, UK employment and GDP data, Australian employment data, and the ECB rate decision.
The yen strengthened and government bonds slumped as traders reacted to potentially hawkish comments from Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda on the negative interest rate policy, causing Japanese bank shares to jump and the benchmark bond yield to rise.
The Japanese yen strengthens against the US dollar as Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda hints at a potential shift away from negative interest rates.
The US dollar's dominance as the world's reserve currency is at risk due to growing debt in the US, according to economist Barry Eichengreen, highlighting the importance of controlling debt to maintain the dollar's global role.
The Indian Rupee is weakening against the US dollar, causing concern for Indian authorities who fear that it could impact the country's import and export sectors, with suspicions that India may be taking measures to limit the dollar's growth; similarly, other BRICS member countries like China and Japan are also trying to curb the US dollar's growth.
The dollar remains steady ahead of a key U.S. inflation report, but rises against the yen as traders digest comments from Japan's central banker on a possible early exit from negative interest rates.
The dollar remains stable in Asia, while the yuan strengthens due to positive economic data from China.
The US Dollar underperformed against major currencies last week, crude oil continued to rally, and gold prices were cautiously higher, while upcoming events like central bank rate decisions and the Bank of England rate hike are expected to impact the market.
The Japanese yen weakened and stocks and bonds remained under pressure as investors prepared for U.S. interest rates to remain high, despite the Bank of Japan sticking to ultra-easy monetary policy and making no changes to its outlook.
If the Japanese yen weakens beyond 150 to the dollar, the Bank of Japan could be forced to hike rates sooner than expected, which may lead to the unwinding of the yen carry trade and a return of Japanese capital to domestic bond markets, potentially triggering market volatility.
The yen weakened against the dollar as the Bank of Japan announced it would maintain its accommodative monetary policy, with little indication of rolling it back.
Monetary policy differences between the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan will continue to impact the Japanese yen, with the US dollar maintaining its strength, while key levels to watch for USD/JPY are discussed in this article.
Summary: The US Dollar had mixed performance against major currencies, with the British Pound weakening and the New Zealand Dollar rallying; Wall Street took a hit after the Federal Reserve announcement, and the 10-year Treasury yield surged to its highest level since late 2007.
The Japanese yen is approaching the key level of 150 per dollar, increasing the likelihood of forex intervention by Japanese authorities, while the US dollar continues its gains after the Federal Reserve signaled a longer period of higher interest rates.
The U.S. dollar remains strong above the $105 mark, supported by the hawkish stance of the Federal Reserve and increased Treasury yields, while gold prices consolidate and oil prices rebound due to supply cuts and positive outlooks for the U.S. and China.
The U.S. dollar is gaining strength, causing concerns about interest rates and negatively impacting the S&P 500.
Most Asian currencies, including the Thai baht and Malaysian ringgit, weakened against the US dollar as the greenback continued to strengthen due to hawkish Federal Reserve rhetoric and rising US Treasury yields, leading to concerns over inflationary pressures in net importers such as Thailand and India.
Asian currencies showed mixed movements against the US dollar, with the Japanese yen slightly down, the Singapore dollar up, and the Taiwanese dollar unchanged, among others; overall, there has been varied performance in currency rates across the region in 2023 so far.
The US dollar maintains its dominant position as the leading global currency, with a 58.9% share of global currency reserves, despite a gradual decline over the past 20 years.
The dollar rose due to expectations of higher U.S. interest rates, while the yen reached a one-year low, leading to concerns about intervention by Japanese authorities; the euro and pound also fell, while the U.S. Congress passed a funding bill to avoid a government shutdown.
Gold and silver prices are falling due to a strong U.S. dollar, rising U.S. Treasury yields, and upbeat risk attitudes, while Asian and European stocks are mixed, and the Bank of Japan is monitoring the depreciation of the yen against the U.S. dollar.
The U.S. dollar reached an 11-month high due to strong U.S. economic data, putting pressure on the yen and other currencies.
The US dollar strengthened on positive US economic news, higher bond yields, and hawkish comments from Federal Reserve officials, while the euro weakened due to dollar strength and hawkish comments from the European Central Bank.
Asian currencies against the dollar remained relatively stable, with minimal changes observed in the latest rates, according to data compiled by Reuters.
The dollar’s status as the world's reserve currency is at risk unless the US controls its spending, warns bond market expert Jeffrey Gundlach. High interest rates and the growing US debt could lead to out-of-control inflation and jeopardize the future of the US dollar.
The US dollar remains strong, supported by rising yields and tensions in the Middle East, but it is too early to determine if it has reached its peak, as the market awaits further tightening from the Federal Reserve and economic convergence among countries.